What markets are included in the Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen

Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Bundesliga 2026-01-13 19:30

Borussia Dortmund

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

54%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-0

Werder Bremen

Away

Prediction Summary

61%

22%

17%

Over 2.5

54%

BTTS Yes

51%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Borussia Dortmund (Home)

Goals scored / match2.35

Goals conceded / match0.94

Over 2.5 rate53%

BTTS rate41%

Werder Bremen (Away)

Goals scored / match1.06

Goals conceded / match1.71

Over 2.5 rate12%

BTTS rate47%

Team Form last 5 matches

Borussia Dortmund

WWLWL

Werder Bremen

LLLDW

Goals Comparison rate per team

94% +0.5 59%

76% +1.5 24%

53% +2.5 12%

12% +3.5 12%

0% +4.5 0%

41% BTTS 47%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 54%. Model confidence is Medium.

Borussia Dortmund averages 2.35 goals scored at home, while Werder Bremen averages 1.06 goals scored away.

Model Strength

61%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

61%

Draw

22%

Away Win

17%

Over 2.5

54%

BTTS Yes

51%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2026 Borussia Dortmund(A) 2 - 0 Werder Bremen Home

Jan 2026 Borussia Dortmund 3 - 0 Werder Bremen Home

Jan 2025 Borussia Dortmund 2 - 2 Werder Bremen Draw

Aug 2024 Borussia Dortmund(A) 0 - 0 Werder Bremen Draw

Mar 2024 Borussia Dortmund(A) 2 - 1 Werder Bremen Home

In the last 5 meetings, Borussia Dortmund won 3, drew 2 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Borussia Dortmund — unbeaten run (home)2

Borussia Dortmund — scoring streak (home)2

Werder Bremen — winless run (away)3

Werder Bremen — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Borussia Dortmund Win (1)61%

Draw (X)22%

Werder Bremen Win (2)17%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

94% +0.5 59%

76% +1.5 24%

53% +2.5 12%

12% +3.5 12%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

6% -0.5 41%

24% -1.5 76%

47% -2.5 88%

88% -3.5 88%

100% -4.5 100%

Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Borussia Dortmund — scored (home)2.35

Borussia Dortmund — conceded (home)0.94

Werder Bremen — scored (away)1.06

Werder Bremen — conceded (away)1.71

Model expected combined goals2.84

Both Teams To Score

Yes51%

No49%

Rate per Team

Borussia Dortmund — BTTS matches (home)41%

Werder Bremen — BTTS matches (away)47%

Combined (simple average)44%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.594%

Under 4.56%

Over 5.591%

Under 5.59%

Over 6.579%

Under 6.521%

Over 7.576%

Under 7.524%

Over 8.568%

Under 8.532%

Over 9.565%

Under 9.535%

Over 10.550%

Under 10.550%

Expected total corners (blended average)10.80

Per-Team Corners own matches

Borussia Dortmund (home)

Corners for7.2

Corners against3.4

Werder Bremen (away)

Corners for4.2

Corners against6.6

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Borussia Dortmund

Werder Bremen

10 16 10 11 9

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.594%

Under 0.56%

Over 1.577%

Under 1.523%

Over 2.562%

Under 2.538%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.2

Yellow Cards per Team

Borussia Dortmund (home)

For1.8

Werder Bremen (away)

For2.3

Shots per Game

Borussia Dortmund — total shots (home)14.8

Werder Bremen — total shots (away)10.8

Shots on Target

Borussia Dortmund — on target (home)5.4

Werder Bremen — on target (away)3.6

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Borussia Dortmund

Inside the box9.68

Outside the box3.38

Werder Bremen

Inside the box8.09

Outside the box4.94

Player Shots Borussia Dortmund

S. Guirassy

Shots on Target/Game1.2

+0.5 On Target58%

+1.5 On Target27%

S. Inacio

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target57%

+1.5 On Target14%

M. Beier

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target44%

+1.5 On Target19%

J. Brandt

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target48%

+1.5 On Target14%

K. Adeyemi

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target39%

+1.5 On Target11%

Player Shots Werder Bremen

J. Stage

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target52%

+1.5 On Target17%

J. Njinmah

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target45%

+1.5 On Target21%

R. Schmid

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target47%

+1.5 On Target12%

V. Boniface

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target45%

+1.5 On Target9%

S. Musah

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target13%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Borussia Dortmund xG (home)1.88

Werder Bremen xG (away)1.23

Average Possession

53.24% Possession 51.15%

Team Comparison Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen

83.21% Pass accuracy 81.53%

493.21 Passes per match 480.41

0.14 Goals prevented 0.2

11.71 Fouls committed 9.91

2.62 Goalkeeper saves 3.26

1.18 Offsides 1.82

14.44 Tackles per match 17.12

League average xG this season is 1.57 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen prediction analysis

Review Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Bundesliga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Bundesliga

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights