Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Brondby vs Aarhus

Brondby vs Aarhus prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Superliga 2025-10-19 14:00
Brondby
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
71%
Confidence
High
Score
1-1
Aarhus
Away

Prediction Summary

1
34%
X
22%
2
45%
Over 2.5
71%
BTTS Yes
70%
Confidence
High

Market Evidence

Brondby (Home)

Goals scored / match1.65
Goals conceded / match1.35
Over 2.5 rate24%
BTTS rate53%

Aarhus (Away)

Goals scored / match1.94
Goals conceded / match1.13
Over 2.5 rate19%
BTTS rate88%

Team Form last 5 matches

Brondby
LWLDL
Aarhus
WWWDD

Goals Comparison rate per team

71% +0.5 100%
41% +1.5 63%
24% +2.5 19%
12% +3.5 6%
12% +4.5 6%
53% BTTS 88%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 71%. Model confidence is High.

Brondby averages 1.65 goals scored at home, while Aarhus averages 1.94 goals scored away.

Model Strength
71%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
34%
Draw
22%
Away Win
45%
Over 2.5
71%
BTTS Yes
70%

Head-to-Head last 5

Jul 2026 Brondby(A) 1 - 1 Aarhus Draw
May 2026 Brondby 0 - 2 Aarhus Away
Mar 2026 Brondby(A) 0 - 0 Aarhus Draw
Oct 2025 Brondby 3 - 3 Aarhus Draw
Sep 2025 Brondby(A) 0 - 1 Aarhus Away

In the last 5 meetings, Brondby won 0, drew 3 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Brondby — unbeaten run (home)0
Brondby — scoring streak (home)1
Aarhus — winless run (away)0
Aarhus — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Brondby Win (1)34%
Draw (X)22%
Aarhus Win (2)45%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

71% +0.5 100%
41% +1.5 63%
24% +2.5 19%
12% +3.5 6%
12% +4.5 6%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

29% -0.5 0%
59% -1.5 37%
76% -2.5 81%
88% -3.5 94%
88% -4.5 94%

Brondby vs Aarhus — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Brondby — scored (home)1.65
Brondby — conceded (home)1.35
Aarhus — scored (away)1.94
Aarhus — conceded (away)1.13
Model expected combined goals3.65

Both Teams To Score

Yes70%
No30%

Rate per Team

Brondby — BTTS matches (home)53%
Aarhus — BTTS matches (away)88%
Combined (simple average)70.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.588%
Under 4.512%
Over 5.580%
Under 5.520%
Over 6.573%
Under 6.527%
Over 7.561%
Under 7.539%
Over 8.555%
Under 8.545%
Over 9.546%
Under 9.554%
Over 10.537%
Under 10.563%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.10

Per-Team Corners own matches

Brondby (home)

Corners for4.0
Corners against4.8

Aarhus (away)

Corners for4.5
Corners against4.8

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Brondby
10 7 9 6 17
Aarhus
10 9 14 9 4

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.597%
Under 0.53%
Over 1.585%
Under 1.515%
Over 2.576%
Under 2.524%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.9

Yellow Cards per Team

Brondby (home)

For1.5

Aarhus (away)

For1.7

Shots per Game

Brondby — total shots (home)14.3
Aarhus — total shots (away)12.9

Shots on Target

Brondby — on target (home)4.8
Aarhus — on target (away)4.9

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Brondby

Inside the box9.39
Outside the box4.79

Aarhus

Inside the box10.13
Outside the box5.5

Player Shots Brondby

J. Ambæk
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target26%
Clement Bischoff
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target71%
+1.5 On Target0%
S. Fukuda
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target17%
N. Vallys
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target10%
F. Bundgaard
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target10%

Player Shots Aarhus

T. Bech
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target59%
+1.5 On Target31%
Kristian Fredrik Malt Arnstad
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target65%
+1.5 On Target19%
P. Mortensen
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target19%
Kevin Yakob
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target12%
G. Links
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target13%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Brondby xG (home)1.64
Aarhus xG (away)1.97

Average Possession

51.18% Possession 53.56%

Team Comparison Brondby vs Aarhus

83.06% Pass accuracy 83.03%
468.18 Passes per match 478.44
0.25 Goals prevented -0.18
12.36 Fouls committed 10.97
3.58 Goalkeeper saves 3.13
1.59 Offsides 1.72
16.76 Tackles per match 16.09

League average xG this season is 1.57 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Brondby vs Aarhus prediction analysis

Review Brondby vs Aarhus with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Superliga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Superliga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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