Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Bristol City vs Hull City

Bristol City vs Hull City prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Championship 2025-08-30 14:00
Bristol City
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
54%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Hull City
Away

Prediction Summary

1
36%
X
25%
2
39%
Over 2.5
54%
BTTS Yes
57%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Bristol City (Home)

Goals scored / match1.43
Goals conceded / match1.35
Over 2.5 rate17%
BTTS rate39%

Hull City (Away)

Goals scored / match1.54
Goals conceded / match1.33
Over 2.5 rate13%
BTTS rate63%

Team Form last 5 matches

Bristol City
WLDLD
Hull City
WWDWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

70% +0.5 88%
43% +1.5 54%
17% +2.5 13%
9% +3.5 0%
4% +4.5 0%
39% BTTS 63%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 54%. Model confidence is Medium.

Bristol City averages 1.43 goals scored at home, while Hull City averages 1.54 goals scored away.

Model Strength
57%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
36%
Draw
25%
Away Win
39%
Over 2.5
54%
BTTS Yes
57%

Head-to-Head last 5

Feb 2026 Bristol City(A) 3 - 2 Hull City Home
Aug 2025 Bristol City 4 - 2 Hull City Home
Mar 2025 Bristol City 1 - 1 Hull City Draw
Aug 2024 Bristol City(A) 1 - 1 Hull City Draw
Dec 2023 Bristol City 3 - 2 Hull City Home

In the last 5 meetings, Bristol City won 3, drew 2 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Bristol City — unbeaten run (home)1
Bristol City — scoring streak (home)3
Hull City — winless run (away)0
Hull City — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Bristol City Win (1)36%
Draw (X)25%
Hull City Win (2)39%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

70% +0.5 88%
43% +1.5 54%
17% +2.5 13%
9% +3.5 0%
4% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

30% -0.5 12%
57% -1.5 46%
83% -2.5 87%
91% -3.5 100%
96% -4.5 100%

Bristol City vs Hull City — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Bristol City — scored (home)1.43
Bristol City — conceded (home)1.35
Hull City — scored (away)1.54
Hull City — conceded (away)1.33
Model expected combined goals2.83

Both Teams To Score

Yes57%
No43%

Rate per Team

Bristol City — BTTS matches (home)39%
Hull City — BTTS matches (away)63%
Combined (simple average)51%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%
Under 4.52%
Over 5.587%
Under 5.513%
Over 6.579%
Under 6.521%
Over 7.577%
Under 7.523%
Over 8.574%
Under 8.526%
Over 9.563%
Under 9.537%
Over 10.553%
Under 10.547%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.80

Per-Team Corners own matches

Bristol City (home)

Corners for4.7
Corners against4.9

Hull City (away)

Corners for4.6
Corners against7.3

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Bristol City
9 12 10 11 17
Hull City
16 8 5 14 4

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%
Under 0.52%
Over 1.588%
Under 1.512%
Over 2.566%
Under 2.534%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4

Yellow Cards per Team

Bristol City (home)

For1.6

Hull City (away)

For2.9

Shots per Game

Bristol City — total shots (home)12.7
Hull City — total shots (away)11.0

Shots on Target

Bristol City — on target (home)4.0
Hull City — on target (away)4.3

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Bristol City

Inside the box7.39
Outside the box4.78

Hull City

Inside the box7.59
Outside the box3.53

Player Shots Bristol City

A. Mehmeti
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target61%
+1.5 On Target32%
S. Twine
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target18%
E. Riis
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target14%
S. Bell
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target8%
T. Horvat
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target7%

Player Shots Hull City

O. McBurnie
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target70%
+1.5 On Target23%
J. Gelhardt
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target19%
M. Belloumi
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target12%
K. Joseph
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target13%
L. Millar
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target28%
+1.5 On Target3%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Bristol City xG (home)1.21
Hull City xG (away)1.29

Average Possession

49.28% Possession 45%

Team Comparison Bristol City vs Hull City

77.85% Pass accuracy 72.02%
424.78 Passes per match 351.37
-0.04 Goals prevented 0.13
9.54 Fouls committed 11.16
3.23 Goalkeeper saves 3.12
2.02 Offsides 1.73
14.8 Tackles per match 17.67

League average xG this season is 1.29 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Bristol City vs Hull City prediction analysis

Review Bristol City vs Hull City with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Championship.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Championship
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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