What markets are included in the Bologna vs Sassuolo prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Bologna vs Sassuolo prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Bologna vs Sassuolo

Bologna vs Sassuolo prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-12-28 17:00

Bologna

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

43%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

Sassuolo

Away

Prediction Summary

43%

27%

29%

Under 2.5

57%

BTTS No

52%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Bologna (Home)

Goals scored / match1

Goals conceded / match1.21

Over 2.5 rate11%

BTTS rate32%

Sassuolo (Away)

Goals scored / match1.11

Goals conceded / match1.26

Over 2.5 rate11%

BTTS rate58%

Team Form last 5 matches

Bologna

DWWDL

Sassuolo

LLLWD

Goals Comparison rate per team

58% +0.5 68%

26% +1.5 32%

11% +2.5 11%

5% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

32% BTTS 58%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 43%. Model confidence is Medium.

Bologna averages 1 goals scored at home, while Sassuolo averages 1.11 goals scored away.

Model Strength

57%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

43%

Draw

27%

Away Win

29%

Over 2.5

43%

BTTS Yes

48%

Head-to-Head last 5

Mar 2026 Bologna(A) 1 - 0 Sassuolo Home

Dec 2025 Bologna 1 - 1 Sassuolo Draw

Feb 2024 Bologna 4 - 2 Sassuolo Home

Oct 2023 Bologna(A) 1 - 1 Sassuolo Draw

May 2023 Bologna(A) 1 - 1 Sassuolo Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Bologna won 2, drew 3 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Bologna — unbeaten run (home)2

Bologna — scoring streak (home)1

Sassuolo — winless run (away)6

Sassuolo — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Bologna Win (1)43%

Draw (X)27%

Sassuolo Win (2)29%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

58% +0.5 68%

26% +1.5 32%

11% +2.5 11%

5% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

42% -0.5 32%

74% -1.5 68%

89% -2.5 89%

95% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Bologna vs Sassuolo — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Bologna — scored (home)1

Bologna — conceded (home)1.21

Sassuolo — scored (away)1.11

Sassuolo — conceded (away)1.26

Model expected combined goals2.38

Both Teams To Score

Yes48%

No52%

Rate per Team

Bologna — BTTS matches (home)32%

Sassuolo — BTTS matches (away)58%

Combined (simple average)45%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.592%

Under 4.58%

Over 5.579%

Under 5.521%

Over 6.574%

Under 6.526%

Over 7.563%

Under 7.537%

Over 8.553%

Under 8.547%

Over 9.540%

Under 9.560%

Over 10.527%

Under 10.573%

Expected total corners (blended average)8.80

Per-Team Corners own matches

Bologna (home)

Corners for5.2

Corners against3.8

Sassuolo (away)

Corners for3.7

Corners against4.8

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Bologna

14 9 8 7 5

Sassuolo

11 5 12 10 2

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%

Under 0.52%

Over 1.595%

Under 1.55%

Over 2.576%

Under 2.524%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.8

Yellow Cards per Team

Bologna (home)

For1.4

Sassuolo (away)

For2.4

Shots per Game

Bologna — total shots (home)14.7

Sassuolo — total shots (away)10.6

Shots on Target

Bologna — on target (home)3.8

Sassuolo — on target (away)3.8

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Bologna

Inside the box8.08

Outside the box4.79

Sassuolo

Inside the box7

Outside the box3.66

Player Shots Bologna

R. Orsolini

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target60%

+1.5 On Target23%

J. Rowe

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target11%

S. Castro

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target34%

+1.5 On Target17%

J. Odgaard

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target42%

+1.5 On Target8%

F. Bernardeschi

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target34%

+1.5 On Target10%

Player Shots Sassuolo

A. Pinamonti

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target56%

+1.5 On Target19%

D. Berardi

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target23%

A. Laurienté

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target16%

K. Thorstvedt

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target34%

+1.5 On Target3%

C. Volpato

Shots on Target/Game0.3

+0.5 On Target25%

+1.5 On Target4%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Bologna xG (home)1.17

Sassuolo xG (away)1.12

Average Possession

55.05% Possession 46.13%

Team Comparison Bologna vs Sassuolo

82.39% Pass accuracy 82.16%

443.82 Passes per match 401.45

0.07 Goals prevented 0.01

13.16 Fouls committed 11.97

2.42 Goalkeeper saves 3.53

1.97 Offsides 1.89

14.24 Tackles per match 13.66

League average xG this season is 1.26 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Bologna vs Sassuolo prediction analysis

Review Bologna vs Sassuolo with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights