What markets are included in the Borussia Dortmund vs Lille prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Borussia Dortmund vs Lille prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Borussia Dortmund vs Lille

Borussia Dortmund vs Lille prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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UEFA Champions League 2025-03-04 20:00

Borussia Dortmund

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

62%

Confidence

Medium

Score

2-1

Lille

Away

Prediction Summary

58%

21%

Over 2.5

62%

BTTS Yes

60%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Borussia Dortmund (Home)

Goals scored / match2.43

Goals conceded / match1

Over 2.5 rate43%

BTTS rate71%

Lille (Away)

Goals scored / match1.29

Goals conceded / match1.43

Over 2.5 rate14%

BTTS rate86%

Team Form last 5 matches

Borussia Dortmund

WLWDD

Lille

LDWLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

86% +0.5 86%

57% +1.5 29%

43% +2.5 14%

14% +3.5 0%

14% +4.5 0%

71% BTTS 86%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 62%. Model confidence is Medium.

Borussia Dortmund averages 2.43 goals scored at home, while Lille averages 1.29 goals scored away.

Model Strength

62%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

58%

Draw

21%

Away Win

21%

Over 2.5

62%

BTTS Yes

60%

Head-to-Head last 2

Mar 2025 Borussia Dortmund(A) 2 - 1 Lille Home

Mar 2025 Borussia Dortmund 1 - 1 Lille Draw

In the last 2 meetings, Borussia Dortmund won 1, drew 1 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Borussia Dortmund — unbeaten run (home)4

Borussia Dortmund — scoring streak (home)2

Lille — winless run (away)2

Lille — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Borussia Dortmund Win (1)58%

Draw (X)21%

Lille Win (2)21%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

86% +0.5 86%

57% +1.5 29%

43% +2.5 14%

14% +3.5 0%

14% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

14% -0.5 14%

43% -1.5 71%

57% -2.5 86%

86% -3.5 100%

86% -4.5 100%

Borussia Dortmund vs Lille — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Borussia Dortmund — scored (home)2.43

Borussia Dortmund — conceded (home)1

Lille — scored (away)1.29

Lille — conceded (away)1.43

Model expected combined goals3.22

Both Teams To Score

Yes60%

No40%

Rate per Team

Borussia Dortmund — BTTS matches (home)71%

Lille — BTTS matches (away)86%

Combined (simple average)78.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%

Under 4.50%

Over 5.579%

Under 5.521%

Over 6.557%

Under 6.543%

Over 7.543%

Under 7.557%

Over 8.536%

Under 8.564%

Over 9.536%

Under 9.564%

Over 10.536%

Under 10.564%

Expected total corners (blended average)8.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

Borussia Dortmund (home)

Corners for6.6

Corners against2.6

Lille (away)

Corners for2.9

Corners against4.4

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Borussia Dortmund

8 6 7 10 12

Lille

11 6 12 6 7

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.586%

Under 1.514%

Over 2.565%

Under 2.535%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.2

Yellow Cards per Team

Borussia Dortmund (home)

For1.7

Lille (away)

For2.9

Shots per Game

Borussia Dortmund — total shots (home)15.4

Lille — total shots (away)9.1

Shots on Target

Borussia Dortmund — on target (home)6.7

Lille — on target (away)3.3

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Borussia Dortmund

Inside the box10.43

Outside the box3.79

Lille

Inside the box6.57

Outside the box4.21

Player Shots Borussia Dortmund

S. Guirassy

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target93%

+1.5 On Target50%

J. Duranville

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target11%

+1.5 On Target11%

K. Adeyemi

Shots on Target/Game1.8

+0.5 On Target60%

+1.5 On Target40%

D. Malen

Shots on Target/Game1.7

+0.5 On Target60%

+1.5 On Target40%

J. Brandt

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target15%

+1.5 On Target8%

Player Shots Lille

M. Bakker

Shots on Target/Game3

+0.5 On Target13%

+1.5 On Target13%

N. Mukau

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target18%

+1.5 On Target9%

E. Zhegrova

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target56%

+1.5 On Target22%

J. David

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target64%

+1.5 On Target29%

A. Gomes

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target17%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Borussia Dortmund xG (home)2.01

Lille xG (away)1.2

Average Possession

51.79% Possession 50.79%

Team Comparison Borussia Dortmund vs Lille

85.29% Pass accuracy 82.64%

499.14 Passes per match 473.07

0.08 Goals prevented -0.08

12.29 Fouls committed 11.43

3.23 Goalkeeper saves 3.92

2.54 Offsides 1.29

19.29 Tackles per match 14.64

League average xG this season is 1.54 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Borussia Dortmund vs Lille prediction analysis

Review Borussia Dortmund vs Lille with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Champions League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance UEFA Champions League

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights