What markets are included in the Botafogo vs Vasco DA Gama prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Botafogo vs Vasco DA Gama prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Botafogo vs Vasco DA Gama

Botafogo vs Vasco DA Gama prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-11-05 22:30

Botafogo

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

58%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

Vasco DA Gama

Away

Prediction Summary

43%

24%

33%

Over 2.5

58%

BTTS Yes

61%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Botafogo (Home)

Goals scored / match2.05

Goals conceded / match1.26

Over 2.5 rate42%

BTTS rate53%

Vasco DA Gama (Away)

Goals scored / match1.26

Goals conceded / match1.79

Over 2.5 rate21%

BTTS rate42%

Team Form last 5 matches

Botafogo

WDDWW

Vasco DA Gama

LLWLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

79% +0.5 58%

68% +1.5 32%

42% +2.5 21%

16% +3.5 5%

0% +4.5 5%

53% BTTS 42%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 58%. Model confidence is Medium.

Botafogo averages 2.05 goals scored at home, while Vasco DA Gama averages 1.26 goals scored away.

Model Strength

61%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

43%

Draw

24%

Away Win

33%

Over 2.5

58%

BTTS Yes

61%

Head-to-Head last 5

Nov 2025 Botafogo 3 - 0 Vasco DA Gama Home

Sep 2025 Botafogo 1 - 1 Vasco DA Gama Draw

Aug 2025 Botafogo(A) 1 - 1 Vasco DA Gama Draw

Jul 2025 Botafogo(A) 2 - 0 Vasco DA Gama Home

Nov 2024 Botafogo 3 - 0 Vasco DA Gama Home

In the last 5 meetings, Botafogo won 3, drew 2 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Botafogo — unbeaten run (home)5

Botafogo — scoring streak (home)5

Vasco DA Gama — winless run (away)4

Vasco DA Gama — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Botafogo Win (1)43%

Draw (X)24%

Vasco DA Gama Win (2)33%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

79% +0.5 58%

68% +1.5 32%

42% +2.5 21%

16% +3.5 5%

0% +4.5 5%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

21% -0.5 42%

32% -1.5 68%

58% -2.5 79%

84% -3.5 95%

100% -4.5 95%

Botafogo vs Vasco DA Gama — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Botafogo — scored (home)2.05

Botafogo — conceded (home)1.26

Vasco DA Gama — scored (away)1.26

Vasco DA Gama — conceded (away)1.79

Model expected combined goals3.03

Both Teams To Score

Yes61%

No39%

Rate per Team

Botafogo — BTTS matches (home)53%

Vasco DA Gama — BTTS matches (away)42%

Combined (simple average)47.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.592%

Under 4.58%

Over 5.587%

Under 5.513%

Over 6.577%

Under 6.523%

Over 7.569%

Under 7.531%

Over 8.553%

Under 8.547%

Over 9.545%

Under 9.555%

Over 10.540%

Under 10.560%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.10

Per-Team Corners own matches

Botafogo (home)

Corners for5.6

Corners against3.8

Vasco DA Gama (away)

Corners for3.5

Corners against5.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Botafogo

12 8 12 8 4

Vasco DA Gama

8 12 7 11 7

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.595%

Under 0.55%

Over 1.590%

Under 1.510%

Over 2.582%

Under 2.518%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.8

Yellow Cards per Team

Botafogo (home)

For2.3

Vasco DA Gama (away)

For2.4

Shots per Game

Botafogo — total shots (home)16.4

Vasco DA Gama — total shots (away)10.3

Shots on Target

Botafogo — on target (home)6.3

Vasco DA Gama — on target (away)3.9

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Botafogo

Inside the box9.21

Outside the box5.11

Vasco DA Gama

Inside the box7.05

Outside the box5.55

Player Shots Botafogo

Igor Jesus

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target80%

+1.5 On Target40%

Chris Ramos

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target62%

+1.5 On Target15%

Arthur Cabral

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target57%

+1.5 On Target10%

J. Savarino

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target48%

+1.5 On Target15%

Artur

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target46%

+1.5 On Target11%

Player Shots Vasco DA Gama

Rayan

Shots on Target/Game1.1

+0.5 On Target74%

+1.5 On Target38%

Philippe Coutinho

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target60%

+1.5 On Target17%

P. Vegetti

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target46%

+1.5 On Target17%

A. Gómez

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target19%

Nuno Moreira

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target42%

+1.5 On Target8%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Botafogo xG (home)1.32

Vasco DA Gama xG (away)1.17

Average Possession

51.76% Possession 54.58%

Team Comparison Botafogo vs Vasco DA Gama

85.26% Pass accuracy 86.47%

454.05 Passes per match 481

0.12 Goals prevented -0.15

14.61 Fouls committed 13.18

2.47 Goalkeeper saves 3

1.36 Offsides 0.81

15.24 Tackles per match 13.68

League average xG this season is 1.23 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Botafogo vs Vasco DA Gama prediction analysis

Review Botafogo vs Vasco DA Gama with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights