Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Bucaramanga vs Deportivo Cali

Bucaramanga vs Deportivo Cali prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primera A 2025-07-28 23:00
Bucaramanga
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
25%
Confidence
High
Score
1-0
Deportivo Cali
Away

Prediction Summary

1
46%
X
32%
2
21%
Under 2.5
75%
BTTS No
69%
Confidence
High

Market Evidence

Bucaramanga (Home)

Goals scored / match1.43
Goals conceded / match0.78
Over 2.5 rate13%
BTTS rate35%

Deportivo Cali (Away)

Goals scored / match0.85
Goals conceded / match1.2
Over 2.5 rate15%
BTTS rate35%

Team Form last 5 matches

Bucaramanga
DDWLD
Deportivo Cali
DLLLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

74% +0.5 45%
48% +1.5 20%
13% +2.5 15%
9% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 0%
35% BTTS 35%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 25%. Model confidence is High.

Bucaramanga averages 1.43 goals scored at home, while Deportivo Cali averages 0.85 goals scored away.

Model Strength
75%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
46%
Draw
32%
Away Win
21%
Over 2.5
25%
BTTS Yes
31%

Head-to-Head last 2

Jul 2025 Bucaramanga 2 - 3 Deportivo Cali Away
Feb 2025 Bucaramanga(A) 0 - 0 Deportivo Cali Draw

In the last 2 meetings, Bucaramanga won 0, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Bucaramanga — unbeaten run (home)1
Bucaramanga — scoring streak (home)0
Deportivo Cali — winless run (away)4
Deportivo Cali — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Bucaramanga Win (1)46%
Draw (X)32%
Deportivo Cali Win (2)21%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

74% +0.5 45%
48% +1.5 20%
13% +2.5 15%
9% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

26% -0.5 55%
52% -1.5 80%
87% -2.5 85%
91% -3.5 95%
100% -4.5 100%

Bucaramanga vs Deportivo Cali — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Bucaramanga — scored (home)1.43
Bucaramanga — conceded (home)0.78
Deportivo Cali — scored (away)0.85
Deportivo Cali — conceded (away)1.2
Model expected combined goals1.73

Both Teams To Score

Yes31%
No69%

Rate per Team

Bucaramanga — BTTS matches (home)35%
Deportivo Cali — BTTS matches (away)35%
Combined (simple average)35%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%
Under 4.52%
Over 5.598%
Under 5.52%
Over 6.589%
Under 6.511%
Over 7.570%
Under 7.530%
Over 8.554%
Under 8.546%
Over 9.543%
Under 9.557%
Over 10.526%
Under 10.574%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

Bucaramanga (home)

Corners for5.3
Corners against3.6

Deportivo Cali (away)

Corners for4.5
Corners against4.9

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Bucaramanga
8 11 11 8 7
Deportivo Cali
5 8 9 16 6

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.598%
Under 1.52%
Over 2.596%
Under 2.54%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)6.2

Yellow Cards per Team

Bucaramanga (home)

For3.3

Deportivo Cali (away)

For3.0

Shots per Game

Bucaramanga — total shots (home)14.5
Deportivo Cali — total shots (away)10.1

Shots on Target

Bucaramanga — on target (home)5.5
Deportivo Cali — on target (away)3.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Bucaramanga

Inside the box7.09
Outside the box5.84

Deportivo Cali

Inside the box6.69
Outside the box4.79

Player Shots Bucaramanga

L. Pons
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target76%
+1.5 On Target32%
F. Sambueza
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target16%
F. Castañeda
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target14%
F. Gil
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target5%
A. Andrade
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots Deportivo Cali

J. Martinez
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target79%
+1.5 On Target36%
E. Rodríguez
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target29%
A. Estupinan
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target20%
A. Hurtado
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target24%
J. Barrera
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target12%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Bucaramanga xG (home)1.14
Deportivo Cali xG (away)1.11

Average Possession

53.98% Possession 51.1%

Team Comparison Bucaramanga vs Deportivo Cali

80.57% Pass accuracy 78%
388.5 Passes per match 351.97
0 Goals prevented 0
11.86 Fouls committed 13.64
2.2 Goalkeeper saves 2.56
1.72 Offsides 1.97
13.23 Tackles per match 14.03

League average xG this season is 1.14 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Bucaramanga vs Deportivo Cali prediction analysis

Review Bucaramanga vs Deportivo Cali with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primera A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primera A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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