What markets are included in the Borussia Dortmund vs Villarreal prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Borussia Dortmund vs Villarreal prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Borussia Dortmund vs Villarreal

Borussia Dortmund vs Villarreal prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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UEFA Champions League 2025-11-25 20:00

Borussia Dortmund

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

54%

Confidence

High

Score

2-0

Villarreal

Away

Prediction Summary

79%

15%

Over 2.5

54%

BTTS No

64%

Confidence

High

Market Evidence

Borussia Dortmund (Home)

Goals scored / match2.4

Goals conceded / match1

Over 2.5 rate40%

BTTS rate40%

Villarreal (Away)

Goals scored / match0

Goals conceded / match2.25

Over 2.5 rate0%

BTTS rate0%

Team Form last 5 matches

Borussia Dortmund

LWLLD

Villarreal

LLLLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

80% +0.5 0%

80% +1.5 0%

40% +2.5 0%

40% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

40% BTTS 0%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 54%. Model confidence is High.

Borussia Dortmund averages 2.4 goals scored at home, while Villarreal averages 0 goals scored away.

Model Strength

79%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

79%

Draw

15%

Away Win

Over 2.5

54%

BTTS Yes

36%

Head-to-Head last 1

Nov 2025 Borussia Dortmund 4 - 0 Villarreal Home

In the last 1 meetings, Borussia Dortmund won 1, drew 0 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Borussia Dortmund — unbeaten run (home)1

Borussia Dortmund — scoring streak (home)1

Villarreal — winless run (away)4

Villarreal — clean sheets (away, last 4)0 of 4

1X2 Probability model

Borussia Dortmund Win (1)79%

Draw (X)15%

Villarreal Win (2)6%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

80% +0.5 0%

80% +1.5 0%

40% +2.5 0%

40% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

20% -0.5 100%

20% -1.5 100%

60% -2.5 100%

60% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Borussia Dortmund vs Villarreal — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Borussia Dortmund — scored (home)2.4

Borussia Dortmund — conceded (home)1

Villarreal — scored (away)0

Villarreal — conceded (away)2.25

Model expected combined goals2.83

Both Teams To Score

Yes36%

No64%

Rate per Team

Borussia Dortmund — BTTS matches (home)40%

Villarreal — BTTS matches (away)0%

Combined (simple average)20%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.590%

Under 4.510%

Over 5.533%

Under 5.567%

Over 6.520%

Under 6.580%

Over 7.520%

Under 7.580%

Over 8.510%

Under 8.590%

Over 9.510%

Under 9.590%

Over 10.510%

Under 10.590%

Expected total corners (blended average)6.30

Per-Team Corners own matches

Borussia Dortmund (home)

Corners for5.0

Corners against2.2

Villarreal (away)

Corners for2.3

Corners against3.0

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Borussia Dortmund

14 6 8 5 6

Villarreal

5 5 10 12 5

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.568%

Under 1.532%

Over 2.568%

Under 2.532%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.1

Yellow Cards per Team

Borussia Dortmund (home)

For1.2

Villarreal (away)

For2.0

Shots per Game

Borussia Dortmund — total shots (home)13.2

Villarreal — total shots (away)10.8

Shots on Target

Borussia Dortmund — on target (home)5.6

Villarreal — on target (away)2.3

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Borussia Dortmund

Inside the box7.5

Outside the box3.5

Villarreal

Inside the box7.88

Outside the box5.75

Player Shots Borussia Dortmund

S. Guirassy

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target70%

+1.5 On Target20%

A. Anselmino

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target67%

+1.5 On Target0%

K. Adeyemi

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target44%

+1.5 On Target11%

J. Brandt

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target22%

M. Beier

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target22%

+1.5 On Target11%

Player Shots Villarreal

N. Pépé

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target13%

P. Gueye

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target57%

+1.5 On Target0%

T. Oluwaseyi

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target57%

+1.5 On Target0%

Rafa Marín

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target40%

+1.5 On Target0%

Santi Comesaña

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Borussia Dortmund xG (home)1.66

Villarreal xG (away)1.22

Average Possession

53.5% Possession 42.25%

Team Comparison Borussia Dortmund vs Villarreal

84.3% Pass accuracy 83.13%

505 Passes per match 394.13

-0.33 Goals prevented -0.07

11.3 Fouls committed 12.75

3.2 Goalkeeper saves 2.5

0.67 Offsides 1.57

18.4 Tackles per match 17.25

League average xG this season is 1.65 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Borussia Dortmund vs Villarreal prediction analysis

Review Borussia Dortmund vs Villarreal with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Champions League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance UEFA Champions League

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights