Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Boulogne vs Nancy

Boulogne vs Nancy prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Ligue 2 2026-08-08 18:45
Boulogne
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
BTTS Yes
Pick
Yes
Probability
56%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Nancy
Away

Prediction Summary

1
31%
X
25%
2
43%
Over 2.5
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Boulogne (Home)

Goals scored / match1.18
Goals conceded / match1.94
Over 2.5 rate12%
BTTS rate59%

Nancy (Away)

Goals scored / match1.12
Goals conceded / match1.35
Over 2.5 rate12%
BTTS rate65%

Team Form last 5 matches

Boulogne
LLLLD
Nancy
WWDLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

71% +0.5 65%
29% +1.5 35%
12% +2.5 12%
6% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
59% BTTS 65%

Model Insight

The selected market is BTTS Yes with a probability of 56%. Model confidence is Medium.

Boulogne averages 1.18 goals scored at home, while Nancy averages 1.12 goals scored away.

Model Strength
56%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
31%
Draw
25%
Away Win
43%
Over 2.5
53%
BTTS Yes
56%

Head-to-Head last 2

Mar 2026 Boulogne 0 - 0 Nancy Draw
Aug 2025 Boulogne(A) 0 - 1 Nancy Away

In the last 2 meetings, Boulogne won 0, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Boulogne — unbeaten run (home)0
Boulogne — scoring streak (home)2
Nancy — winless run (away)0
Nancy — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Boulogne Win (1)31%
Draw (X)25%
Nancy Win (2)43%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

71% +0.5 65%
29% +1.5 35%
12% +2.5 12%
6% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

29% -0.5 35%
71% -1.5 65%
88% -2.5 88%
94% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Boulogne vs Nancy — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Boulogne — scored (home)1.18
Boulogne — conceded (home)1.94
Nancy — scored (away)1.12
Nancy — conceded (away)1.35
Model expected combined goals2.79

Both Teams To Score

Yes56%
No44%

Rate per Team

Boulogne — BTTS matches (home)59%
Nancy — BTTS matches (away)65%
Combined (simple average)62%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.554%
Under 8.546%
Over 9.543%
Under 9.557%
Over 10.534%
Under 10.566%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

Boulogne (home)

Corners for4.2
Corners against3.6

Nancy (away)

Corners for3.5
Corners against5.7

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Boulogne
9 9 8 8 14
Nancy
7 4 4 11 8

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.597%
Under 0.53%
Over 1.588%
Under 1.512%
Over 2.583%
Under 2.517%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.5

Yellow Cards per Team

Boulogne (home)

For2.5

Nancy (away)

For2.4

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.558%
Under 19.542%
Over 22.541%
Under 22.559%
Over 25.527%
Under 25.573%
Expected total shots21.56

Boulogne

Shots Over 9.564%
Shots Over 11.546%
Shots Over 13.530%
Expected shots11.42
On Target Over 3.554%
On Target Over 4.536%
On Target Over 5.522%
Expected on target3.96

Nancy

Shots Over 9.552%
Shots Over 11.534%
Shots Over 13.520%
Expected shots10.14
On Target Over 3.548%
On Target Over 4.531%
On Target Over 5.518%
Expected on target3.66

Shots per Game

Boulogne — total shots (home)8.6
Nancy — total shots (away)9.5

Shots on Target

Boulogne — on target (home)2.9
Nancy — on target (away)2.9

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Boulogne

Inside the box6.15
Outside the box3.85

Nancy

Inside the box6.47
Outside the box4.62

Player Shots Boulogne

G. Capuano
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target14%
+1.5 On Target7%
S. Keita
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target29%
V. Burlet
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target24%
+1.5 On Target6%
J. Bultel
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target7%
+1.5 On Target3%
N. Fatar
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target13%

Player Shots Nancy

Z. Fdaouch
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target17%
A. Dabasse
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target31%
+1.5 On Target13%
B. Bokangu
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target24%
+1.5 On Target8%
N. Fernandez-Veliz
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target10%
+1.5 On Target3%
T. Bouriaud
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target22%
+1.5 On Target6%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Boulogne xG (home)0
Nancy xG (away)0

Average Possession

45.76% Possession 41.76%

Team Comparison Boulogne vs Nancy

72.68% Pass accuracy 73.76%
367.15 Passes per match 336.59
0 Goals prevented 0
14.38 Fouls committed 14.56
2.42 Goalkeeper saves 3
2.42 Offsides 2.06
17.76 Tackles per match 16
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Boulogne vs Nancy prediction analysis

Review Boulogne vs Nancy with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Ligue 2.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Ligue 2
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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