Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Bristol City vs Preston

Bristol City vs Preston prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Championship 2026-01-04 15:00
Bristol City
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
47%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Preston
Away

Prediction Summary

1
44%
X
26%
2
30%
Under 2.5
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

Bristol City (Home)

Goals scored / match1.43
Goals conceded / match1.35
Over 2.5 rate17%
BTTS rate39%

Preston (Away)

Goals scored / match1.17
Goals conceded / match1.39
Over 2.5 rate9%
BTTS rate61%

Team Form last 5 matches

Bristol City
WLDLD
Preston
LWLLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

70% +0.5 74%
43% +1.5 35%
17% +2.5 9%
9% +3.5 0%
4% +4.5 0%
39% BTTS 61%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 47%. Model confidence is Low.

Bristol City averages 1.43 goals scored at home, while Preston averages 1.17 goals scored away.

Model Strength
53%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
44%
Draw
26%
Away Win
30%
Over 2.5
47%
BTTS Yes
51%

Head-to-Head last 5

Jan 2026 Bristol City 0 - 2 Preston Away
Sep 2025 Bristol City(A) 0 - 0 Preston Draw
May 2025 Bristol City 2 - 2 Preston Draw
Nov 2024 Bristol City(A) 3 - 1 Preston Home
Jan 2024 Bristol City(A) 0 - 2 Preston Away

In the last 5 meetings, Bristol City won 1, drew 2 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Bristol City — unbeaten run (home)1
Bristol City — scoring streak (home)3
Preston — winless run (away)0
Preston — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Bristol City Win (1)44%
Draw (X)26%
Preston Win (2)30%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

70% +0.5 74%
43% +1.5 35%
17% +2.5 9%
9% +3.5 0%
4% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

30% -0.5 26%
57% -1.5 65%
83% -2.5 91%
91% -3.5 100%
96% -4.5 100%

Bristol City vs Preston — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Bristol City — scored (home)1.43
Bristol City — conceded (home)1.35
Preston — scored (away)1.17
Preston — conceded (away)1.39
Model expected combined goals2.55

Both Teams To Score

Yes51%
No49%

Rate per Team

Bristol City — BTTS matches (home)39%
Preston — BTTS matches (away)61%
Combined (simple average)50%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%
Under 4.52%
Over 5.587%
Under 5.513%
Over 6.576%
Under 6.524%
Over 7.574%
Under 7.526%
Over 8.565%
Under 8.535%
Over 9.546%
Under 9.554%
Over 10.539%
Under 10.561%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.80

Per-Team Corners own matches

Bristol City (home)

Corners for4.7
Corners against4.9

Preston (away)

Corners for3.7
Corners against6.4

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Bristol City
9 12 10 11 17
Preston
11 14 6 15 15

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.594%
Under 0.56%
Over 1.587%
Under 1.513%
Over 2.563%
Under 2.537%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.3

Yellow Cards per Team

Bristol City (home)

For1.6

Preston (away)

For2.2

Shots per Game

Bristol City — total shots (home)12.7
Preston — total shots (away)10.6

Shots on Target

Bristol City — on target (home)4.0
Preston — on target (away)3.8

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Bristol City

Inside the box7.39
Outside the box4.78

Preston

Inside the box7.43
Outside the box3.5

Player Shots Bristol City

A. Mehmeti
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target61%
+1.5 On Target32%
S. Twine
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target18%
E. Riis
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target14%
S. Bell
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target8%
T. Horvat
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target7%

Player Shots Preston

M. Osmajić
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target18%
L. Dobbin
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target49%
+1.5 On Target10%
B. Potts
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target6%
A. Devine
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target11%
T. Small
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target10%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Bristol City xG (home)1.21
Preston xG (away)1.19

Average Possession

49.28% Possession 45.59%

Team Comparison Bristol City vs Preston

77.85% Pass accuracy 72.15%
424.78 Passes per match 344.41
-0.04 Goals prevented 0.03
9.54 Fouls committed 10.39
3.23 Goalkeeper saves 3
2.02 Offsides 1.7
14.8 Tackles per match 16.07

League average xG this season is 1.29 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Bristol City vs Preston prediction analysis

Review Bristol City vs Preston with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Championship.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Championship
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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