Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: BSC Young Boys vs FC Winterthur

BSC Young Boys vs FC Winterthur prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Super League 2025-11-22 17:00
BSC Young Boys
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
66%
Confidence
High
Score
2-0
FC Winterthur
Away

Prediction Summary

1
75%
X
15%
2
10%
Over 2.5
66%
BTTS Yes
52%
Confidence
High

Market Evidence

BSC Young Boys (Home)

Goals scored / match2.26
Goals conceded / match1.32
Over 2.5 rate47%
BTTS rate63%

FC Winterthur (Away)

Goals scored / match1.11
Goals conceded / match3
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate63%

Team Form last 5 matches

BSC Young Boys
DWWLL
FC Winterthur
LLWDL

Goals Comparison rate per team

89% +0.5 63%
58% +1.5 37%
47% +2.5 11%
16% +3.5 0%
11% +4.5 0%
63% BTTS 63%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 66%. Model confidence is High.

BSC Young Boys averages 2.26 goals scored at home, while FC Winterthur averages 1.11 goals scored away.

Model Strength
75%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
75%
Draw
15%
Away Win
10%
Over 2.5
66%
BTTS Yes
52%

Head-to-Head last 5

Feb 2026 BSC Young Boys 6 - 1 FC Winterthur Home
Nov 2025 BSC Young Boys 5 - 0 FC Winterthur Home
Aug 2025 BSC Young Boys(A) 1 - 1 FC Winterthur Draw
Feb 2025 BSC Young Boys(A) 0 - 1 FC Winterthur Away
Jan 2025 BSC Young Boys 0 - 0 FC Winterthur Draw

In the last 5 meetings, BSC Young Boys won 2, drew 2 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

BSC Young Boys — unbeaten run (home)2
BSC Young Boys — scoring streak (home)13
FC Winterthur — winless run (away)3
FC Winterthur — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

BSC Young Boys Win (1)75%
Draw (X)15%
FC Winterthur Win (2)10%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

89% +0.5 63%
58% +1.5 37%
47% +2.5 11%
16% +3.5 0%
11% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

11% -0.5 37%
42% -1.5 63%
53% -2.5 89%
84% -3.5 100%
89% -4.5 100%

BSC Young Boys vs FC Winterthur — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

BSC Young Boys — scored (home)2.26
BSC Young Boys — conceded (home)1.32
FC Winterthur — scored (away)1.11
FC Winterthur — conceded (away)3
Model expected combined goals3.42

Both Teams To Score

Yes52%
No48%

Rate per Team

BSC Young Boys — BTTS matches (home)63%
FC Winterthur — BTTS matches (away)63%
Combined (simple average)63%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.598%
Under 5.52%
Over 6.592%
Under 6.58%
Over 7.584%
Under 7.516%
Over 8.571%
Under 8.529%
Over 9.564%
Under 9.536%
Over 10.537%
Under 10.563%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

BSC Young Boys (home)

Corners for6.2
Corners against4.1

FC Winterthur (away)

Corners for3.4
Corners against6.6

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

BSC Young Boys
12 9 11 5 10
FC Winterthur
8 9 13 16 7

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.579%
Under 1.521%
Over 2.566%
Under 2.534%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.9

Yellow Cards per Team

BSC Young Boys (home)

For1.3

FC Winterthur (away)

For2.4

Shots per Game

BSC Young Boys — total shots (home)16.9
FC Winterthur — total shots (away)11.1

Shots on Target

BSC Young Boys — on target (home)6.6
FC Winterthur — on target (away)4.0

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

BSC Young Boys

Inside the box10
Outside the box5.34

FC Winterthur

Inside the box7.74
Outside the box4.05

Player Shots BSC Young Boys

S. Essende
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target23%
C. Bedia
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target61%
+1.5 On Target31%
C. Fassnacht
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target21%
A. Sanches
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target25%
A. Virginius
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target9%

Player Shots FC Winterthur

C. Gomis
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target100%
+1.5 On Target0%
A. Hunziker
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target25%
N. Burkart
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target23%
P. Kasami
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target8%
T. Golliard
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target31%
+1.5 On Target9%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

BSC Young Boys xG (home)1.72
FC Winterthur xG (away)1.34

Average Possession

55.13% Possession 43.92%

Team Comparison BSC Young Boys vs FC Winterthur

81.84% Pass accuracy 73.42%
439.63 Passes per match 344.13
0.13 Goals prevented 0.36
12.11 Fouls committed 12.87
3.13 Goalkeeper saves 4.34
1.32 Offsides 1.25
15.95 Tackles per match 19.05

League average xG this season is 1.65 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

BSC Young Boys vs FC Winterthur prediction analysis

Review BSC Young Boys vs FC Winterthur with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Super League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Super League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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