Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Brighton vs Crystal Palace

Brighton vs Crystal Palace prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions
Premier League 2024-12-15 14:00
Brighton
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
53%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Crystal Palace
Away

Prediction Summary

1
46%
X
25%
2
29%
Over 2.5
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Brighton (Home)

Goals scored / match1.58
Goals conceded / match1.37
Over 2.5 rate21%
BTTS rate74%

Crystal Palace (Away)

Goals scored / match1.42
Goals conceded / match1.32
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate53%

Team Form last 5 matches

Brighton
WWWDW
Crystal Palace
DWWDD

Goals Comparison rate per team

79% +0.5 84%
58% +1.5 53%
21% +2.5 5%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
74% BTTS 53%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 53%. Model confidence is Medium.

Brighton averages 1.58 goals scored at home, while Crystal Palace averages 1.42 goals scored away.

Model Strength
56%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
46%
Draw
25%
Away Win
29%
Over 2.5
53%
BTTS Yes
56%

Head-to-Head last 5

Feb 2026 Brighton 0 - 1 Crystal Palace Away
Nov 2025 Brighton(A) 0 - 0 Crystal Palace Draw
Apr 2025 Brighton(A) 1 - 2 Crystal Palace Away
Dec 2024 Brighton 1 - 3 Crystal Palace Away
Feb 2024 Brighton 4 - 1 Crystal Palace Home

In the last 5 meetings, Brighton won 1, drew 1 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

Brighton — unbeaten run (home)4
Brighton — scoring streak (home)4
Crystal Palace — winless run (away)1
Crystal Palace — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Brighton Win (1)46%
Draw (X)25%
Crystal Palace Win (2)29%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

79% +0.5 84%
58% +1.5 53%
21% +2.5 5%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

21% -0.5 16%
42% -1.5 47%
79% -2.5 95%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Brighton vs Crystal Palace — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Brighton — scored (home)1.58
Brighton — conceded (home)1.37
Crystal Palace — scored (away)1.42
Crystal Palace — conceded (away)1.32
Model expected combined goals2.79

Both Teams To Score

Yes56%
No44%

Rate per Team

Brighton — BTTS matches (home)74%
Crystal Palace — BTTS matches (away)53%
Combined (simple average)63.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.592%
Under 4.58%
Over 5.587%
Under 5.513%
Over 6.582%
Under 6.518%
Over 7.574%
Under 7.526%
Over 8.566%
Under 8.534%
Over 9.553%
Under 9.547%
Over 10.543%
Under 10.557%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

Brighton (home)

Corners for4.8
Corners against4.4

Crystal Palace (away)

Corners for4.4
Corners against5.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Brighton
9 5 11 6 13
Crystal Palace
9 11 12 9 11

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%
Under 0.52%
Over 1.595%
Under 1.55%
Over 2.577%
Under 2.523%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.2

Yellow Cards per Team

Brighton (home)

For1.9

Crystal Palace (away)

For2.1

Shots per Game

Brighton — total shots (home)15.3
Crystal Palace — total shots (away)12.8

Shots on Target

Brighton — on target (home)5.1
Crystal Palace — on target (away)4.9

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Brighton

Inside the box9.26
Outside the box4.76

Crystal Palace

Inside the box9.11
Outside the box4.47

Player Shots Brighton

D. Gómez
Shots on Target/Game3
+0.5 On Target6%
+1.5 On Target6%
J. Enciso
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target17%
P. Estupiñán
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target20%
+1.5 On Target10%
Y. Minteh
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target13%
K. Mitoma
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target19%

Player Shots Crystal Palace

I. Sarr
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target24%
B. Chilwell
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target13%
E. Eze
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target62%
+1.5 On Target18%
J. Mateta
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target65%
+1.5 On Target22%
D. Muñoz
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target11%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Brighton xG (home)1.56
Crystal Palace xG (away)1.62

Average Possession

52.55% Possession 42.53%

Team Comparison Brighton vs Crystal Palace

84.32% Pass accuracy 76.21%
465.89 Passes per match 376.66
-0.01 Goals prevented 0.14
11.53 Fouls committed 10.97
2.54 Goalkeeper saves 2.74
1.21 Offsides 2
18.55 Tackles per match 20.18

League average xG this season is 1.44 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Brighton vs Crystal Palace prediction analysis

Review Brighton vs Crystal Palace with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Premier League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Premier League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
Scroll to Top