Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Bologna vs Red Bull Salzburg

Bologna vs Red Bull Salzburg prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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UEFA Europa League 2025-11-27 20:00
Bologna
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
56%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Red Bull Salzburg
Away

Prediction Summary

1
61%
X
21%
2
18%
Over 2.5
56%
BTTS Yes
53%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Bologna (Home)

Goals scored / match1.43
Goals conceded / match1.14
Over 2.5 rate14%
BTTS rate71%

Red Bull Salzburg (Away)

Goals scored / match0.75
Goals conceded / match2.5
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate50%

Team Form last 5 matches

Bologna
LLWDW
Red Bull Salzburg
LWLLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

86% +0.5 50%
29% +1.5 25%
14% +2.5 0%
14% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
71% BTTS 50%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 56%. Model confidence is Medium.

Bologna averages 1.43 goals scored at home, while Red Bull Salzburg averages 0.75 goals scored away.

Model Strength
61%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
61%
Draw
21%
Away Win
18%
Over 2.5
56%
BTTS Yes
53%

Head-to-Head last 1

Nov 2025 Bologna 4 - 1 Red Bull Salzburg Home

In the last 1 meetings, Bologna won 1, drew 0 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Bologna — unbeaten run (home)0
Bologna — scoring streak (home)5
Red Bull Salzburg — winless run (away)4
Red Bull Salzburg — clean sheets (away, last 4)0 of 4

1X2 Probability model

Bologna Win (1)61%
Draw (X)21%
Red Bull Salzburg Win (2)18%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

86% +0.5 50%
29% +1.5 25%
14% +2.5 0%
14% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

14% -0.5 50%
71% -1.5 75%
86% -2.5 100%
86% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Bologna vs Red Bull Salzburg — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Bologna — scored (home)1.43
Bologna — conceded (home)1.14
Red Bull Salzburg — scored (away)0.75
Red Bull Salzburg — conceded (away)2.5
Model expected combined goals2.91

Both Teams To Score

Yes53%
No47%

Rate per Team

Bologna — BTTS matches (home)71%
Red Bull Salzburg — BTTS matches (away)50%
Combined (simple average)60.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.588%
Under 4.512%
Over 5.588%
Under 5.512%
Over 6.575%
Under 6.525%
Over 7.568%
Under 7.532%
Over 8.548%
Under 8.552%
Over 9.548%
Under 9.552%
Over 10.534%
Under 10.566%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.50

Per-Team Corners own matches

Bologna (home)

Corners for8.4
Corners against3.1

Red Bull Salzburg (away)

Corners for1.8
Corners against5.5

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Bologna
14 10 12 7 6
Red Bull Salzburg
7 8 12 10 6

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.588%
Under 1.512%
Over 2.556%
Under 2.544%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)2.9

Yellow Cards per Team

Bologna (home)

For1.9

Red Bull Salzburg (away)

For1.3

Shots per Game

Bologna — total shots (home)19.7
Red Bull Salzburg — total shots (away)10.0

Shots on Target

Bologna — on target (home)6.1
Red Bull Salzburg — on target (away)5.0

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Bologna

Inside the box12.29
Outside the box5.79

Red Bull Salzburg

Inside the box8.13
Outside the box5.38

Player Shots Bologna

F. Bernardeschi
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target38%
R. Orsolini
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target62%
+1.5 On Target23%
S. Castro
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target25%
J. Odgaard
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target18%
T. Dallinga
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target27%

Player Shots Red Bull Salzburg

E. Baidoo
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target75%
+1.5 On Target25%
Y. Vertessen
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target71%
+1.5 On Target14%
K. Konaté
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target25%
Kerim-Sam Alajbegović
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target29%
S. Kitano
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target33%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Bologna xG (home)1.69
Red Bull Salzburg xG (away)1.48

Average Possession

53.36% Possession 45%

Team Comparison Bologna vs Red Bull Salzburg

82% Pass accuracy 82.25%
430.93 Passes per match 433.63
0.16 Goals prevented -0
15.79 Fouls committed 11.38
2.21 Goalkeeper saves 4.13
3 Offsides 2.38
15.71 Tackles per match 17.63

League average xG this season is 1.39 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Bologna vs Red Bull Salzburg prediction analysis

Review Bologna vs Red Bull Salzburg with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Europa League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance UEFA Europa League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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