Prediction Analysis: Borussia Dortmund vs Sporting CP
Borussia Dortmund vs Sporting CP prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Borussia Dortmund
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
68%
Confidence
Medium
Score
2-1
Sporting CP
Away
Prediction Summary
1
60%
X
20%
2
20%
Over 2.5
68%
BTTS Yes
64%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
Borussia Dortmund (Home)
Goals scored / match2.43
Goals conceded / match1
Over 2.5 rate43%
BTTS rate71%
Sporting CP (Away)
Goals scored / match1
Goals conceded / match1
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate60%
Team Form last 5 matches
Borussia Dortmund
WLWDD
Sporting CP
DLDLL
Goals Comparison rate per team
86%
+0.5
80%
57%
+1.5
20%
43%
+2.5
0%
14%
+3.5
0%
14%
+4.5
0%
71%
BTTS
60%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 68%. Model confidence is Medium.
Borussia Dortmund averages 2.43 goals scored at home, while Sporting CP averages 1 goals scored away.
Model Strength
68%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
60%
Draw
20%
Away Win
20%
Over 2.5
68%
BTTS Yes
64%
Head-to-Head last 4
Feb 2025
Borussia Dortmund
0 - 0
Sporting CP
Draw
Feb 2025
Borussia Dortmund(A)
3 - 0
Sporting CP
Home
Nov 2021
Borussia Dortmund(A)
1 - 3
Sporting CP
Away
Sep 2021
Borussia Dortmund
1 - 0
Sporting CP
Home
In the last 4 meetings, Borussia Dortmund won 2, drew 1 and lost 1.
Current Streaks
Borussia Dortmund — unbeaten run (home)4
Borussia Dortmund — scoring streak (home)2
Sporting CP — winless run (away)3
Sporting CP — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Borussia Dortmund Win (1)60%
Draw (X)20%
Sporting CP Win (2)20%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
86%
+0.5
80%
57%
+1.5
20%
43%
+2.5
0%
14%
+3.5
0%
14%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
14%
-0.5
20%
43%
-1.5
80%
57%
-2.5
100%
86%
-3.5
100%
86%
-4.5
100%
Borussia Dortmund vs Sporting CP — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Borussia Dortmund — scored (home)2.43
Borussia Dortmund — conceded (home)1
Sporting CP — scored (away)1
Sporting CP — conceded (away)1
Model expected combined goals3.5
Both Teams To Score
Yes64%
No36%
Rate per Team
Borussia Dortmund — BTTS matches (home)71%
Sporting CP — BTTS matches (away)60%
Combined (simple average)65.5%
Corners Line match total, blended estimate
Over 4.580%
Under 4.520%
Over 5.573%
Under 5.527%
Over 6.566%
Under 6.534%
Over 7.559%
Under 7.541%
Over 8.542%
Under 8.558%
Over 9.532%
Under 9.568%
Over 10.532%
Under 10.568%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.10
Per-Team Corners own matches
Borussia Dortmund (home)
Corners for6.6
Corners against2.6
Sporting CP (away)
Corners for3.8
Corners against3.2
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Borussia Dortmund
8
6
7
10
12
Sporting CP
3
9
11
12
8
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.576%
Under 1.524%
Over 2.552%
Under 2.548%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.3
Yellow Cards per Team
Borussia Dortmund (home)
For1.7
Sporting CP (away)
For1.2
Shots per Game
Borussia Dortmund — total shots (home)15.4
Sporting CP — total shots (away)11.2
Shots on Target
Borussia Dortmund — on target (home)6.7
Sporting CP — on target (away)2.6
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Borussia Dortmund
Inside the box10.43
Outside the box3.79
Sporting CP
Inside the box7.6
Outside the box4.8
Player Shots Borussia Dortmund
S. Guirassy
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target93%
+1.5 On Target50%
J. Duranville
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target11%
+1.5 On Target11%
K. Adeyemi
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target40%
D. Malen
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target40%
J. Brandt
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target15%
+1.5 On Target8%
Player Shots Sporting CP
V. Gyökeres
Shots on Target/Game2.2
+0.5 On Target63%
+1.5 On Target38%
Pote
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target33%
João Simões
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target20%
+1.5 On Target20%
M. Hjulmand
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target11%
+1.5 On Target11%
Gonçalo Inácio
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target14%
+1.5 On Target14%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Borussia Dortmund xG (home)2.01
Sporting CP xG (away)1.29
Average Possession
51.79%
Possession
48.8%
Team Comparison Borussia Dortmund vs Sporting CP
85.29%
Pass accuracy
85.6%
499.14
Passes per match
467.9
0.08
Goals prevented
0.27
12.29
Fouls committed
10.4
3.23
Goalkeeper saves
3.7
2.54
Offsides
1.3
19.29
Tackles per match
17.5
League average xG this season is 1.54 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Borussia Dortmund vs Sporting CP prediction analysis
Review Borussia Dortmund vs Sporting CP with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Champions League.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
UEFA Champions League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights