What markets are included in the Brighton vs Brentford prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Brighton vs Brentford prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Brighton vs Brentford

Brighton vs Brentford prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Premier League 2025-11-22 15:00

Brighton

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

58%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-0

Brentford

Away

Prediction Summary

61%

21%

18%

Over 2.5

58%

BTTS Yes

55%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Brighton (Home)

Goals scored / match1.58

Goals conceded / match1.05

Over 2.5 rate21%

BTTS rate58%

Brentford (Away)

Goals scored / match1.16

Goals conceded / match1.63

Over 2.5 rate16%

BTTS rate47%

Team Form last 5 matches

Brighton

LLWLW

Brentford

DDLWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

79% +0.5 63%

58% +1.5 26%

21% +2.5 16%

0% +3.5 11%

0% +4.5 0%

58% BTTS 47%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 58%. Model confidence is Medium.

Brighton averages 1.58 goals scored at home, while Brentford averages 1.16 goals scored away.

Model Strength

61%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

61%

Draw

21%

Away Win

18%

Over 2.5

58%

BTTS Yes

55%

Head-to-Head last 5

Feb 2026 Brighton(A) 2 - 0 Brentford Home

Nov 2025 Brighton 2 - 1 Brentford Home

Apr 2025 Brighton(A) 2 - 4 Brentford Away

Dec 2024 Brighton 0 - 0 Brentford Draw

Apr 2024 Brighton(A) 0 - 0 Brentford Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Brighton won 2, drew 2 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Brighton — unbeaten run (home)0

Brighton — scoring streak (home)0

Brentford — winless run (away)5

Brentford — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Brighton Win (1)61%

Draw (X)21%

Brentford Win (2)18%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

79% +0.5 63%

58% +1.5 26%

21% +2.5 16%

0% +3.5 11%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

21% -0.5 37%

42% -1.5 74%

79% -2.5 84%

100% -3.5 89%

100% -4.5 100%

Brighton vs Brentford — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Brighton — scored (home)1.58

Brighton — conceded (home)1.05

Brentford — scored (away)1.16

Brentford — conceded (away)1.63

Model expected combined goals3

Both Teams To Score

Yes55%

No45%

Rate per Team

Brighton — BTTS matches (home)58%

Brentford — BTTS matches (away)47%

Combined (simple average)52.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%

Under 4.52%

Over 5.595%

Under 5.55%

Over 6.595%

Under 6.55%

Over 7.574%

Under 7.526%

Over 8.563%

Under 8.537%

Over 9.561%

Under 9.539%

Over 10.558%

Under 10.542%

Expected total corners (blended average)10.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

Brighton (home)

Corners for4.9

Corners against4.5

Brentford (away)

Corners for5.2

Corners against6.1

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Brighton

11 12 8 15 3

Brentford

15 8 12 13 16

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.590%

Under 1.510%

Over 2.579%

Under 2.521%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.1

Yellow Cards per Team

Brighton (home)

For1.8

Brentford (away)

For2.2

Shots per Game

Brighton — total shots (home)13.8

Brentford — total shots (away)9.3

Shots on Target

Brighton — on target (home)4.9

Brentford — on target (away)3.6

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Brighton

Inside the box8.66

Outside the box4.37

Brentford

Inside the box8.05

Outside the box2.61

Player Shots Brighton

D. Welbeck

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target57%

+1.5 On Target16%

J. Hinshelwood

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target41%

+1.5 On Target11%

K. Mitoma

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target44%

+1.5 On Target8%

P. Groß

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target42%

+1.5 On Target5%

D. Gómez

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target31%

+1.5 On Target9%

Player Shots Brentford

Thiago

Shots on Target/Game1.1

+0.5 On Target58%

+1.5 On Target34%

K. Schade

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target43%

+1.5 On Target14%

D. Ouattara

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target47%

+1.5 On Target9%

M. Damsgaard

Shots on Target/Game0.3

+0.5 On Target27%

+1.5 On Target6%

K. Lewis-Potter

Shots on Target/Game0.3

+0.5 On Target19%

+1.5 On Target3%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Brighton xG (home)1.51

Brentford xG (away)1.59

Average Possession

54.11% Possession 47.58%

Team Comparison Brighton vs Brentford

83.5% Pass accuracy 78.55%

476.47 Passes per match 394.92

0.04 Goals prevented -0.09

11.92 Fouls committed 10.61

2.79 Goalkeeper saves 2.89

1.68 Offsides 1.61

17.76 Tackles per match 14.53

League average xG this season is 1.4 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Brighton vs Brentford prediction analysis

Review Brighton vs Brentford with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Premier League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Premier League

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights