Prediction Analysis: Bologna vs Torino
Bologna vs Torino prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Serie A
2026-09-20
16:30
Bologna
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
44%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Torino
Away
Prediction Summary
1
45%
X
27%
2
28%
+2.5 Goals
44%
BTTS
49%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
Bologna (Home)
Goals scored / match1
Goals conceded / match1.21
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate32%
Torino (Away)
Goals scored / match0.89
Goals conceded / match1.79
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate37%
Team Form last 5 matches
Bologna
DWWDL
Torino
DLWLD
Goals Comparison rate per team
58%
+0.5
58%
26%
+1.5
21%
11%
+2.5
11%
5%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
32%
BTTS
37%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 44%. Model confidence is Medium.
Bologna averages 1 goals scored at home, while Torino averages 0.89 goals scored away.
Model Strength
56%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
45%
Draw
27%
Away Win
28%
Over 2.5
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
Head-to-Head last 5
Feb 2026
Bologna(A)
2 - 1
Torino
Home
Oct 2025
Bologna
0 - 0
Torino
Draw
Feb 2025
Bologna
3 - 2
Torino
Home
Dec 2024
Bologna(A)
2 - 0
Torino
Home
May 2024
Bologna(A)
0 - 0
Torino
Draw
In the last 5 meetings, Bologna won 3, drew 2 and lost 0.
Current Streaks
Bologna — unbeaten run (home)2
Bologna — scoring streak (home)1
Torino — winless run (away)3
Torino — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Bologna Win (1)45%
Draw (X)27%
Torino Win (2)28%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
58%
+0.5
58%
26%
+1.5
21%
11%
+2.5
11%
5%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
42%
-0.5
42%
74%
-1.5
79%
89%
-2.5
89%
95%
-3.5
100%
100%
-4.5
100%
Bologna vs Torino — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Bologna — scored (home)1
Bologna — conceded (home)1.21
Torino — scored (away)0.89
Torino — conceded (away)1.79
Model expected combined goals2.45
Both Teams To Score
Yes49%
No51%
Rate per Team
Bologna — BTTS matches (home)32%
Torino — BTTS matches (away)37%
Combined (simple average)34.5%
Corners Line model prediction
Over 8.553%
Under 8.547%
Over 9.543%
Under 9.557%
Over 10.533%
Under 10.567%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.20
Per-Team Corners own matches
Bologna (home)
Corners for5.2
Corners against3.8
Torino (away)
Corners for3.4
Corners against4.7
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Bologna
14
9
8
7
5
Torino
10
7
12
6
12
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.595%
Under 0.55%
Over 1.582%
Under 1.518%
Over 2.561%
Under 2.539%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.3
Yellow Cards per Team
Bologna (home)
For1.4
Torino (away)
For2.1
Shots Forecast model prediction
Match Total
Over 19.569%
Under 19.531%
Over 22.554%
Under 22.546%
Over 25.540%
Under 25.560%
Expected total shots24.18
Bologna
Shots Over 9.579%
Shots Over 11.565%
Shots Over 13.550%
Expected shots14.10
On Target Over 3.561%
On Target Over 4.544%
On Target Over 5.529%
Expected on target4.40
Torino
Shots Over 9.551%
Shots Over 11.534%
Shots Over 13.520%
Expected shots10.09
On Target Over 3.544%
On Target Over 4.527%
On Target Over 5.515%
Expected on target3.42
Shots per Game
Bologna — total shots (home)14.7
Torino — total shots (away)11.1
Shots on Target
Bologna — on target (home)3.8
Torino — on target (away)3.7
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Bologna
Inside the box8.08
Outside the box4.79
Torino
Inside the box7.34
Outside the box4.47
Player Shots Bologna
R. Orsolini
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target23%
J. Rowe
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target11%
S. Castro
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target17%
J. Odgaard
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target8%
F. Bernardeschi
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target10%
Player Shots Torino
G. Simeone
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target66%
+1.5 On Target16%
C. Ngonge
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target20%
C. Adams
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target18%
D. Zapata
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target11%
C. Casadei
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target9%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Bologna xG (home)1.17
Torino xG (away)1.21
Average Possession
55.05%
Possession
44.13%
Team Comparison Bologna vs Torino
82.39%
Pass accuracy
79.45%
443.82
Passes per match
375.24
0.07
Goals prevented
-0.1
13.16
Fouls committed
13.95
2.42
Goalkeeper saves
2.79
1.97
Offsides
1.75
14.24
Tackles per match
16.05
League average xG this season is 1.26 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Bologna vs Torino prediction analysis
Review Bologna vs Torino with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Serie A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights