What markets are included in the Bucaramanga vs Atletico Nacional prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Bucaramanga vs Atletico Nacional prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Bucaramanga vs Atletico Nacional

Bucaramanga vs Atletico Nacional prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions

Primera A 2025-03-29 00:30

Bucaramanga

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

45%

Confidence

Medium

Score

0-1

Atletico Nacional

Away

Prediction Summary

15%

23%

62%

Under 2.5

55%

BTTS No

57%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Bucaramanga (Home)

Goals scored / match1.43

Goals conceded / match0.78

Over 2.5 rate13%

BTTS rate35%

Atletico Nacional (Away)

Goals scored / match1.38

Goals conceded / match1.23

Over 2.5 rate15%

BTTS rate65%

Team Form last 5 matches

Bucaramanga

DDWLD

Atletico Nacional

LWLDD

Goals Comparison rate per team

74% +0.5 73%

48% +1.5 42%

13% +2.5 15%

9% +3.5 4%

0% +4.5 4%

35% BTTS 65%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 45%. Model confidence is Medium.

Bucaramanga averages 1.43 goals scored at home, while Atletico Nacional averages 1.38 goals scored away.

Model Strength

62%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

15%

Draw

23%

Away Win

62%

Over 2.5

45%

BTTS Yes

43%

Head-to-Head last 1

Mar 2025 Bucaramanga 2 - 0 Atletico Nacional Home

In the last 1 meetings, Bucaramanga won 1, drew 0 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Bucaramanga — unbeaten run (home)1

Bucaramanga — scoring streak (home)0

Atletico Nacional — winless run (away)4

Atletico Nacional — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Bucaramanga Win (1)15%

Draw (X)23%

Atletico Nacional Win (2)62%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

74% +0.5 73%

48% +1.5 42%

13% +2.5 15%

9% +3.5 4%

0% +4.5 4%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

26% -0.5 27%

52% -1.5 58%

87% -2.5 85%

91% -3.5 96%

100% -4.5 96%

Bucaramanga vs Atletico Nacional — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Bucaramanga — scored (home)1.43

Bucaramanga — conceded (home)0.78

Atletico Nacional — scored (away)1.38

Atletico Nacional — conceded (away)1.23

Model expected combined goals2.48

Both Teams To Score

Yes43%

No57%

Rate per Team

Bucaramanga — BTTS matches (home)35%

Atletico Nacional — BTTS matches (away)65%

Combined (simple average)50%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.596%

Under 4.54%

Over 5.596%

Under 5.54%

Over 6.580%

Under 6.520%

Over 7.574%

Under 7.526%

Over 8.559%

Under 8.541%

Over 9.535%

Under 9.565%

Over 10.524%

Under 10.576%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.10

Per-Team Corners own matches

Bucaramanga (home)

Corners for5.3

Corners against3.6

Atletico Nacional (away)

Corners for5.3

Corners against4.0

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Bucaramanga

8 11 11 8 7

Atletico Nacional

12 8 9 3 9

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.598%

Under 1.52%

Over 2.596%

Under 2.54%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)6.1

Yellow Cards per Team

Bucaramanga (home)

For3.3

Atletico Nacional (away)

For2.8

Shots per Game

Bucaramanga — total shots (home)14.5

Atletico Nacional — total shots (away)13.8

Shots on Target

Bucaramanga — on target (home)5.5

Atletico Nacional — on target (away)4.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Bucaramanga

Inside the box7.09

Outside the box5.84

Atletico Nacional

Inside the box8.73

Outside the box7.02

Player Shots Bucaramanga

L. Pons

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target76%

+1.5 On Target32%

F. Sambueza

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target52%

+1.5 On Target16%

F. Castañeda

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target43%

+1.5 On Target14%

F. Gil

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target5%

A. Andrade

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target40%

+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots Atletico Nacional

A. Morelos

Shots on Target/Game1.2

+0.5 On Target68%

+1.5 On Target27%

K. Viveros

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target10%

E. Cardona

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target51%

+1.5 On Target15%

J. Rengifo

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target46%

+1.5 On Target15%

A. Sarmiento

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target31%

+1.5 On Target13%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Bucaramanga xG (home)1.14

Atletico Nacional xG (away)1.17

Average Possession

53.98% Possession 56.51%

Team Comparison Bucaramanga vs Atletico Nacional

80.57% Pass accuracy 83.69%

388.5 Passes per match 411.63

0 Goals prevented 0

11.86 Fouls committed 11.51

2.2 Goalkeeper saves 2.59

1.72 Offsides 1.7

13.23 Tackles per match 10.58

League average xG this season is 1.14 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Bucaramanga vs Atletico Nacional prediction analysis

Review Bucaramanga vs Atletico Nacional with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primera A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primera A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights