Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Bolton vs Preston

Bolton vs Preston prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Championship 2026-08-15 11:30
Bolton
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
BTTS Yes
Pick
Yes
Probability
52%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Preston
Away

Prediction Summary

1
42%
X
26%
2
32%
Under 2.5
52%
BTTS Yes
52%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

Bolton (Home)

Goals scored / match0
Goals conceded / match0
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate0%

Preston (Away)

Goals scored / match1.17
Goals conceded / match1.39
Over 2.5 rate9%
BTTS rate61%

Team Form last 5 matches

Preston
LWLLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

0% +0.5 74%
0% +1.5 35%
0% +2.5 9%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
0% BTTS 61%

Model Insight

The selected market is BTTS Yes with a probability of 52%. Model confidence is Low.

Bolton averages 0 goals scored at home, while Preston averages 1.17 goals scored away.

Model Strength
52%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
42%
Draw
26%
Away Win
32%
Over 2.5
48%
BTTS Yes
52%

Head-to-Head last 0

No head-to-head historyThese two teams have no finished match on record against each other.

Current Streaks

Preston — winless run (away)0
Preston — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Bolton Win (1)42%
Draw (X)26%
Preston Win (2)32%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

0% +0.5 74%
0% +1.5 35%
0% +2.5 9%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

100% -0.5 26%
100% -1.5 65%
100% -2.5 91%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Bolton vs Preston — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Bolton — scored (home)0
Bolton — conceded (home)0
Preston — scored (away)1.17
Preston — conceded (away)1.39
Model expected combined goals2.58

Both Teams To Score

Yes52%
No48%

Rate per Team

Bolton — BTTS matches (home)0%
Preston — BTTS matches (away)61%
Combined (simple average)30.5%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.565%
Under 8.535%
Over 9.554%
Under 9.546%
Over 10.544%
Under 10.556%
Expected total corners (model prediction)10.30

Per-Team Corners own matches

Bolton (home)

Corners for—
Corners against—

Preston (away)

Corners for3.7
Corners against6.4

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Preston
11 14 6 15 15

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.546%
Under 0.554%
Over 1.544%
Under 1.556%
Over 2.533%
Under 2.567%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3

Yellow Cards per Team

Bolton (home)

For—

Preston (away)

For2.2

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.571%
Under 19.529%
Over 22.556%
Under 22.544%
Over 25.541%
Under 25.559%
Expected total shots24.39

Bolton

Shots Over 9.580%
Shots Over 11.565%
Shots Over 13.550%
Expected shots13.95
On Target Over 3.562%
On Target Over 4.545%
On Target Over 5.530%
Expected on target4.44

Preston

Shots Over 9.555%
Shots Over 11.537%
Shots Over 13.522%
Expected shots10.44
On Target Over 3.545%
On Target Over 4.528%
On Target Over 5.516%
Expected on target3.49

Shots per Game

Bolton — total shots (home)—
Preston — total shots (away)10.6

Shots on Target

Bolton — on target (home)—
Preston — on target (away)3.8

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Bolton

Inside the box-
Outside the box-

Preston

Inside the box7.43
Outside the box3.5

Player Shots Bolton

Not enough dataNot enough player match statistics for this squad.

Player Shots Preston

M. Osmajić
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target18%
L. Dobbin
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target49%
+1.5 On Target10%
B. Potts
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target6%
A. Devine
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target11%
T. Small
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target10%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Bolton xG (home)-
Preston xG (away)1.19

Average Possession

-% Possession 45.59%

Team Comparison Bolton vs Preston

0% Pass accuracy 72.15%
- Passes per match 344.41
- Goals prevented 0.03
- Fouls committed 10.39
- Goalkeeper saves 3
- Offsides 1.7
- Tackles per match 16.07

League average xG this season is 1.29 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Bolton vs Preston prediction analysis

Review Bolton vs Preston with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Championship.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Championship
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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