What markets are included in the Bristol City vs Swansea prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Bristol City vs Swansea prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Bristol City vs Swansea

Bristol City vs Swansea prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Championship 2025-11-22 12:30

Bristol City

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

37%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

Swansea

Away

Prediction Summary

37%

29%

34%

Under 2.5

63%

BTTS No

56%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Bristol City (Home)

Goals scored / match1.43

Goals conceded / match1.35

Over 2.5 rate17%

BTTS rate39%

Swansea (Away)

Goals scored / match1

Goals conceded / match1.39

Over 2.5 rate4%

BTTS rate48%

Team Form last 5 matches

Bristol City

WLDLD

Swansea

WDWLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

70% +0.5 65%

43% +1.5 30%

17% +2.5 4%

9% +3.5 0%

4% +4.5 0%

39% BTTS 48%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 37%. Model confidence is Medium.

Bristol City averages 1.43 goals scored at home, while Swansea averages 1 goals scored away.

Model Strength

63%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

37%

Draw

29%

Away Win

34%

Over 2.5

37%

BTTS Yes

44%

Head-to-Head last 5

Feb 2026 Bristol City(A) 0 - 1 Swansea Away

Nov 2025 Bristol City 3 - 0 Swansea Home

Feb 2025 Bristol City 0 - 1 Swansea Away

Sep 2024 Bristol City(A) 1 - 1 Swansea Draw

Mar 2024 Bristol City 1 - 0 Swansea Home

In the last 5 meetings, Bristol City won 2, drew 1 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Bristol City — unbeaten run (home)1

Bristol City — scoring streak (home)3

Swansea — winless run (away)1

Swansea — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Bristol City Win (1)37%

Draw (X)29%

Swansea Win (2)34%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

70% +0.5 65%

43% +1.5 30%

17% +2.5 4%

9% +3.5 0%

4% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

30% -0.5 35%

57% -1.5 70%

83% -2.5 96%

91% -3.5 100%

96% -4.5 100%

Bristol City vs Swansea — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Bristol City — scored (home)1.43

Bristol City — conceded (home)1.35

Swansea — scored (away)1

Swansea — conceded (away)1.39

Model expected combined goals2.17

Both Teams To Score

Yes44%

No56%

Rate per Team

Bristol City — BTTS matches (home)39%

Swansea — BTTS matches (away)48%

Combined (simple average)43.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.596%

Under 4.54%

Over 5.585%

Under 5.515%

Over 6.574%

Under 6.526%

Over 7.572%

Under 7.528%

Over 8.565%

Under 8.535%

Over 9.546%

Under 9.554%

Over 10.537%

Under 10.563%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.60

Per-Team Corners own matches

Bristol City (home)

Corners for4.7

Corners against4.9

Swansea (away)

Corners for4.0

Corners against5.6

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Bristol City

9 12 10 11 17

Swansea

14 16 9 7 14

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.596%

Under 0.54%

Over 1.589%

Under 1.511%

Over 2.561%

Under 2.539%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.7

Yellow Cards per Team

Bristol City (home)

For1.6

Swansea (away)

For2.1

Shots per Game

Bristol City — total shots (home)12.7

Swansea — total shots (away)11.0

Shots on Target

Bristol City — on target (home)4.0

Swansea — on target (away)4.0

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Bristol City

Inside the box7.39

Outside the box4.78

Swansea

Inside the box7.11

Outside the box5.2

Player Shots Bristol City

A. Mehmeti

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target61%

+1.5 On Target32%

S. Twine

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target47%

+1.5 On Target18%

E. Riis

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target39%

+1.5 On Target14%

S. Bell

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target8%

T. Horvat

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target40%

+1.5 On Target7%

Player Shots Swansea

Z. Vipotnik

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target55%

+1.5 On Target23%

A. Idah

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target32%

+1.5 On Target12%

L. Cullen

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target35%

+1.5 On Target8%

L. Walta

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target20%

+1.5 On Target20%

Ronald

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target29%

+1.5 On Target7%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Bristol City xG (home)1.21

Swansea xG (away)1.12

Average Possession

49.28% Possession 54.57%

Team Comparison Bristol City vs Swansea

77.85% Pass accuracy 79.43%

424.78 Passes per match 461.63

-0.04 Goals prevented -0.11

9.54 Fouls committed 9.7

3.23 Goalkeeper saves 3.2

2.02 Offsides 2.11

14.8 Tackles per match 15.37

League average xG this season is 1.29 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Bristol City vs Swansea prediction analysis

Review Bristol City vs Swansea with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Championship.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Championship

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights