Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Bucaramanga vs Deportivo Pereira

Bucaramanga vs Deportivo Pereira prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primera A 2025-03-14 23:30
Bucaramanga
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
46%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Deportivo Pereira
Away

Prediction Summary

1
45%
X
27%
2
29%
Under 2.5
54%
BTTS · No edge
50%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

Bucaramanga (Home)

Goals scored / match1.43
Goals conceded / match0.78
Over 2.5 rate13%
BTTS rate35%

Deportivo Pereira (Away)

Goals scored / match0.65
Goals conceded / match1.8
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate40%

Team Form last 5 matches

Bucaramanga
DDWLD
Deportivo Pereira
LLLLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

74% +0.5 45%
48% +1.5 15%
13% +2.5 5%
9% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
35% BTTS 40%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 46%. Model confidence is Low.

Bucaramanga averages 1.43 goals scored at home, while Deportivo Pereira averages 0.65 goals scored away.

Model Strength
54%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
45%
Draw
27%
Away Win
29%
Over 2.5
46%
BTTS Yes
50%

Head-to-Head last 2

Aug 2025 Bucaramanga(A) 1 - 0 Deportivo Pereira Home
Mar 2025 Bucaramanga 0 - 1 Deportivo Pereira Away

In the last 2 meetings, Bucaramanga won 1, drew 0 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Bucaramanga — unbeaten run (home)1
Bucaramanga — scoring streak (home)0
Deportivo Pereira — winless run (away)15
Deportivo Pereira — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Bucaramanga Win (1)45%
Draw (X)27%
Deportivo Pereira Win (2)29%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

74% +0.5 45%
48% +1.5 15%
13% +2.5 5%
9% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

26% -0.5 55%
52% -1.5 85%
87% -2.5 95%
91% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Bucaramanga vs Deportivo Pereira — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Bucaramanga — scored (home)1.43
Bucaramanga — conceded (home)0.78
Deportivo Pereira — scored (away)0.65
Deportivo Pereira — conceded (away)1.8
Model expected combined goals2.5

Both Teams To Score

Yes50%
No50%

Rate per Team

Bucaramanga — BTTS matches (home)35%
Deportivo Pereira — BTTS matches (away)40%
Combined (simple average)37.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.596%
Under 4.54%
Over 5.593%
Under 5.57%
Over 6.584%
Under 6.516%
Over 7.580%
Under 7.520%
Over 8.561%
Under 8.539%
Over 9.543%
Under 9.557%
Over 10.526%
Under 10.574%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

Bucaramanga (home)

Corners for5.3
Corners against3.6

Deportivo Pereira (away)

Corners for4.7
Corners against4.8

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Bucaramanga
8 11 11 8 7
Deportivo Pereira
10 7 11 8 4

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.595%
Under 0.55%
Over 1.593%
Under 1.57%
Over 2.591%
Under 2.59%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)6.2

Yellow Cards per Team

Bucaramanga (home)

For3.3

Deportivo Pereira (away)

For3.6

Shots per Game

Bucaramanga — total shots (home)14.5
Deportivo Pereira — total shots (away)10.4

Shots on Target

Bucaramanga — on target (home)5.5
Deportivo Pereira — on target (away)3.0

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Bucaramanga

Inside the box7.09
Outside the box5.84

Deportivo Pereira

Inside the box6.05
Outside the box5.35

Player Shots Bucaramanga

L. Pons
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target76%
+1.5 On Target32%
F. Sambueza
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target16%
F. Castañeda
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target14%
F. Gil
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target5%
A. Andrade
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots Deportivo Pereira

D. Quintero
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target16%
J. Quiñones
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target15%
S. Merheg
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target8%
A. Estacio
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target8%
G. Torres
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target17%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Bucaramanga xG (home)1.14
Deportivo Pereira xG (away)1.06

Average Possession

53.98% Possession 45.4%

Team Comparison Bucaramanga vs Deportivo Pereira

80.57% Pass accuracy 75.78%
388.5 Passes per match 315.05
0 Goals prevented 0
11.86 Fouls committed 13.2
2.2 Goalkeeper saves 3.45
1.72 Offsides 2.03
13.23 Tackles per match 11.3

League average xG this season is 1.14 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Bucaramanga vs Deportivo Pereira prediction analysis

Review Bucaramanga vs Deportivo Pereira with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primera A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primera A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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