Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: BSC Young Boys vs FK Crvena Zvezda

BSC Young Boys vs FK Crvena Zvezda prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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UEFA Champions League 2025-01-29 20:00
BSC Young Boys
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
76%
Confidence
High
Score
2-1
FK Crvena Zvezda
Away

Prediction Summary

1
45%
X
21%
2
35%
Over 2.5
76%
BTTS Yes
75%
Confidence
High

Market Evidence

BSC Young Boys (Home)

Goals scored / match0.8
Goals conceded / match2.6
Over 2.5 rate20%
BTTS rate40%

FK Crvena Zvezda (Away)

Goals scored / match0.8
Goals conceded / match2.6
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate60%

Team Form last 5 matches

BSC Young Boys
LLLLL
FK Crvena Zvezda
WLLWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

40% +0.5 80%
20% +1.5 0%
20% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
40% BTTS 60%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 76%. Model confidence is High.

BSC Young Boys averages 0.8 goals scored at home, while FK Crvena Zvezda averages 0.8 goals scored away.

Model Strength
76%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
45%
Draw
21%
Away Win
35%
Over 2.5
76%
BTTS Yes
75%

Head-to-Head last 5

Jan 2025 BSC Young Boys 0 - 1 FK Crvena Zvezda Away
Nov 2023 BSC Young Boys 2 - 0 FK Crvena Zvezda Home
Oct 2023 BSC Young Boys(A) 2 - 2 FK Crvena Zvezda Draw
Aug 2019 BSC Young Boys(A) 1 - 1 FK Crvena Zvezda Draw
Aug 2019 BSC Young Boys 2 - 2 FK Crvena Zvezda Draw

In the last 5 meetings, BSC Young Boys won 1, drew 3 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

BSC Young Boys — unbeaten run (home)0
BSC Young Boys — scoring streak (home)0
FK Crvena Zvezda — winless run (away)0
FK Crvena Zvezda — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

BSC Young Boys Win (1)45%
Draw (X)21%
FK Crvena Zvezda Win (2)35%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

40% +0.5 80%
20% +1.5 0%
20% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

60% -0.5 20%
80% -1.5 100%
80% -2.5 100%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

BSC Young Boys vs FK Crvena Zvezda — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

BSC Young Boys — scored (home)0.8
BSC Young Boys — conceded (home)2.6
FK Crvena Zvezda — scored (away)0.8
FK Crvena Zvezda — conceded (away)2.6
Model expected combined goals4

Both Teams To Score

Yes75%
No25%

Rate per Team

BSC Young Boys — BTTS matches (home)40%
FK Crvena Zvezda — BTTS matches (away)60%
Combined (simple average)50%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.590%
Under 4.510%
Over 5.590%
Under 5.510%
Over 6.580%
Under 6.520%
Over 7.580%
Under 7.520%
Over 8.580%
Under 8.520%
Over 9.570%
Under 9.530%
Over 10.560%
Under 10.540%
Expected total corners (blended average)11.10

Per-Team Corners own matches

BSC Young Boys (home)

Corners for5.0
Corners against6.6

FK Crvena Zvezda (away)

Corners for4.6
Corners against6.0

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

BSC Young Boys
11 16 5 11 14
FK Crvena Zvezda
8 8 10 14 14

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.5100%
Under 1.50%
Over 2.570%
Under 2.530%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.7

Yellow Cards per Team

BSC Young Boys (home)

For3.0

FK Crvena Zvezda (away)

For1.4

Shots per Game

BSC Young Boys — total shots (home)13.0
FK Crvena Zvezda — total shots (away)10.8

Shots on Target

BSC Young Boys — on target (home)3.2
FK Crvena Zvezda — on target (away)2.8

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

BSC Young Boys

Inside the box6.8
Outside the box4.5

FK Crvena Zvezda

Inside the box8
Outside the box4.3

Player Shots BSC Young Boys

M. Camara
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target13%
+1.5 On Target13%
E. Colley
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target22%
Joël Monteiro
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target20%
+1.5 On Target10%
D. Males
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target22%
+1.5 On Target11%
F. Ugrinic
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target11%

Player Shots FK Crvena Zvezda

C. Ndiaye
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target20%
+1.5 On Target10%
M. Ivanić
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target71%
+1.5 On Target29%
N. Radonjić
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target75%
+1.5 On Target25%
S. Katompa Mvumpa
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target13%
T. Elšnik
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target30%
+1.5 On Target10%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

BSC Young Boys xG (home)0.65
FK Crvena Zvezda xG (away)1.16

Average Possession

41.9% Possession 43.2%

Team Comparison BSC Young Boys vs FK Crvena Zvezda

79.3% Pass accuracy 80.3%
345.6 Passes per match 372.2
-0.42 Goals prevented -0.41
14.4 Fouls committed 10.2
4.1 Goalkeeper saves 2.8
2.2 Offsides 2.4
15.2 Tackles per match 16.6

League average xG this season is 1.54 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

BSC Young Boys vs FK Crvena Zvezda prediction analysis

Review BSC Young Boys vs FK Crvena Zvezda with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Champions League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance UEFA Champions League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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