Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Bologna vs Pisa

Bologna vs Pisa prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-10-05 13:00
Bologna
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
52%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Pisa
Away

Prediction Summary

1
52%
X
24%
2
24%
Over 2.5
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

Bologna (Home)

Goals scored / match1
Goals conceded / match1.21
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate32%

Pisa (Away)

Goals scored / match0.89
Goals conceded / match2.37
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate53%

Team Form last 5 matches

Bologna
DWWDL
Pisa
LLLLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

58% +0.5 53%
26% +1.5 37%
11% +2.5 0%
5% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
32% BTTS 53%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 52%. Model confidence is Low.

Bologna averages 1 goals scored at home, while Pisa averages 0.89 goals scored away.

Model Strength
53%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
52%
Draw
24%
Away Win
24%
Over 2.5
52%
BTTS Yes
53%

Head-to-Head last 3

Mar 2026 Bologna(A) 1 - 0 Pisa Home
Oct 2025 Bologna 4 - 0 Pisa Home
Aug 2019 Bologna(A) 3 - 0 Pisa Home

In the last 3 meetings, Bologna won 3, drew 0 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Bologna — unbeaten run (home)2
Bologna — scoring streak (home)1
Pisa — winless run (away)19
Pisa — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Bologna Win (1)52%
Draw (X)24%
Pisa Win (2)24%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

58% +0.5 53%
26% +1.5 37%
11% +2.5 0%
5% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

42% -0.5 47%
74% -1.5 63%
89% -2.5 100%
95% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Bologna vs Pisa — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Bologna — scored (home)1
Bologna — conceded (home)1.21
Pisa — scored (away)0.89
Pisa — conceded (away)2.37
Model expected combined goals2.74

Both Teams To Score

Yes53%
No47%

Rate per Team

Bologna — BTTS matches (home)32%
Pisa — BTTS matches (away)53%
Combined (simple average)42.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.589%
Under 4.511%
Over 5.582%
Under 5.518%
Over 6.574%
Under 6.526%
Over 7.566%
Under 7.534%
Over 8.545%
Under 8.555%
Over 9.535%
Under 9.565%
Over 10.532%
Under 10.568%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.80

Per-Team Corners own matches

Bologna (home)

Corners for5.2
Corners against3.8

Pisa (away)

Corners for3.3
Corners against5.3

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Bologna
14 9 8 7 5
Pisa
11 7 8 7 6

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%
Under 0.52%
Over 1.592%
Under 1.58%
Over 2.571%
Under 2.529%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.4

Yellow Cards per Team

Bologna (home)

For1.4

Pisa (away)

For2.1

Shots per Game

Bologna — total shots (home)14.7
Pisa — total shots (away)8.9

Shots on Target

Bologna — on target (home)3.8
Pisa — on target (away)2.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Bologna

Inside the box8.08
Outside the box4.79

Pisa

Inside the box7.11
Outside the box2.47

Player Shots Bologna

R. Orsolini
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target23%
J. Rowe
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target11%
S. Castro
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target17%
J. Odgaard
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target8%
F. Bernardeschi
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target10%

Player Shots Pisa

S. Moreo
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target14%
M'Bala Nzola
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target6%
R. Durosinmi
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target8%
M. Tramoni
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target26%
+1.5 On Target7%
F. Stojilković
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target31%
+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Bologna xG (home)1.17
Pisa xG (away)1.05

Average Possession

55.05% Possession 40.21%

Team Comparison Bologna vs Pisa

82.39% Pass accuracy 76.16%
443.82 Passes per match 326.92
0.07 Goals prevented 0.06
13.16 Fouls committed 13.18
2.42 Goalkeeper saves 2.84
1.97 Offsides 1.7
14.24 Tackles per match 16.42

League average xG this season is 1.26 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Bologna vs Pisa prediction analysis

Review Bologna vs Pisa with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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