Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Brighton vs Fulham

Brighton vs Fulham prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Premier League 2025-03-08 15:00
Brighton
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
50%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Fulham
Away

Prediction Summary

1
36%
X
26%
2
38%
O/U 2.5 · No edge
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

Brighton (Home)

Goals scored / match1.58
Goals conceded / match1.37
Over 2.5 rate21%
BTTS rate74%

Fulham (Away)

Goals scored / match1.42
Goals conceded / match1.26
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate68%

Team Form last 5 matches

Brighton
WWWDW
Fulham
LWLLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

79% +0.5 84%
58% +1.5 53%
21% +2.5 5%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
74% BTTS 68%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 50%. Model confidence is Low.

Brighton averages 1.58 goals scored at home, while Fulham averages 1.42 goals scored away.

Model Strength
54%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
36%
Draw
26%
Away Win
38%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS Yes
54%

Head-to-Head last 5

Jan 2026 Brighton(A) 1 - 2 Fulham Away
Aug 2025 Brighton 1 - 1 Fulham Draw
Mar 2025 Brighton 2 - 1 Fulham Home
Dec 2024 Brighton(A) 1 - 3 Fulham Away
Mar 2024 Brighton(A) 0 - 3 Fulham Away

In the last 5 meetings, Brighton won 1, drew 1 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

Brighton — unbeaten run (home)4
Brighton — scoring streak (home)4
Fulham — winless run (away)0
Fulham — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Brighton Win (1)36%
Draw (X)26%
Fulham Win (2)38%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

79% +0.5 84%
58% +1.5 53%
21% +2.5 5%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

21% -0.5 16%
42% -1.5 47%
79% -2.5 95%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Brighton vs Fulham — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Brighton — scored (home)1.58
Brighton — conceded (home)1.37
Fulham — scored (away)1.42
Fulham — conceded (away)1.26
Model expected combined goals2.65

Both Teams To Score

Yes54%
No46%

Rate per Team

Brighton — BTTS matches (home)74%
Fulham — BTTS matches (away)68%
Combined (simple average)71%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.589%
Under 4.511%
Over 5.587%
Under 5.513%
Over 6.582%
Under 6.518%
Over 7.577%
Under 7.523%
Over 8.566%
Under 8.534%
Over 9.553%
Under 9.547%
Over 10.537%
Under 10.563%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.70

Per-Team Corners own matches

Brighton (home)

Corners for4.8
Corners against4.4

Fulham (away)

Corners for5.4
Corners against4.6

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Brighton
9 5 11 6 13
Fulham
13 8 10 8 7

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.592%
Under 1.58%
Over 2.577%
Under 2.523%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.5

Yellow Cards per Team

Brighton (home)

For1.9

Fulham (away)

For2.5

Shots per Game

Brighton — total shots (home)15.3
Fulham — total shots (away)13.6

Shots on Target

Brighton — on target (home)5.1
Fulham — on target (away)4.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Brighton

Inside the box9.26
Outside the box4.76

Fulham

Inside the box9.66
Outside the box4.03

Player Shots Brighton

D. Gómez
Shots on Target/Game3
+0.5 On Target6%
+1.5 On Target6%
J. Enciso
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target17%
P. Estupiñán
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target20%
+1.5 On Target10%
Y. Minteh
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target13%
K. Mitoma
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target19%

Player Shots Fulham

H. Wilson
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target20%
A. Iwobi
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target24%
R. Jiménez
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target55%
+1.5 On Target24%
R. Nelson
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target18%
T. Cairney
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target12%
+1.5 On Target4%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Brighton xG (home)1.56
Fulham xG (away)1.3

Average Possession

52.55% Possession 52.37%

Team Comparison Brighton vs Fulham

84.32% Pass accuracy 84.05%
465.89 Passes per match 473.68
-0.01 Goals prevented 0.07
11.53 Fouls committed 11.37
2.54 Goalkeeper saves 2.89
1.21 Offsides 1.23
18.55 Tackles per match 17.82

League average xG this season is 1.44 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Brighton vs Fulham prediction analysis

Review Brighton vs Fulham with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Premier League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Premier League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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