Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Botafogo vs RB Bragantino

Botafogo vs RB Bragantino prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions
Serie A 2025-08-30 21:30
Botafogo
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
42%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
RB Bragantino
Away

Prediction Summary

1
46%
X
27%
2
27%
Under 2.5
58%
BTTS No
53%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Botafogo (Home)

Goals scored / match2.05
Goals conceded / match1.26
Over 2.5 rate42%
BTTS rate53%

RB Bragantino (Away)

Goals scored / match0.95
Goals conceded / match1.74
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate63%

Team Form last 5 matches

Botafogo
WDDWW
RB Bragantino
LWLLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

79% +0.5 79%
68% +1.5 16%
42% +2.5 0%
16% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
53% BTTS 63%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 42%. Model confidence is Medium.

Botafogo averages 2.05 goals scored at home, while RB Bragantino averages 0.95 goals scored away.

Model Strength
58%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
46%
Draw
27%
Away Win
27%
Over 2.5
42%
BTTS Yes
47%

Head-to-Head last 5

Aug 2025 Botafogo 4 - 1 RB Bragantino Home
Aug 2025 Botafogo(A) 1 - 0 RB Bragantino Home
Jul 2025 Botafogo 2 - 0 RB Bragantino Home
Apr 2025 Botafogo(A) 0 - 1 RB Bragantino Away
Oct 2024 Botafogo(A) 1 - 0 RB Bragantino Home

In the last 5 meetings, Botafogo won 4, drew 0 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Botafogo — unbeaten run (home)5
Botafogo — scoring streak (home)5
RB Bragantino — winless run (away)2
RB Bragantino — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Botafogo Win (1)46%
Draw (X)27%
RB Bragantino Win (2)27%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

79% +0.5 79%
68% +1.5 16%
42% +2.5 0%
16% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

21% -0.5 21%
32% -1.5 84%
58% -2.5 100%
84% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Botafogo vs RB Bragantino — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Botafogo — scored (home)2.05
Botafogo — conceded (home)1.26
RB Bragantino — scored (away)0.95
RB Bragantino — conceded (away)1.74
Model expected combined goals2.37

Both Teams To Score

Yes47%
No53%

Rate per Team

Botafogo — BTTS matches (home)53%
RB Bragantino — BTTS matches (away)63%
Combined (simple average)58%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%
Under 4.52%
Over 5.595%
Under 5.55%
Over 6.584%
Under 6.516%
Over 7.574%
Under 7.526%
Over 8.566%
Under 8.534%
Over 9.558%
Under 9.542%
Over 10.547%
Under 10.553%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.00

Per-Team Corners own matches

Botafogo (home)

Corners for5.6
Corners against3.8

RB Bragantino (away)

Corners for4.1
Corners against6.4

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Botafogo
12 8 12 8 4
RB Bragantino
10 10 11 5 6

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.595%
Under 1.55%
Over 2.589%
Under 2.511%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.5

Yellow Cards per Team

Botafogo (home)

For2.3

RB Bragantino (away)

For3.3

Shots per Game

Botafogo — total shots (home)16.4
RB Bragantino — total shots (away)9.6

Shots on Target

Botafogo — on target (home)6.3
RB Bragantino — on target (away)3.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Botafogo

Inside the box9.21
Outside the box5.11

RB Bragantino

Inside the box7.58
Outside the box4.79

Player Shots Botafogo

Igor Jesus
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target80%
+1.5 On Target40%
Chris Ramos
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target62%
+1.5 On Target15%
Arthur Cabral
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target10%
J. Savarino
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target15%
Artur
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target11%

Player Shots RB Bragantino

Eduardo Sasha
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target27%
Jhon Jhon
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target9%
Lucas Barbosa
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target12%
Henry Mosquera
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target6%
I. Laquintana
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Botafogo xG (home)1.32
RB Bragantino xG (away)1.16

Average Possession

51.76% Possession 47.82%

Team Comparison Botafogo vs RB Bragantino

85.26% Pass accuracy 81.68%
454.05 Passes per match 390.63
0.12 Goals prevented 0.01
14.61 Fouls committed 14.11
2.47 Goalkeeper saves 3.53
1.36 Offsides 1.46
15.24 Tackles per match 15.47

League average xG this season is 1.23 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Botafogo vs RB Bragantino prediction analysis

Review Botafogo vs RB Bragantino with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
Scroll to Top