What markets are included in the Botafogo vs Atletico-MG prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Botafogo vs Atletico-MG prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Botafogo vs Atletico-MG

Botafogo vs Atletico-MG prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-09-20 21:30

Botafogo

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

47%

Confidence

Low

Score

1-0

Atletico-MG

Away

Prediction Summary

54%

25%

21%

Under 2.5

53%

BTTS No

52%

Confidence

Low

Market Evidence

Botafogo (Home)

Goals scored / match2.05

Goals conceded / match1.26

Over 2.5 rate42%

BTTS rate53%

Atletico-MG (Away)

Goals scored / match0.68

Goals conceded / match1.37

Over 2.5 rate5%

BTTS rate32%

Team Form last 5 matches

Botafogo

WDDWW

Atletico-MG

WLLDL

Goals Comparison rate per team

79% +0.5 42%

68% +1.5 16%

42% +2.5 5%

16% +3.5 5%

0% +4.5 0%

53% BTTS 32%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 47%. Model confidence is Low.

Botafogo averages 2.05 goals scored at home, while Atletico-MG averages 0.68 goals scored away.

Model Strength

54%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

54%

Draw

25%

Away Win

21%

Over 2.5

47%

BTTS Yes

48%

Head-to-Head last 5

Sep 2025 Botafogo 1 - 0 Atletico-MG Home

Apr 2025 Botafogo(A) 0 - 1 Atletico-MG Away

Nov 2024 Botafogo(A) 0 - 0 Atletico-MG Draw

Jul 2024 Botafogo 3 - 0 Atletico-MG Home

Sep 2023 Botafogo(A) 0 - 1 Atletico-MG Away

In the last 5 meetings, Botafogo won 2, drew 1 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Botafogo — unbeaten run (home)5

Botafogo — scoring streak (home)5

Atletico-MG — winless run (away)2

Atletico-MG — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Botafogo Win (1)54%

Draw (X)25%

Atletico-MG Win (2)21%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

79% +0.5 42%

68% +1.5 16%

42% +2.5 5%

16% +3.5 5%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

21% -0.5 58%

32% -1.5 84%

58% -2.5 95%

84% -3.5 95%

100% -4.5 100%

Botafogo vs Atletico-MG — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Botafogo — scored (home)2.05

Botafogo — conceded (home)1.26

Atletico-MG — scored (away)0.68

Atletico-MG — conceded (away)1.37

Model expected combined goals2.54

Both Teams To Score

Yes48%

No52%

Rate per Team

Botafogo — BTTS matches (home)53%

Atletico-MG — BTTS matches (away)32%

Combined (simple average)42.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%

Under 4.52%

Over 5.595%

Under 5.55%

Over 6.584%

Under 6.516%

Over 7.579%

Under 7.521%

Over 8.563%

Under 8.537%

Over 9.553%

Under 9.547%

Over 10.547%

Under 10.553%

Expected total corners (blended average)10.00

Per-Team Corners own matches

Botafogo (home)

Corners for5.6

Corners against3.8

Atletico-MG (away)

Corners for4.8

Corners against5.7

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Botafogo

12 8 12 8 4

Atletico-MG

10 6 11 16 7

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.592%

Under 1.58%

Over 2.589%

Under 2.511%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.2

Yellow Cards per Team

Botafogo (home)

For2.3

Atletico-MG (away)

For2.4

Shots per Game

Botafogo — total shots (home)16.4

Atletico-MG — total shots (away)12.5

Shots on Target

Botafogo — on target (home)6.3

Atletico-MG — on target (away)3.7

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Botafogo

Inside the box9.21

Outside the box5.11

Atletico-MG

Inside the box8.32

Outside the box6.76

Player Shots Botafogo

Igor Jesus

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target80%

+1.5 On Target40%

Chris Ramos

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target62%

+1.5 On Target15%

Arthur Cabral

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target57%

+1.5 On Target10%

J. Savarino

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target48%

+1.5 On Target15%

Artur

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target46%

+1.5 On Target11%

Player Shots Atletico-MG

Rony

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target60%

+1.5 On Target29%

Hulk

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target52%

+1.5 On Target27%

T. Cuello

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target25%

João Marcelo

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target43%

+1.5 On Target14%

Guilherme Arana

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target28%

+1.5 On Target12%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Botafogo xG (home)1.32

Atletico-MG xG (away)1.09

Average Possession

51.76% Possession 54.16%

Team Comparison Botafogo vs Atletico-MG

85.26% Pass accuracy 83.87%

454.05 Passes per match 451.13

0.12 Goals prevented 0.03

14.61 Fouls committed 13.24

2.47 Goalkeeper saves 2.92

1.36 Offsides 1.83

15.24 Tackles per match 15.45

League average xG this season is 1.23 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Botafogo vs Atletico-MG prediction analysis

Review Botafogo vs Atletico-MG with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights