Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Borussia Dortmund vs 1899 Hoffenheim

Borussia Dortmund vs 1899 Hoffenheim prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Bundesliga 2024-12-15 16:30
Borussia Dortmund
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
52%
Confidence
Medium
Score
2-0
1899 Hoffenheim
Away

Prediction Summary

1
67%
X
20%
2
13%
Over 2.5
52%
BTTS No
54%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Borussia Dortmund (Home)

Goals scored / match2.59
Goals conceded / match1.12
Over 2.5 rate47%
BTTS rate65%

1899 Hoffenheim (Away)

Goals scored / match1.24
Goals conceded / match1.88
Over 2.5 rate18%
BTTS rate65%

Team Form last 5 matches

Borussia Dortmund
WWWWW
1899 Hoffenheim
LDDLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

94% +0.5 71%
76% +1.5 29%
47% +2.5 18%
29% +3.5 6%
6% +4.5 0%
65% BTTS 65%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 52%. Model confidence is Medium.

Borussia Dortmund averages 2.59 goals scored at home, while 1899 Hoffenheim averages 1.24 goals scored away.

Model Strength
67%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
67%
Draw
20%
Away Win
13%
Over 2.5
52%
BTTS Yes
46%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2026 Borussia Dortmund(A) 1 - 2 1899 Hoffenheim Away
Dec 2025 Borussia Dortmund 2 - 0 1899 Hoffenheim Home
Apr 2025 Borussia Dortmund(A) 3 - 2 1899 Hoffenheim Home
Dec 2024 Borussia Dortmund 1 - 1 1899 Hoffenheim Draw
Feb 2024 Borussia Dortmund 2 - 3 1899 Hoffenheim Away

In the last 5 meetings, Borussia Dortmund won 2, drew 1 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Borussia Dortmund — unbeaten run (home)4
Borussia Dortmund — scoring streak (home)4
1899 Hoffenheim — winless run (away)5
1899 Hoffenheim — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Borussia Dortmund Win (1)67%
Draw (X)20%
1899 Hoffenheim Win (2)13%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

94% +0.5 71%
76% +1.5 29%
47% +2.5 18%
29% +3.5 6%
6% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

6% -0.5 29%
24% -1.5 71%
53% -2.5 82%
71% -3.5 94%
94% -4.5 100%

Borussia Dortmund vs 1899 Hoffenheim — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Borussia Dortmund — scored (home)2.59
Borussia Dortmund — conceded (home)1.12
1899 Hoffenheim — scored (away)1.24
1899 Hoffenheim — conceded (away)1.88
Model expected combined goals2.77

Both Teams To Score

Yes46%
No54%

Rate per Team

Borussia Dortmund — BTTS matches (home)65%
1899 Hoffenheim — BTTS matches (away)65%
Combined (simple average)65%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.597%
Under 4.53%
Over 5.591%
Under 5.59%
Over 6.588%
Under 6.512%
Over 7.577%
Under 7.523%
Over 8.562%
Under 8.538%
Over 9.559%
Under 9.541%
Over 10.541%
Under 10.559%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.00

Per-Team Corners own matches

Borussia Dortmund (home)

Corners for6.4
Corners against2.8

1899 Hoffenheim (away)

Corners for4.4
Corners against6.4

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Borussia Dortmund
8 7 7 12 8
1899 Hoffenheim
8 7 11 11 5

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.597%
Under 0.53%
Over 1.585%
Under 1.515%
Over 2.574%
Under 2.526%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.7

Yellow Cards per Team

Borussia Dortmund (home)

For1.9

1899 Hoffenheim (away)

For2.3

Shots per Game

Borussia Dortmund — total shots (home)15.5
1899 Hoffenheim — total shots (away)11.9

Shots on Target

Borussia Dortmund — on target (home)5.4
1899 Hoffenheim — on target (away)4.1

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Borussia Dortmund

Inside the box10.26
Outside the box3.94

1899 Hoffenheim

Inside the box8.35
Outside the box4.68

Player Shots Borussia Dortmund

S. Guirassy
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target73%
+1.5 On Target37%
J. Bynoe-Gittens
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target22%
F. Nmecha
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target15%
+1.5 On Target8%
K. Adeyemi
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target20%
M. Sabitzer
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target23%
+1.5 On Target4%

Player Shots 1899 Hoffenheim

A. Kramarić
Shots on Target/Game1.9
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target22%
M. Berisha
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target18%
+1.5 On Target9%
A. Hložek
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target63%
+1.5 On Target19%
Max Moerstedt
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target8%
B. Touré
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target31%
+1.5 On Target8%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Borussia Dortmund xG (home)1.82
1899 Hoffenheim xG (away)1.28

Average Possession

59.24% Possession 48.59%

Team Comparison Borussia Dortmund vs 1899 Hoffenheim

85.26% Pass accuracy 79.5%
552.74 Passes per match 436.76
-0.3 Goals prevented -0.01
9.71 Fouls committed 11.5
2.74 Goalkeeper saves 3.32
1.34 Offsides 2.19
15.18 Tackles per match 16.82

League average xG this season is 1.46 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Borussia Dortmund vs 1899 Hoffenheim prediction analysis

Review Borussia Dortmund vs 1899 Hoffenheim with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Bundesliga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Bundesliga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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