What markets are included in the Bournemouth vs Burnley prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Bournemouth vs Burnley prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Bournemouth vs Burnley

Bournemouth vs Burnley prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Premier League 2025-12-20 15:00

Bournemouth

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

59%

Confidence

Medium

Score

2-0

Burnley

Away

Prediction Summary

62%

21%

18%

Over 2.5

59%

BTTS Yes

55%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Bournemouth (Home)

Goals scored / match1.53

Goals conceded / match1.05

Over 2.5 rate21%

BTTS rate63%

Burnley (Away)

Goals scored / match1.05

Goals conceded / match2.42

Over 2.5 rate11%

BTTS rate74%

Team Form last 5 matches

Bournemouth

DDWWD

Burnley

DLDLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

79% +0.5 74%

53% +1.5 21%

21% +2.5 11%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

63% BTTS 74%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 59%. Model confidence is Medium.

Bournemouth averages 1.53 goals scored at home, while Burnley averages 1.05 goals scored away.

Model Strength

62%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

62%

Draw

21%

Away Win

18%

Over 2.5

59%

BTTS Yes

55%

Head-to-Head last 5

Mar 2026 Bournemouth(A) 0 - 0 Burnley Draw

Dec 2025 Bournemouth 1 - 1 Burnley Draw

Mar 2024 Bournemouth(A) 2 - 0 Burnley Home

Oct 2023 Bournemouth 2 - 1 Burnley Home

Jan 2023 Bournemouth 2 - 4 Burnley Away

In the last 5 meetings, Bournemouth won 2, drew 2 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Bournemouth — unbeaten run (home)9

Bournemouth — scoring streak (home)4

Burnley — winless run (away)6

Burnley — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Bournemouth Win (1)62%

Draw (X)21%

Burnley Win (2)18%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

79% +0.5 74%

53% +1.5 21%

21% +2.5 11%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

21% -0.5 26%

47% -1.5 79%

79% -2.5 89%

100% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Bournemouth vs Burnley — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Bournemouth — scored (home)1.53

Bournemouth — conceded (home)1.05

Burnley — scored (away)1.05

Burnley — conceded (away)2.42

Model expected combined goals3.06

Both Teams To Score

Yes55%

No45%

Rate per Team

Bournemouth — BTTS matches (home)63%

Burnley — BTTS matches (away)74%

Combined (simple average)68.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%

Under 4.52%

Over 5.592%

Under 5.58%

Over 6.590%

Under 6.510%

Over 7.577%

Under 7.523%

Over 8.558%

Under 8.542%

Over 9.556%

Under 9.544%

Over 10.540%

Under 10.560%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.80

Per-Team Corners own matches

Bournemouth (home)

Corners for6.0

Corners against4.0

Burnley (away)

Corners for3.5

Corners against6.0

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Bournemouth

13 8 13 13 9

Burnley

14 5 10 6 14

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%

Under 0.52%

Over 1.590%

Under 1.510%

Over 2.568%

Under 2.532%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.7

Yellow Cards per Team

Bournemouth (home)

For2.2

Burnley (away)

For2.2

Shots per Game

Bournemouth — total shots (home)14.5

Burnley — total shots (away)7.8

Shots on Target

Bournemouth — on target (home)4.5

Burnley — on target (away)2.9

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Bournemouth

Inside the box8.21

Outside the box5.58

Burnley

Inside the box5.68

Outside the box3.66

Player Shots Bournemouth

A. Semenyo

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target85%

+1.5 On Target30%

M. Tavernier

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target15%

E. Kroupi

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target52%

+1.5 On Target15%

Evanilson

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target44%

+1.5 On Target17%

Rayan

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target47%

+1.5 On Target7%

Player Shots Burnley

Z. Flemming

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target52%

+1.5 On Target17%

J. Anthony

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target51%

+1.5 On Target8%

J. Cullen

Shots on Target/Game0.3

+0.5 On Target28%

+1.5 On Target6%

L. Tchaouna

Shots on Target/Game0.3

+0.5 On Target28%

+1.5 On Target3%

M. Edwards

Shots on Target/Game0.3

+0.5 On Target22%

+1.5 On Target4%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Bournemouth xG (home)1.63

Burnley xG (away)0.86

Average Possession

50.18% Possession 42.29%

Team Comparison Bournemouth vs Burnley

79.26% Pass accuracy 77.66%

413.87 Passes per match 384.82

-0.1 Goals prevented -0.28

12.03 Fouls committed 10.39

2.95 Goalkeeper saves 3.73

1.97 Offsides 1.5

17.21 Tackles per match 16.76

League average xG this season is 1.4 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Bournemouth vs Burnley prediction analysis

Review Bournemouth vs Burnley with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Premier League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Premier League

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights