Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Boluspor vs Erzurumspor FK

Boluspor vs Erzurumspor FK prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions
1. Lig 2025-12-07 10:30
Boluspor
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
58%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Erzurumspor FK
Away

Prediction Summary

1
35%
X
24%
2
41%
Over 2.5
58%
BTTS Yes
60%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Boluspor (Home)

Goals scored / match1.89
Goals conceded / match1.05
Over 2.5 rate26%
BTTS rate53%

Erzurumspor FK (Away)

Goals scored / match1.63
Goals conceded / match0.79
Over 2.5 rate16%
BTTS rate47%

Team Form last 5 matches

Boluspor
WLWLL
Erzurumspor FK
DDDWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

84% +0.5 95%
58% +1.5 53%
26% +2.5 16%
11% +3.5 0%
5% +4.5 0%
53% BTTS 47%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 58%. Model confidence is Medium.

Boluspor averages 1.89 goals scored at home, while Erzurumspor FK averages 1.63 goals scored away.

Model Strength
60%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
35%
Draw
24%
Away Win
41%
Over 2.5
58%
BTTS Yes
60%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2026 Boluspor(A) 0 - 2 Erzurumspor FK Away
Dec 2025 Boluspor 2 - 0 Erzurumspor FK Home
Mar 2025 Boluspor 0 - 0 Erzurumspor FK Draw
Oct 2024 Boluspor(A) 0 - 1 Erzurumspor FK Away
Feb 2024 Boluspor 1 - 0 Erzurumspor FK Home

In the last 5 meetings, Boluspor won 2, drew 1 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Boluspor — unbeaten run (home)2
Boluspor — scoring streak (home)3
Erzurumspor FK — winless run (away)2
Erzurumspor FK — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Boluspor Win (1)35%
Draw (X)24%
Erzurumspor FK Win (2)41%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

84% +0.5 95%
58% +1.5 53%
26% +2.5 16%
11% +3.5 0%
5% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

16% -0.5 5%
42% -1.5 47%
74% -2.5 84%
89% -3.5 100%
95% -4.5 100%

Boluspor vs Erzurumspor FK — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Boluspor — scored (home)1.89
Boluspor — conceded (home)1.05
Erzurumspor FK — scored (away)1.63
Erzurumspor FK — conceded (away)0.79
Model expected combined goals3

Both Teams To Score

Yes60%
No40%

Rate per Team

Boluspor — BTTS matches (home)53%
Erzurumspor FK — BTTS matches (away)47%
Combined (simple average)50%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.589%
Under 4.511%
Over 5.582%
Under 5.518%
Over 6.574%
Under 6.526%
Over 7.561%
Under 7.539%
Over 8.550%
Under 8.550%
Over 9.540%
Under 9.560%
Over 10.521%
Under 10.579%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.30

Per-Team Corners own matches

Boluspor (home)

Corners for4.7
Corners against3.4

Erzurumspor FK (away)

Corners for3.6
Corners against4.8

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Boluspor
2 8 7 11 9
Erzurumspor FK
4 8 7 9 10

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%
Under 0.52%
Over 1.592%
Under 1.58%
Over 2.582%
Under 2.518%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.5

Yellow Cards per Team

Boluspor (home)

For2.3

Erzurumspor FK (away)

For1.9

Shots per Game

Boluspor — total shots (home)13.6
Erzurumspor FK — total shots (away)10.3

Shots on Target

Boluspor — on target (home)4.9
Erzurumspor FK — on target (away)3.7

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Boluspor

Inside the box8.03
Outside the box4.68

Erzurumspor FK

Inside the box8.5
Outside the box3.74

Player Shots Boluspor

F. Hasani
Shots on Target/Game2.6
+0.5 On Target71%
+1.5 On Target50%
D. Davas
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target65%
+1.5 On Target29%
A. Usluoğlu
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target17%
R. Akanbi
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target26%
+1.5 On Target7%
B. Alici
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target17%

Player Shots Erzurumspor FK

E. Tozlu
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target73%
+1.5 On Target35%
Burak Böyüksünnetci
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target22%
+1.5 On Target11%
A. Kabak
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target7%
+1.5 On Target4%
M. Yumlu
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target16%
+1.5 On Target6%
M. Fettahoğlu
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target14%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Boluspor xG (home)1.44
Erzurumspor FK xG (away)1.76

Average Possession

57.05% Possession 55.5%

Team Comparison Boluspor vs Erzurumspor FK

81.63% Pass accuracy 85.16%
411.37 Passes per match 469.89
0 Goals prevented 0
11.97 Fouls committed 10.71
2.54 Goalkeeper saves 2
2.63 Offsides 2.17
12.39 Tackles per match 13.39

League average xG this season is 1.42 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Boluspor vs Erzurumspor FK prediction analysis

Review Boluspor vs Erzurumspor FK with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from 1. Lig.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance 1. Lig
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
Scroll to Top