Prediction Analysis: Bournemouth vs Everton
Bournemouth vs Everton prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Premier League
2026-08-29
14:00
Bournemouth
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
BTTS Yes
Pick
Yes
Probability
49%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Everton
Away
Prediction Summary
1
43%
X
27%
2
30%
Under 2.5
56%
BTTS No
51%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
Bournemouth (Home)
Goals scored / match1.53
Goals conceded / match1.05
Over 2.5 rate21%
BTTS rate63%
Everton (Away)
Goals scored / match1.11
Goals conceded / match1.21
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate47%
Team Form last 5 matches
Bournemouth
DDWWD
Everton
LLDDL
Goals Comparison rate per team
79%
+0.5
68%
53%
+1.5
32%
21%
+2.5
11%
0%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
63%
BTTS
47%
Model Insight
The selected market is BTTS Yes with a probability of 49%. Model confidence is Medium.
Bournemouth averages 1.53 goals scored at home, while Everton averages 1.11 goals scored away.
Model Strength
56%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
43%
Draw
27%
Away Win
30%
Over 2.5
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
Head-to-Head last 5
Feb 2026
Bournemouth(A)
2 - 1
Everton
Home
Dec 2025
Bournemouth
0 - 1
Everton
Away
Feb 2025
Bournemouth(A)
2 - 0
Everton
Home
Jan 2025
Bournemouth
1 - 0
Everton
Home
Aug 2024
Bournemouth(A)
3 - 2
Everton
Home
In the last 5 meetings, Bournemouth won 4, drew 0 and lost 1.
Current Streaks
Bournemouth — unbeaten run (home)9
Bournemouth — scoring streak (home)4
Everton — winless run (away)5
Everton — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Bournemouth Win (1)43%
Draw (X)27%
Everton Win (2)30%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
79%
+0.5
68%
53%
+1.5
32%
21%
+2.5
11%
0%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
21%
-0.5
32%
47%
-1.5
68%
79%
-2.5
89%
100%
-3.5
100%
100%
-4.5
100%
Bournemouth vs Everton — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Bournemouth — scored (home)1.53
Bournemouth — conceded (home)1.05
Everton — scored (away)1.11
Everton — conceded (away)1.21
Model expected combined goals2.45
Both Teams To Score
Yes49%
No51%
Rate per Team
Bournemouth — BTTS matches (home)63%
Everton — BTTS matches (away)47%
Combined (simple average)55%
Corners Line model prediction
Over 8.563%
Under 8.537%
Over 9.553%
Under 9.547%
Over 10.543%
Under 10.557%
Expected total corners (model prediction)10.20
Per-Team Corners own matches
Bournemouth (home)
Corners for6.0
Corners against4.0
Everton (away)
Corners for3.9
Corners against5.6
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Bournemouth
13
8
13
13
9
Everton
7
14
15
5
14
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.598%
Under 0.52%
Over 1.587%
Under 1.513%
Over 2.558%
Under 2.542%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.6
Yellow Cards per Team
Bournemouth (home)
For2.2
Everton (away)
For2.1
Shots Forecast model prediction
Match Total
Over 19.574%
Under 19.526%
Over 22.561%
Under 22.539%
Over 25.548%
Under 25.552%
Expected total shots25.85
Bournemouth
Shots Over 9.583%
Shots Over 11.570%
Shots Over 13.557%
Expected shots15.04
On Target Over 3.566%
On Target Over 4.549%
On Target Over 5.534%
Expected on target4.73
Everton
Shots Over 9.557%
Shots Over 11.540%
Shots Over 13.525%
Expected shots10.81
On Target Over 3.548%
On Target Over 4.531%
On Target Over 5.518%
Expected on target3.64
Shots per Game
Bournemouth — total shots (home)14.5
Everton — total shots (away)10.0
Shots on Target
Bournemouth — on target (home)4.5
Everton — on target (away)3.2
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Bournemouth
Inside the box8.21
Outside the box5.58
Everton
Inside the box7.63
Outside the box3.47
Player Shots Bournemouth
A. Semenyo
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target85%
+1.5 On Target30%
M. Tavernier
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target15%
E. Kroupi
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target15%
Evanilson
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target17%
Rayan
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target7%
Player Shots Everton
I. Ndiaye
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target13%
K. Dewsbury-Hall
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target10%
Beto
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target5%
J. Grealish
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target30%
+1.5 On Target5%
J. Garner
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target3%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Bournemouth xG (home)1.63
Everton xG (away)1.23
Average Possession
50.18%
Possession
43.63%
Team Comparison Bournemouth vs Everton
79.26%
Pass accuracy
79.05%
413.87
Passes per match
380.76
-0.1
Goals prevented
0.05
12.03
Fouls committed
10.82
2.95
Goalkeeper saves
2.63
1.97
Offsides
1.58
17.21
Tackles per match
18.5
League average xG this season is 1.4 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Bournemouth vs Everton prediction analysis
Review Bournemouth vs Everton with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Premier League.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Premier League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights