What markets are included in the Bucaramanga vs Deportivo Pasto prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Bucaramanga vs Deportivo Pasto prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Bucaramanga vs Deportivo Pasto

Bucaramanga vs Deportivo Pasto prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primera A 2025-05-25 21:00

Bucaramanga

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

25%

Confidence

High

Score

1-0

Deportivo Pasto

Away

Prediction Summary

48%

32%

20%

Under 2.5

75%

BTTS No

69%

Confidence

High

Market Evidence

Bucaramanga (Home)

Goals scored / match1.43

Goals conceded / match0.78

Over 2.5 rate13%

BTTS rate35%

Deportivo Pasto (Away)

Goals scored / match0.55

Goals conceded / match1.35

Over 2.5 rate0%

BTTS rate40%

Team Form last 5 matches

Bucaramanga

DDWLD

Deportivo Pasto

WLWLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

74% +0.5 45%

48% +1.5 10%

13% +2.5 0%

9% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

35% BTTS 40%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 25%. Model confidence is High.

Bucaramanga averages 1.43 goals scored at home, while Deportivo Pasto averages 0.55 goals scored away.

Model Strength

75%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

48%

Draw

32%

Away Win

20%

Over 2.5

25%

BTTS Yes

31%

Head-to-Head last 2

Nov 2025 Bucaramanga(A) 0 - 3 Deportivo Pasto Away

May 2025 Bucaramanga 2 - 1 Deportivo Pasto Home

In the last 2 meetings, Bucaramanga won 1, drew 0 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Bucaramanga — unbeaten run (home)1

Bucaramanga — scoring streak (home)0

Deportivo Pasto — winless run (away)17

Deportivo Pasto — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Bucaramanga Win (1)48%

Draw (X)32%

Deportivo Pasto Win (2)20%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

74% +0.5 45%

48% +1.5 10%

13% +2.5 0%

9% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

26% -0.5 55%

52% -1.5 90%

87% -2.5 100%

91% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Bucaramanga vs Deportivo Pasto — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Bucaramanga — scored (home)1.43

Bucaramanga — conceded (home)0.78

Deportivo Pasto — scored (away)0.55

Deportivo Pasto — conceded (away)1.35

Model expected combined goals1.72

Both Teams To Score

Yes31%

No69%

Rate per Team

Bucaramanga — BTTS matches (home)35%

Deportivo Pasto — BTTS matches (away)40%

Combined (simple average)37.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%

Under 4.52%

Over 5.596%

Under 5.54%

Over 6.582%

Under 6.518%

Over 7.565%

Under 7.535%

Over 8.554%

Under 8.546%

Over 9.543%

Under 9.557%

Over 10.526%

Under 10.574%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.30

Per-Team Corners own matches

Bucaramanga (home)

Corners for5.3

Corners against3.6

Deportivo Pasto (away)

Corners for3.5

Corners against6.1

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Bucaramanga

8 11 11 8 7

Deportivo Pasto

7 16 11 5 4

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.5100%

Under 1.50%

Over 2.598%

Under 2.52%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)6.2

Yellow Cards per Team

Bucaramanga (home)

For3.3

Deportivo Pasto (away)

For3.7

Shots per Game

Bucaramanga — total shots (home)14.5

Deportivo Pasto — total shots (away)10.3

Shots on Target

Bucaramanga — on target (home)5.5

Deportivo Pasto — on target (away)3.1

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Bucaramanga

Inside the box7.09

Outside the box5.84

Deportivo Pasto

Inside the box5.88

Outside the box5.6

Player Shots Bucaramanga

L. Pons

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target76%

+1.5 On Target32%

F. Sambueza

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target52%

+1.5 On Target16%

F. Castañeda

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target43%

+1.5 On Target14%

F. Gil

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target5%

A. Andrade

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target40%

+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots Deportivo Pasto

Y. Valois

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target67%

+1.5 On Target56%

F. Boné

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target41%

+1.5 On Target12%

G. Torres

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target28%

+1.5 On Target11%

D. Camacho

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target0%

J. Rivas

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Bucaramanga xG (home)1.14

Deportivo Pasto xG (away)0.98

Average Possession

53.98% Possession 43.55%

Team Comparison Bucaramanga vs Deportivo Pasto

80.57% Pass accuracy 78.88%

388.5 Passes per match 317.15

0 Goals prevented 0

11.86 Fouls committed 13.58

2.2 Goalkeeper saves 2.55

1.72 Offsides 1.58

13.23 Tackles per match 12.18

League average xG this season is 1.14 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Bucaramanga vs Deportivo Pasto prediction analysis

Review Bucaramanga vs Deportivo Pasto with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primera A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primera A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights