Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Botafogo SP vs America Mineiro

Botafogo SP vs America Mineiro prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie B 2026-08-08 21:30
Botafogo SP
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
54%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
America Mineiro
Away

Prediction Summary

1
49%
X
24%
2
27%
Over 2.5
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Botafogo SP (Home)

Goals scored / match2.33
Goals conceded / match1.33
Over 2.5 rate67%
BTTS rate67%

America Mineiro (Away)

Goals scored / match1
Goals conceded / match1
Over 2.5 rate25%
BTTS rate25%

Team Form last 5 matches

Botafogo SP
WDDWL
America Mineiro
LDDLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

67% +0.5 50%
67% +1.5 25%
67% +2.5 25%
33% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
67% BTTS 25%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 54%. Model confidence is Medium.

Botafogo SP averages 2.33 goals scored at home, while America Mineiro averages 1 goals scored away.

Model Strength
56%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
49%
Draw
24%
Away Win
27%
Over 2.5
54%
BTTS Yes
56%

Head-to-Head last 5

Aug 2025 Botafogo SP 2 - 1 America Mineiro Home
Apr 2025 Botafogo SP(A) 0 - 1 America Mineiro Away
Aug 2024 Botafogo SP(A) 1 - 3 America Mineiro Away
Apr 2024 Botafogo SP 1 - 1 America Mineiro Draw
Jan 2021 Botafogo SP(A) 1 - 1 America Mineiro Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Botafogo SP won 1, drew 2 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Botafogo SP — unbeaten run (home)2
Botafogo SP — scoring streak (home)2
America Mineiro — winless run (away)3
America Mineiro — clean sheets (away, last 4)1 of 4

1X2 Probability model

Botafogo SP Win (1)49%
Draw (X)24%
America Mineiro Win (2)27%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

67% +0.5 50%
67% +1.5 25%
67% +2.5 25%
33% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

33% -0.5 50%
33% -1.5 75%
33% -2.5 75%
67% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Botafogo SP vs America Mineiro — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Botafogo SP — scored (home)2.33
Botafogo SP — conceded (home)1.33
America Mineiro — scored (away)1
America Mineiro — conceded (away)1
Model expected combined goals2.83

Both Teams To Score

Yes56%
No44%

Rate per Team

Botafogo SP — BTTS matches (home)67%
America Mineiro — BTTS matches (away)25%
Combined (simple average)46%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.563%
Under 8.537%
Over 9.553%
Under 9.547%
Over 10.543%
Under 10.557%
Expected total corners (model prediction)10.10

Per-Team Corners own matches

Botafogo SP (home)

Corners for7.0
Corners against5.0

America Mineiro (away)

Corners for2.8
Corners against6.8

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Botafogo SP
12 17 8 11 11
America Mineiro
13 9 9 8 6

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.5100%
Under 1.50%
Over 2.571%
Under 2.529%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.4

Yellow Cards per Team

Botafogo SP (home)

For1.0

America Mineiro (away)

For3.0

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.573%
Under 19.527%
Over 22.558%
Under 22.542%
Over 25.543%
Under 25.557%
Expected total shots24.82

Botafogo SP

Shots Over 9.580%
Shots Over 11.565%
Shots Over 13.549%
Expected shots13.85
On Target Over 3.562%
On Target Over 4.544%
On Target Over 5.528%
Expected on target4.37

America Mineiro

Shots Over 9.560%
Shots Over 11.542%
Shots Over 13.526%
Expected shots10.97
On Target Over 3.551%
On Target Over 4.532%
On Target Over 5.518%
Expected on target3.74

Shots per Game

Botafogo SP — total shots (home)13.7
America Mineiro — total shots (away)8.8

Shots on Target

Botafogo SP — on target (home)5.0
America Mineiro — on target (away)4.8

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Botafogo SP

Inside the box8
Outside the box4

America Mineiro

Inside the box6
Outside the box4.17

Player Shots Botafogo SP

Wesley Pinheiro
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target33%
Hygor
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target25%
Patrick Brey
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target20%
Rafael Gava
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target20%
Kelvin
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target75%
+1.5 On Target25%

Player Shots America Mineiro

Guilherme Parede
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target33%
M. Segovia
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target100%
+1.5 On Target50%
Paulo Victor
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target17%
Willian
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target0%
Dalbert Henrique
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target20%
+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Botafogo SP xG (home)1.27
America Mineiro xG (away)1.03

Average Possession

44.8% Possession 50.83%

Team Comparison Botafogo SP vs America Mineiro

75.84% Pass accuracy 84.84%
332.6 Passes per match 384.67
-0.47 Goals prevented -0.12
18.2 Fouls committed 13.33
2.8 Goalkeeper saves 4.33
1.8 Offsides 1.33
15.4 Tackles per match 12.67

League average xG this season is 1.13 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Botafogo SP vs America Mineiro prediction analysis

Review Botafogo SP vs America Mineiro with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie B.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie B
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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