Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Brighton vs West Ham

Brighton vs West Ham prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Premier League 2025-12-07 14:00
Brighton
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
61%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
West Ham
Away

Prediction Summary

1
51%
X
23%
2
27%
Over 2.5
61%
BTTS Yes
61%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Brighton (Home)

Goals scored / match1.58
Goals conceded / match1.05
Over 2.5 rate21%
BTTS rate58%

West Ham (Away)

Goals scored / match1
Goals conceded / match1.84
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate47%

Team Form last 5 matches

Brighton
LLWLW
West Ham
WLLLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

79% +0.5 63%
58% +1.5 32%
21% +2.5 5%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
58% BTTS 47%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 61%. Model confidence is Medium.

Brighton averages 1.58 goals scored at home, while West Ham averages 1 goals scored away.

Model Strength
61%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
51%
Draw
23%
Away Win
27%
Over 2.5
61%
BTTS Yes
61%

Head-to-Head last 5

Dec 2025 Brighton(A) 2 - 2 West Ham Draw
Dec 2025 Brighton 1 - 1 West Ham Draw
Apr 2025 Brighton 3 - 2 West Ham Home
Dec 2024 Brighton(A) 1 - 1 West Ham Draw
Jan 2024 Brighton(A) 0 - 0 West Ham Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Brighton won 1, drew 4 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Brighton — unbeaten run (home)0
Brighton — scoring streak (home)0
West Ham — winless run (away)4
West Ham — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Brighton Win (1)51%
Draw (X)23%
West Ham Win (2)27%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

79% +0.5 63%
58% +1.5 32%
21% +2.5 5%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

21% -0.5 37%
42% -1.5 68%
79% -2.5 95%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Brighton vs West Ham — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Brighton — scored (home)1.58
Brighton — conceded (home)1.05
West Ham — scored (away)1
West Ham — conceded (away)1.84
Model expected combined goals3.14

Both Teams To Score

Yes61%
No39%

Rate per Team

Brighton — BTTS matches (home)58%
West Ham — BTTS matches (away)47%
Combined (simple average)52.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%
Under 4.52%
Over 5.595%
Under 5.55%
Over 6.592%
Under 6.58%
Over 7.574%
Under 7.526%
Over 8.561%
Under 8.539%
Over 9.561%
Under 9.539%
Over 10.555%
Under 10.545%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

Brighton (home)

Corners for4.9
Corners against4.5

West Ham (away)

Corners for4.5
Corners against6.7

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Brighton
11 12 8 15 3
West Ham
7 8 7 10 10

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%
Under 0.52%
Over 1.582%
Under 1.518%
Over 2.574%
Under 2.526%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.8

Yellow Cards per Team

Brighton (home)

For1.8

West Ham (away)

For2.1

Shots per Game

Brighton — total shots (home)13.8
West Ham — total shots (away)10.2

Shots on Target

Brighton — on target (home)4.9
West Ham — on target (away)3.6

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Brighton

Inside the box8.66
Outside the box4.37

West Ham

Inside the box7.79
Outside the box2.84

Player Shots Brighton

D. Welbeck
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target16%
J. Hinshelwood
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target11%
K. Mitoma
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target8%
P. Groß
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target5%
D. Gómez
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target31%
+1.5 On Target9%

Player Shots West Ham

V. Castellanos
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target72%
+1.5 On Target33%
J. Bowen
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target16%
Lucas Paquetá
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target17%
C. Wilson
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target9%
C. Summerville
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target3%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Brighton xG (home)1.51
West Ham xG (away)1.22

Average Possession

54.11% Possession 42.53%

Team Comparison Brighton vs West Ham

83.5% Pass accuracy 77.84%
476.47 Passes per match 367.32
0.04 Goals prevented -0.17
11.92 Fouls committed 11.08
2.79 Goalkeeper saves 3.47
1.68 Offsides 1.89
17.76 Tackles per match 17.66

League average xG this season is 1.4 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Brighton vs West Ham prediction analysis

Review Brighton vs West Ham with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Premier League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Premier League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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