Prediction Analysis: Borussia Dortmund vs Borussia Mönchengladbach
Borussia Dortmund vs Borussia Mönchengladbach prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Bundesliga
2025-12-19
19:30
Borussia Dortmund
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
46%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Away
Prediction Summary
1
41%
X
27%
2
33%
Under 2.5
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
Confidence
Low
Market Evidence
Borussia Dortmund (Home)
Goals scored / match2.35
Goals conceded / match0.94
Over 2.5 rate53%
BTTS rate41%
Borussia Mönchengladbach (Away)
Goals scored / match1.06
Goals conceded / match1.71
Over 2.5 rate18%
BTTS rate47%
Team Form last 5 matches
Borussia Dortmund
WWLWL
Borussia Mönchengladbach
WLWDD
Goals Comparison rate per team
94%
+0.5
65%
76%
+1.5
18%
53%
+2.5
18%
12%
+3.5
6%
0%
+4.5
0%
41%
BTTS
47%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 46%. Model confidence is Low.
Borussia Dortmund averages 2.35 goals scored at home, while Borussia Mönchengladbach averages 1.06 goals scored away.
Model Strength
54%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
41%
Draw
27%
Away Win
33%
Over 2.5
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
Head-to-Head last 5
May 2026
Borussia Dortmund(A)
0 - 1
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Away
Dec 2025
Borussia Dortmund
2 - 0
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Home
Apr 2025
Borussia Dortmund
3 - 2
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Home
Dec 2024
Borussia Dortmund(A)
1 - 1
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Draw
Apr 2024
Borussia Dortmund(A)
2 - 1
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Home
In the last 5 meetings, Borussia Dortmund won 3, drew 1 and lost 1.
Current Streaks
Borussia Dortmund — unbeaten run (home)2
Borussia Dortmund — scoring streak (home)2
Borussia Mönchengladbach — winless run (away)11
Borussia Mönchengladbach — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Borussia Dortmund Win (1)41%
Draw (X)27%
Borussia Mönchengladbach Win (2)33%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
94%
+0.5
65%
76%
+1.5
18%
53%
+2.5
18%
12%
+3.5
6%
0%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
6%
-0.5
35%
24%
-1.5
82%
47%
-2.5
82%
88%
-3.5
94%
100%
-4.5
100%
Borussia Dortmund vs Borussia Mönchengladbach — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Borussia Dortmund — scored (home)2.35
Borussia Dortmund — conceded (home)0.94
Borussia Mönchengladbach — scored (away)1.06
Borussia Mönchengladbach — conceded (away)1.71
Model expected combined goals2.5
Both Teams To Score
Yes51%
No49%
Rate per Team
Borussia Dortmund — BTTS matches (home)41%
Borussia Mönchengladbach — BTTS matches (away)47%
Combined (simple average)44%
Corners Line match total, blended estimate
Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.594%
Under 5.56%
Over 6.585%
Under 6.515%
Over 7.576%
Under 7.524%
Over 8.565%
Under 8.535%
Over 9.556%
Under 9.544%
Over 10.535%
Under 10.565%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.20
Per-Team Corners own matches
Borussia Dortmund (home)
Corners for7.2
Corners against3.4
Borussia Mönchengladbach (away)
Corners for4.2
Corners against5.6
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Borussia Dortmund
7
5
2
8
9
Borussia Mönchengladbach
6
13
2
5
11
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.594%
Under 0.56%
Over 1.580%
Under 1.520%
Over 2.565%
Under 2.535%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.4
Yellow Cards per Team
Borussia Dortmund (home)
For1.8
Borussia Mönchengladbach (away)
For1.6
Shots per Game
Borussia Dortmund — total shots (home)14.8
Borussia Mönchengladbach — total shots (away)11.7
Shots on Target
Borussia Dortmund — on target (home)5.4
Borussia Mönchengladbach — on target (away)3.8
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Borussia Dortmund
Inside the box9.68
Outside the box3.38
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Inside the box7.71
Outside the box3.91
Player Shots Borussia Dortmund
S. Guirassy
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target27%
S. Inacio
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target14%
M. Beier
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target19%
J. Brandt
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target14%
K. Adeyemi
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target11%
Player Shots Borussia Mönchengladbach
H. Tabaković
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target19%
R. Hack
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target13%
J. Castrop
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target27%
+1.5 On Target19%
R. Reitz
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target13%
K. Diks
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target37%
+1.5 On Target7%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Borussia Dortmund xG (home)1.88
Borussia Mönchengladbach xG (away)1.26
Average Possession
53.24%
Possession
46.71%
Team Comparison Borussia Dortmund vs Borussia Mönchengladbach
83.21%
Pass accuracy
81.47%
493.21
Passes per match
442.29
0.14
Goals prevented
0.16
11.71
Fouls committed
10.79
2.62
Goalkeeper saves
4
1.18
Offsides
1.94
14.44
Tackles per match
16.5
League average xG this season is 1.57 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Borussia Dortmund vs Borussia Mönchengladbach prediction analysis
Review Borussia Dortmund vs Borussia Mönchengladbach with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Bundesliga.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Bundesliga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights