Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: BSC Young Boys vs Aston Villa

BSC Young Boys vs Aston Villa prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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UEFA Champions League 2024-09-17 16:45
BSC Young Boys
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
62%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-2
Aston Villa
Away

Prediction Summary

1
18%
X
20%
2
62%
Over 2.5
62%
BTTS Yes
58%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

BSC Young Boys (Home)

Goals scored / match0.8
Goals conceded / match2.6
Over 2.5 rate20%
BTTS rate40%

Aston Villa (Away)

Goals scored / match1.67
Goals conceded / match1.33
Over 2.5 rate50%
BTTS rate50%

Team Form last 5 matches

BSC Young Boys
LLLLL
Aston Villa
WLWWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

40% +0.5 67%
20% +1.5 50%
20% +2.5 50%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
40% BTTS 50%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 62%. Model confidence is Medium.

BSC Young Boys averages 0.8 goals scored at home, while Aston Villa averages 1.67 goals scored away.

Model Strength
62%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
18%
Draw
20%
Away Win
62%
Over 2.5
62%
BTTS Yes
58%

Head-to-Head last 2

Nov 2025 BSC Young Boys(A) 1 - 2 Aston Villa Away
Sep 2024 BSC Young Boys 0 - 3 Aston Villa Away

In the last 2 meetings, BSC Young Boys won 0, drew 0 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

BSC Young Boys — unbeaten run (home)0
BSC Young Boys — scoring streak (home)0
Aston Villa — winless run (away)1
Aston Villa — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

BSC Young Boys Win (1)18%
Draw (X)20%
Aston Villa Win (2)62%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

40% +0.5 67%
20% +1.5 50%
20% +2.5 50%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

60% -0.5 33%
80% -1.5 50%
80% -2.5 50%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

BSC Young Boys vs Aston Villa — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

BSC Young Boys — scored (home)0.8
BSC Young Boys — conceded (home)2.6
Aston Villa — scored (away)1.67
Aston Villa — conceded (away)1.33
Model expected combined goals3.2

Both Teams To Score

Yes58%
No42%

Rate per Team

BSC Young Boys — BTTS matches (home)40%
Aston Villa — BTTS matches (away)50%
Combined (simple average)45%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.592%
Under 4.58%
Over 5.584%
Under 5.516%
Over 6.574%
Under 6.526%
Over 7.574%
Under 7.526%
Over 8.574%
Under 8.526%
Over 9.555%
Under 9.545%
Over 10.547%
Under 10.553%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.10

Per-Team Corners own matches

BSC Young Boys (home)

Corners for5.0
Corners against6.6

Aston Villa (away)

Corners for4.2
Corners against4.3

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

BSC Young Boys
11 16 5 11 14
Aston Villa
8 4 4 10 10

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.592%
Under 0.58%
Over 1.584%
Under 1.516%
Over 2.574%
Under 2.526%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.8

Yellow Cards per Team

BSC Young Boys (home)

For3.0

Aston Villa (away)

For2.2

Shots per Game

BSC Young Boys — total shots (home)13.0
Aston Villa — total shots (away)11.8

Shots on Target

BSC Young Boys — on target (home)3.2
Aston Villa — on target (away)4.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

BSC Young Boys

Inside the box6.8
Outside the box4.5

Aston Villa

Inside the box8.33
Outside the box4.5

Player Shots BSC Young Boys

M. Camara
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target13%
+1.5 On Target13%
E. Colley
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target22%
Joël Monteiro
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target20%
+1.5 On Target10%
D. Males
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target22%
+1.5 On Target11%
F. Ugrinic
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target11%

Player Shots Aston Villa

Marco Asensio
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target75%
+1.5 On Target50%
J. Ramsey
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target20%
+1.5 On Target10%
M. Rogers
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target17%
Y. Tielemans
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target25%
O. Watkins
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target8%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

BSC Young Boys xG (home)0.65
Aston Villa xG (away)1.56

Average Possession

41.9% Possession 47.17%

Team Comparison BSC Young Boys vs Aston Villa

79.3% Pass accuracy 84.58%
345.6 Passes per match 429
-0.42 Goals prevented 0.26
14.4 Fouls committed 10.25
4.1 Goalkeeper saves 4
2.2 Offsides 1.33
15.2 Tackles per match 14.92

League average xG this season is 1.54 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

BSC Young Boys vs Aston Villa prediction analysis

Review BSC Young Boys vs Aston Villa with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Champions League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance UEFA Champions League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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