Prediction Analysis: Brentford vs Tottenham
Brentford vs Tottenham prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Premier League
2026-08-22
16:30
Brentford
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
BTTS Yes
Pick
Yes
Probability
56%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Tottenham
Away
Prediction Summary
1
45%
X
25%
2
30%
Over 2.5
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
Brentford (Home)
Goals scored / match1.74
Goals conceded / match1.11
Over 2.5 rate37%
BTTS rate58%
Tottenham (Away)
Goals scored / match1.37
Goals conceded / match1.37
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate53%
Team Form last 5 matches
Brentford
DDLWL
Tottenham
WLDWW
Goals Comparison rate per team
74%
+0.5
79%
58%
+1.5
47%
37%
+2.5
11%
5%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
58%
BTTS
53%
Model Insight
The selected market is BTTS Yes with a probability of 56%. Model confidence is Medium.
Brentford averages 1.74 goals scored at home, while Tottenham averages 1.37 goals scored away.
Model Strength
56%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
45%
Draw
25%
Away Win
30%
Over 2.5
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
Head-to-Head last 5
Jan 2026
Brentford
0 - 0
Tottenham
Draw
Dec 2025
Brentford(A)
0 - 2
Tottenham
Away
Feb 2025
Brentford
0 - 2
Tottenham
Away
Sep 2024
Brentford(A)
1 - 3
Tottenham
Away
Jan 2024
Brentford(A)
2 - 3
Tottenham
Away
In the last 5 meetings, Brentford won 0, drew 1 and lost 4.
Current Streaks
Brentford — unbeaten run (home)5
Brentford — scoring streak (home)2
Tottenham — winless run (away)1
Tottenham — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Brentford Win (1)45%
Draw (X)25%
Tottenham Win (2)30%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
74%
+0.5
79%
58%
+1.5
47%
37%
+2.5
11%
5%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
26%
-0.5
21%
42%
-1.5
53%
63%
-2.5
89%
95%
-3.5
100%
100%
-4.5
100%
Brentford vs Tottenham — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Brentford — scored (home)1.74
Brentford — conceded (home)1.11
Tottenham — scored (away)1.37
Tottenham — conceded (away)1.37
Model expected combined goals2.79
Both Teams To Score
Yes56%
No44%
Rate per Team
Brentford — BTTS matches (home)58%
Tottenham — BTTS matches (away)53%
Combined (simple average)55.5%
Corners Line model prediction
Over 8.563%
Under 8.537%
Over 9.553%
Under 9.547%
Over 10.543%
Under 10.557%
Expected total corners (model prediction)10.20
Per-Team Corners own matches
Brentford (home)
Corners for4.4
Corners against4.6
Tottenham (away)
Corners for4.8
Corners against4.3
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Brentford
15
8
12
13
16
Tottenham
10
10
16
7
14
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.595%
Under 0.55%
Over 1.584%
Under 1.516%
Over 2.577%
Under 2.523%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.8
Yellow Cards per Team
Brentford (home)
For1.6
Tottenham (away)
For2.6
Shots Forecast model prediction
Match Total
Over 19.573%
Under 19.527%
Over 22.560%
Under 22.540%
Over 25.546%
Under 25.554%
Expected total shots25.53
Brentford
Shots Over 9.575%
Shots Over 11.560%
Shots Over 13.545%
Expected shots13.35
On Target Over 3.563%
On Target Over 4.546%
On Target Over 5.531%
Expected on target4.51
Tottenham
Shots Over 9.568%
Shots Over 11.551%
Shots Over 13.536%
Expected shots12.18
On Target Over 3.559%
On Target Over 4.541%
On Target Over 5.527%
Expected on target4.25
Shots per Game
Brentford — total shots (home)12.0
Tottenham — total shots (away)10.3
Shots on Target
Brentford — on target (home)4.1
Tottenham — on target (away)3.8
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Brentford
Inside the box8.05
Outside the box2.61
Tottenham
Inside the box7.92
Outside the box3.55
Player Shots Brentford
Thiago
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target34%
K. Schade
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target14%
D. Ouattara
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target9%
M. Damsgaard
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target27%
+1.5 On Target6%
K. Lewis-Potter
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target19%
+1.5 On Target3%
Player Shots Tottenham
Richarlison
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target19%
D. Solanke
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target27%
B. Davies
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target33%
M. Kudus
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target37%
+1.5 On Target11%
X. Simons
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target7%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Brentford xG (home)1.59
Tottenham xG (away)1.07
Average Possession
47.58%
Possession
50.37%
Team Comparison Brentford vs Tottenham
78.55%
Pass accuracy
81.13%
394.92
Passes per match
413.37
-0.09
Goals prevented
-0.03
10.61
Fouls committed
12.13
2.89
Goalkeeper saves
2.45
1.61
Offsides
1.63
14.53
Tackles per match
19.45
League average xG this season is 1.4 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Brentford vs Tottenham prediction analysis
Review Brentford vs Tottenham with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Premier League.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Premier League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights