Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Botafogo vs Internacional

Botafogo vs Internacional prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-05-11 23:00
Botafogo
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
48%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Internacional
Away

Prediction Summary

1
59%
X
23%
2
18%
Under 2.5
52%
BTTS No
53%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Botafogo (Home)

Goals scored / match2.05
Goals conceded / match1.26
Over 2.5 rate42%
BTTS rate53%

Internacional (Away)

Goals scored / match0.89
Goals conceded / match1.95
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate63%

Team Form last 5 matches

Botafogo
WDDWW
Internacional
WLLDW

Goals Comparison rate per team

79% +0.5 63%
68% +1.5 21%
42% +2.5 5%
16% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
53% BTTS 63%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 48%. Model confidence is Medium.

Botafogo averages 2.05 goals scored at home, while Internacional averages 0.89 goals scored away.

Model Strength
59%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
59%
Draw
23%
Away Win
18%
Over 2.5
48%
BTTS Yes
47%

Head-to-Head last 5

Oct 2025 Botafogo(A) 0 - 2 Internacional Away
May 2025 Botafogo 4 - 0 Internacional Home
Dec 2024 Botafogo(A) 1 - 0 Internacional Home
Jul 2024 Botafogo 1 - 0 Internacional Home
Dec 2023 Botafogo(A) 1 - 3 Internacional Away

In the last 5 meetings, Botafogo won 3, drew 0 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Botafogo — unbeaten run (home)5
Botafogo — scoring streak (home)5
Internacional — winless run (away)2
Internacional — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Botafogo Win (1)59%
Draw (X)23%
Internacional Win (2)18%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

79% +0.5 63%
68% +1.5 21%
42% +2.5 5%
16% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

21% -0.5 37%
32% -1.5 79%
58% -2.5 95%
84% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Botafogo vs Internacional — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Botafogo — scored (home)2.05
Botafogo — conceded (home)1.26
Internacional — scored (away)0.89
Internacional — conceded (away)1.95
Model expected combined goals2.58

Both Teams To Score

Yes47%
No53%

Rate per Team

Botafogo — BTTS matches (home)53%
Internacional — BTTS matches (away)63%
Combined (simple average)58%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%
Under 4.52%
Over 5.595%
Under 5.55%
Over 6.584%
Under 6.516%
Over 7.579%
Under 7.521%
Over 8.563%
Under 8.537%
Over 9.550%
Under 9.550%
Over 10.534%
Under 10.566%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

Botafogo (home)

Corners for5.6
Corners against3.8

Internacional (away)

Corners for4.2
Corners against5.1

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Botafogo
12 8 12 8 4
Internacional
8 5 7 13 6

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.592%
Under 1.58%
Over 2.587%
Under 2.513%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.9

Yellow Cards per Team

Botafogo (home)

For2.3

Internacional (away)

For2.3

Shots per Game

Botafogo — total shots (home)16.4
Internacional — total shots (away)10.4

Shots on Target

Botafogo — on target (home)6.3
Internacional — on target (away)3.4

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Botafogo

Inside the box9.21
Outside the box5.11

Internacional

Inside the box8.08
Outside the box5.5

Player Shots Botafogo

Igor Jesus
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target80%
+1.5 On Target40%
Chris Ramos
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target62%
+1.5 On Target15%
Arthur Cabral
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target10%
J. Savarino
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target15%
Artur
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target11%

Player Shots Internacional

J. Carbonero
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target13%
Alan Patrick
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target13%
Ricardo Mathias
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target23%
Gustavo Prado
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target17%
Tabata
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target8%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Botafogo xG (home)1.32
Internacional xG (away)1.4

Average Possession

51.76% Possession 51.08%

Team Comparison Botafogo vs Internacional

85.26% Pass accuracy 82.63%
454.05 Passes per match 429.03
0.12 Goals prevented -0.13
14.61 Fouls committed 14.89
2.47 Goalkeeper saves 2.61
1.36 Offsides 1.78
15.24 Tackles per match 18.39

League average xG this season is 1.23 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Botafogo vs Internacional prediction analysis

Review Botafogo vs Internacional with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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