Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Bayern München

Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Bayern München prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Bundesliga 2025-10-25 13:30
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
75%
Confidence
High
Score
0-2
Bayern München
Away

Prediction Summary

1
10%
X
14%
2
76%
Over 2.5
75%
BTTS Yes
60%
Confidence
High

Market Evidence

Borussia Mönchengladbach (Home)

Goals scored / match1.41
Goals conceded / match1.41
Over 2.5 rate24%
BTTS rate35%

Bayern München (Away)

Goals scored / match3.18
Goals conceded / match1
Over 2.5 rate76%
BTTS rate59%

Team Form last 5 matches

Borussia Mönchengladbach
WLWDD
Bayern München
WWDWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

65% +0.5 100%
35% +1.5 88%
24% +2.5 76%
18% +3.5 35%
0% +4.5 18%
35% BTTS 59%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 75%. Model confidence is High.

Borussia Mönchengladbach averages 1.41 goals scored at home, while Bayern München averages 3.18 goals scored away.

Model Strength
76%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
10%
Draw
14%
Away Win
76%
Over 2.5
75%
BTTS Yes
60%

Head-to-Head last 5

Mar 2026 Borussia Mönchengladbach(A) 1 - 4 Bayern München Away
Oct 2025 Borussia Mönchengladbach 0 - 3 Bayern München Away
May 2025 Borussia Mönchengladbach(A) 0 - 2 Bayern München Away
Jan 2025 Borussia Mönchengladbach 0 - 1 Bayern München Away
Feb 2024 Borussia Mönchengladbach(A) 1 - 3 Bayern München Away

In the last 5 meetings, Borussia Mönchengladbach won 0, drew 0 and lost 5.

Current Streaks

Borussia Mönchengladbach — unbeaten run (home)7
Borussia Mönchengladbach — scoring streak (home)7
Bayern München — winless run (away)0
Bayern München — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Borussia Mönchengladbach Win (1)10%
Draw (X)14%
Bayern München Win (2)76%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

65% +0.5 100%
35% +1.5 88%
24% +2.5 76%
18% +3.5 35%
0% +4.5 18%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

35% -0.5 0%
65% -1.5 12%
76% -2.5 24%
82% -3.5 65%
100% -4.5 82%

Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Bayern München — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Borussia Mönchengladbach — scored (home)1.41
Borussia Mönchengladbach — conceded (home)1.41
Bayern München — scored (away)3.18
Bayern München — conceded (away)1
Model expected combined goals3.92

Both Teams To Score

Yes60%
No40%

Rate per Team

Borussia Mönchengladbach — BTTS matches (home)35%
Bayern München — BTTS matches (away)59%
Combined (simple average)47%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.588%
Under 4.512%
Over 5.577%
Under 5.523%
Over 6.568%
Under 6.532%
Over 7.556%
Under 7.544%
Over 8.547%
Under 8.553%
Over 9.535%
Under 9.565%
Over 10.527%
Under 10.573%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.30

Per-Team Corners own matches

Borussia Mönchengladbach (home)

Corners for3.3
Corners against4.2

Bayern München (away)

Corners for5.1
Corners against3.9

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Borussia Mönchengladbach
6 13 2 5 11
Bayern München
14 8 18 9 10

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.594%
Under 0.56%
Over 1.577%
Under 1.523%
Over 2.574%
Under 2.526%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.9

Yellow Cards per Team

Borussia Mönchengladbach (home)

For1.9

Bayern München (away)

For2.3

Shots per Game

Borussia Mönchengladbach — total shots (home)11.5
Bayern München — total shots (away)16.8

Shots on Target

Borussia Mönchengladbach — on target (home)4.5
Bayern München — on target (away)8.1

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Borussia Mönchengladbach

Inside the box7.71
Outside the box3.91

Bayern München

Inside the box12.97
Outside the box6.21

Player Shots Borussia Mönchengladbach

H. Tabaković
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target19%
R. Hack
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target13%
J. Castrop
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target27%
+1.5 On Target19%
R. Reitz
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target13%
K. Diks
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target37%
+1.5 On Target7%

Player Shots Bayern München

H. Kane
Shots on Target/Game2.2
+0.5 On Target87%
+1.5 On Target55%
M. Olise
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target81%
+1.5 On Target47%
L. Díaz
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target69%
+1.5 On Target31%
N. Jackson
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target70%
+1.5 On Target13%
S. Gnabry
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target19%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Borussia Mönchengladbach xG (home)1.26
Bayern München xG (away)2.96

Average Possession

46.71% Possession 67.44%

Team Comparison Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Bayern München

81.47% Pass accuracy 89.88%
442.29 Passes per match 700.91
0.16 Goals prevented -0.3
10.79 Fouls committed 8.79
4 Goalkeeper saves 2.03
1.94 Offsides 2.44
16.5 Tackles per match 12.79

League average xG this season is 1.57 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Bayern München prediction analysis

Review Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Bayern München with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Bundesliga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Bundesliga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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