What markets are included in the Botafogo vs Bahia prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Botafogo vs Bahia prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Botafogo vs Bahia

Botafogo vs Bahia prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions

Serie A 2025-10-02 00:30

Botafogo

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

50%

Confidence

Low

Score

1-0

Bahia

Away

Prediction Summary

53%

24%

23%

O/U 2.5 · No edge

50%

BTTS Yes

51%

Confidence

Low

Market Evidence

Botafogo (Home)

Goals scored / match2.05

Goals conceded / match1.26

Over 2.5 rate42%

BTTS rate53%

Bahia (Away)

Goals scored / match0.89

Goals conceded / match1.68

Over 2.5 rate5%

BTTS rate53%

Team Form last 5 matches

Botafogo

WDDWW

Bahia

LWDWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

79% +0.5 63%

68% +1.5 21%

42% +2.5 5%

16% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

53% BTTS 53%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 50%. Model confidence is Low.

Botafogo averages 2.05 goals scored at home, while Bahia averages 0.89 goals scored away.

Model Strength

53%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

53%

Draw

24%

Away Win

23%

Over 2.5

50%

BTTS Yes

51%

Head-to-Head last 5

Oct 2025 Botafogo 2 - 1 Bahia Home

May 2025 Botafogo(A) 0 - 1 Bahia Away

Aug 2024 Botafogo(A) 0 - 0 Bahia Draw

Aug 2024 Botafogo(A) 0 - 1 Bahia Away

Jul 2024 Botafogo 1 - 1 Bahia Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Botafogo won 1, drew 2 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Botafogo — unbeaten run (home)5

Botafogo — scoring streak (home)5

Bahia — winless run (away)10

Bahia — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Botafogo Win (1)53%

Draw (X)24%

Bahia Win (2)23%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

79% +0.5 63%

68% +1.5 21%

42% +2.5 5%

16% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

21% -0.5 37%

32% -1.5 79%

58% -2.5 95%

84% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Botafogo vs Bahia — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Botafogo — scored (home)2.05

Botafogo — conceded (home)1.26

Bahia — scored (away)0.89

Bahia — conceded (away)1.68

Model expected combined goals2.67

Both Teams To Score

Yes51%

No49%

Rate per Team

Botafogo — BTTS matches (home)53%

Bahia — BTTS matches (away)53%

Combined (simple average)53%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%

Under 4.52%

Over 5.592%

Under 5.58%

Over 6.584%

Under 6.516%

Over 7.579%

Under 7.521%

Over 8.571%

Under 8.529%

Over 9.553%

Under 9.547%

Over 10.540%

Under 10.560%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.90

Per-Team Corners own matches

Botafogo (home)

Corners for5.6

Corners against3.8

Bahia (away)

Corners for4.2

Corners against6.1

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Botafogo

12 8 12 8 4

Bahia

12 12 11 8 9

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%

Under 0.52%

Over 1.592%

Under 1.58%

Over 2.584%

Under 2.516%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.2

Yellow Cards per Team

Botafogo (home)

For2.3

Bahia (away)

For2.5

Shots per Game

Botafogo — total shots (home)16.4

Bahia — total shots (away)11.8

Shots on Target

Botafogo — on target (home)6.3

Bahia — on target (away)3.8

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Botafogo

Inside the box9.21

Outside the box5.11

Bahia

Inside the box8.42

Outside the box5.45

Player Shots Botafogo

Igor Jesus

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target80%

+1.5 On Target40%

Chris Ramos

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target62%

+1.5 On Target15%

Arthur Cabral

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target57%

+1.5 On Target10%

J. Savarino

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target48%

+1.5 On Target15%

Artur

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target46%

+1.5 On Target11%

Player Shots Bahia

Willian José

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target61%

+1.5 On Target18%

Erick Pulga

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target54%

+1.5 On Target13%

L. Rodríguez

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target39%

+1.5 On Target22%

Ademir

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target40%

+1.5 On Target17%

Rodrigo Nestor

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target45%

+1.5 On Target9%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Botafogo xG (home)1.32

Bahia xG (away)1.37

Average Possession

51.76% Possession 55.26%

Team Comparison Botafogo vs Bahia

85.26% Pass accuracy 85.92%

454.05 Passes per match 468.39

0.12 Goals prevented -0.11

14.61 Fouls committed 12.32

2.47 Goalkeeper saves 2.92

1.36 Offsides 1.25

15.24 Tackles per match 15.87

League average xG this season is 1.23 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Botafogo vs Bahia prediction analysis

Review Botafogo vs Bahia with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights