What markets are included in the Botafogo vs Gremio prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Botafogo vs Gremio prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Botafogo vs Gremio

Botafogo vs Gremio prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-11-22 22:30

Botafogo

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

56%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

Gremio

Away

Prediction Summary

55%

23%

Over 2.5

56%

BTTS Yes

56%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Botafogo (Home)

Goals scored / match2.05

Goals conceded / match1.26

Over 2.5 rate42%

BTTS rate53%

Gremio (Away)

Goals scored / match1.21

Goals conceded / match1.74

Over 2.5 rate16%

BTTS rate58%

Team Form last 5 matches

Botafogo

WDDWW

Gremio

WLWLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

79% +0.5 68%

68% +1.5 32%

42% +2.5 16%

16% +3.5 5%

0% +4.5 0%

53% BTTS 58%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 56%. Model confidence is Medium.

Botafogo averages 2.05 goals scored at home, while Gremio averages 1.21 goals scored away.

Model Strength

56%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

55%

Draw

23%

Away Win

23%

Over 2.5

56%

BTTS Yes

56%

Head-to-Head last 5

Nov 2025 Botafogo 3 - 2 Gremio Home

Sep 2025 Botafogo(A) 1 - 1 Gremio Draw

Sep 2024 Botafogo 0 - 0 Gremio Draw

Jun 2024 Botafogo(A) 2 - 1 Gremio Home

Nov 2023 Botafogo 3 - 4 Gremio Away

In the last 5 meetings, Botafogo won 2, drew 2 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Botafogo — unbeaten run (home)5

Botafogo — scoring streak (home)5

Gremio — winless run (away)0

Gremio — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Botafogo Win (1)55%

Draw (X)23%

Gremio Win (2)23%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

79% +0.5 68%

68% +1.5 32%

42% +2.5 16%

16% +3.5 5%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

21% -0.5 32%

32% -1.5 68%

58% -2.5 84%

84% -3.5 95%

100% -4.5 100%

Botafogo vs Gremio — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Botafogo — scored (home)2.05

Botafogo — conceded (home)1.26

Gremio — scored (away)1.21

Gremio — conceded (away)1.74

Model expected combined goals2.91

Both Teams To Score

Yes56%

No44%

Rate per Team

Botafogo — BTTS matches (home)53%

Gremio — BTTS matches (away)58%

Combined (simple average)55.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%

Under 4.52%

Over 5.592%

Under 5.58%

Over 6.584%

Under 6.516%

Over 7.582%

Under 7.518%

Over 8.566%

Under 8.534%

Over 9.553%

Under 9.547%

Over 10.545%

Under 10.555%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.80

Per-Team Corners own matches

Botafogo (home)

Corners for5.6

Corners against3.8

Gremio (away)

Corners for3.7

Corners against6.4

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Botafogo

12 8 12 8 4

Gremio

8 8 8 10 6

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.598%

Under 1.52%

Over 2.595%

Under 2.55%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.3

Yellow Cards per Team

Botafogo (home)

For2.3

Gremio (away)

For2.8

Shots per Game

Botafogo — total shots (home)16.4

Gremio — total shots (away)10.1

Shots on Target

Botafogo — on target (home)6.3

Gremio — on target (away)3.7

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Botafogo

Inside the box9.21

Outside the box5.11

Gremio

Inside the box7.21

Outside the box5.03

Player Shots Botafogo

Igor Jesus

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target80%

+1.5 On Target40%

Chris Ramos

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target62%

+1.5 On Target15%

Arthur Cabral

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target57%

+1.5 On Target10%

J. Savarino

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target48%

+1.5 On Target15%

Artur

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target46%

+1.5 On Target11%

Player Shots Gremio

Carlos Vinícius

Shots on Target/Game1.1

+0.5 On Target64%

+1.5 On Target36%

M. Braithwaite

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target67%

+1.5 On Target17%

F. Amuzu

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target45%

+1.5 On Target18%

André Henrique

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target44%

+1.5 On Target16%

M. Arezo

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target25%

+1.5 On Target25%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Botafogo xG (home)1.32

Gremio xG (away)1.29

Average Possession

51.76% Possession 45.16%

Team Comparison Botafogo vs Gremio

85.26% Pass accuracy 82.32%

454.05 Passes per match 379.66

0.12 Goals prevented 0.22

14.61 Fouls committed 13.37

2.47 Goalkeeper saves 3.41

1.36 Offsides 1.08

15.24 Tackles per match 17.37

League average xG this season is 1.23 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Botafogo vs Gremio prediction analysis

Review Botafogo vs Gremio with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights