Prediction Analysis: Bournemouth vs Crystal Palace
Bournemouth vs Crystal Palace prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Premier League
2024-12-26
15:00
Bournemouth
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
46%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Crystal Palace
Away
Prediction Summary
1
43%
X
27%
2
31%
Under 2.5
54%
BTTS · No edge
50%
Confidence
Low
Market Evidence
Bournemouth (Home)
Goals scored / match1.21
Goals conceded / match0.84
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate42%
Crystal Palace (Away)
Goals scored / match1.42
Goals conceded / match1.32
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate53%
Team Form last 5 matches
Bournemouth
WLLWD
Crystal Palace
DWWDD
Goals Comparison rate per team
74%
+0.5
84%
26%
+1.5
53%
11%
+2.5
5%
5%
+3.5
0%
5%
+4.5
0%
42%
BTTS
53%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 46%. Model confidence is Low.
Bournemouth averages 1.21 goals scored at home, while Crystal Palace averages 1.42 goals scored away.
Model Strength
54%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
43%
Draw
27%
Away Win
31%
Over 2.5
46%
BTTS Yes
50%
Head-to-Head last 5
May 2026
Bournemouth
3 - 0
Crystal Palace
Home
Oct 2025
Bournemouth(A)
3 - 3
Crystal Palace
Draw
Apr 2025
Bournemouth(A)
0 - 0
Crystal Palace
Draw
Dec 2024
Bournemouth
0 - 0
Crystal Palace
Draw
Apr 2024
Bournemouth
1 - 0
Crystal Palace
Home
In the last 5 meetings, Bournemouth won 2, drew 3 and lost 0.
Current Streaks
Bournemouth — unbeaten run (home)1
Bournemouth — scoring streak (home)1
Crystal Palace — winless run (away)1
Crystal Palace — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Bournemouth Win (1)43%
Draw (X)27%
Crystal Palace Win (2)31%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
74%
+0.5
84%
26%
+1.5
53%
11%
+2.5
5%
5%
+3.5
0%
5%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
26%
-0.5
16%
74%
-1.5
47%
89%
-2.5
95%
95%
-3.5
100%
95%
-4.5
100%
Bournemouth vs Crystal Palace — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Bournemouth — scored (home)1.21
Bournemouth — conceded (home)0.84
Crystal Palace — scored (away)1.42
Crystal Palace — conceded (away)1.32
Model expected combined goals2.5
Both Teams To Score
Yes50%
No50%
Rate per Team
Bournemouth — BTTS matches (home)42%
Crystal Palace — BTTS matches (away)53%
Combined (simple average)47.5%
Corners Line match total, blended estimate
Over 4.598%
Under 4.52%
Over 5.595%
Under 5.55%
Over 6.590%
Under 6.510%
Over 7.574%
Under 7.526%
Over 8.571%
Under 8.529%
Over 9.561%
Under 9.539%
Over 10.556%
Under 10.544%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.50
Per-Team Corners own matches
Bournemouth (home)
Corners for6.3
Corners against5.0
Crystal Palace (away)
Corners for4.4
Corners against5.2
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Bournemouth
15
5
10
4
7
Crystal Palace
9
11
12
9
11
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.598%
Under 0.52%
Over 1.598%
Under 1.52%
Over 2.579%
Under 2.521%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.4
Yellow Cards per Team
Bournemouth (home)
For2.3
Crystal Palace (away)
For2.1
Shots per Game
Bournemouth — total shots (home)16.3
Crystal Palace — total shots (away)12.8
Shots on Target
Bournemouth — on target (home)5.5
Crystal Palace — on target (away)4.9
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Bournemouth
Inside the box10.29
Outside the box5
Crystal Palace
Inside the box9.11
Outside the box4.47
Player Shots Bournemouth
D. Ouattara
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target16%
A. Semenyo
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target70%
+1.5 On Target35%
Evanilson
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target68%
+1.5 On Target32%
D. Brooks
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target28%
+1.5 On Target10%
A. Scott
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target5%
Player Shots Crystal Palace
I. Sarr
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target24%
B. Chilwell
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target13%
E. Eze
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target62%
+1.5 On Target18%
J. Mateta
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target65%
+1.5 On Target22%
D. Muñoz
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target11%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Bournemouth xG (home)1.71
Crystal Palace xG (away)1.62
Average Possession
48.58%
Possession
42.53%
Team Comparison Bournemouth vs Crystal Palace
79.26%
Pass accuracy
76.21%
398.63
Passes per match
376.66
0.25
Goals prevented
0.14
13.82
Fouls committed
10.97
3.37
Goalkeeper saves
2.74
2.12
Offsides
2
18.21
Tackles per match
20.18
League average xG this season is 1.44 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Bournemouth vs Crystal Palace prediction analysis
Review Bournemouth vs Crystal Palace with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Premier League.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Premier League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights