What markets are included in the Bucaramanga vs Fortaleza FC prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Bucaramanga vs Fortaleza FC prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Bucaramanga vs Fortaleza FC

Bucaramanga vs Fortaleza FC prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primera A 2025-11-26 23:30

Bucaramanga

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

40%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-0

Fortaleza FC

Away

Prediction Summary

55%

26%

19%

Under 2.5

60%

BTTS No

58%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Bucaramanga (Home)

Goals scored / match1.43

Goals conceded / match0.78

Over 2.5 rate13%

BTTS rate35%

Fortaleza FC (Away)

Goals scored / match0.78

Goals conceded / match1.48

Over 2.5 rate0%

BTTS rate43%

Team Form last 5 matches

Bucaramanga

DDWLD

Fortaleza FC

LLLWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

74% +0.5 57%

48% +1.5 22%

13% +2.5 0%

9% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

35% BTTS 43%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 40%. Model confidence is Medium.

Bucaramanga averages 1.43 goals scored at home, while Fortaleza FC averages 0.78 goals scored away.

Model Strength

60%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

55%

Draw

26%

Away Win

19%

Over 2.5

40%

BTTS Yes

42%

Head-to-Head last 4

Nov 2025 Bucaramanga(A) 2 - 0 Fortaleza FC Home

Nov 2025 Bucaramanga 1 - 2 Fortaleza FC Away

Sep 2025 Bucaramanga(A) 1 - 2 Fortaleza FC Away

Apr 2025 Bucaramanga 4 - 0 Fortaleza FC Home

In the last 4 meetings, Bucaramanga won 2, drew 0 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Bucaramanga — unbeaten run (home)1

Bucaramanga — scoring streak (home)0

Fortaleza FC — winless run (away)1

Fortaleza FC — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Bucaramanga Win (1)55%

Draw (X)26%

Fortaleza FC Win (2)19%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

74% +0.5 57%

48% +1.5 22%

13% +2.5 0%

9% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

26% -0.5 43%

52% -1.5 78%

87% -2.5 100%

91% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Bucaramanga vs Fortaleza FC — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Bucaramanga — scored (home)1.43

Bucaramanga — conceded (home)0.78

Fortaleza FC — scored (away)0.78

Fortaleza FC — conceded (away)1.48

Model expected combined goals2.29

Both Teams To Score

Yes42%

No58%

Rate per Team

Bucaramanga — BTTS matches (home)35%

Fortaleza FC — BTTS matches (away)43%

Combined (simple average)39%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.592%

Under 4.58%

Over 5.587%

Under 5.513%

Over 6.572%

Under 6.528%

Over 7.566%

Under 7.534%

Over 8.544%

Under 8.556%

Over 9.533%

Under 9.567%

Over 10.522%

Under 10.578%

Expected total corners (blended average)8.70

Per-Team Corners own matches

Bucaramanga (home)

Corners for5.3

Corners against3.6

Fortaleza FC (away)

Corners for3.8

Corners against4.6

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Bucaramanga

8 11 11 8 7

Fortaleza FC

6 11 11 12 8

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.598%

Under 1.52%

Over 2.590%

Under 2.510%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.3

Yellow Cards per Team

Bucaramanga (home)

For3.3

Fortaleza FC (away)

For2.0

Shots per Game

Bucaramanga — total shots (home)14.5

Fortaleza FC — total shots (away)12.2

Shots on Target

Bucaramanga — on target (home)5.5

Fortaleza FC — on target (away)3.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Bucaramanga

Inside the box7.09

Outside the box5.84

Fortaleza FC

Inside the box5.83

Outside the box6.5

Player Shots Bucaramanga

L. Pons

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target76%

+1.5 On Target32%

F. Sambueza

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target52%

+1.5 On Target16%

F. Castañeda

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target43%

+1.5 On Target14%

F. Gil

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target5%

A. Andrade

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target40%

+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots Fortaleza FC

K. Salazar

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target67%

+1.5 On Target33%

Emilio Aristizábal Chavarriaga

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target65%

+1.5 On Target18%

S. Valencia

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target65%

+1.5 On Target9%

C. Lucumi

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target17%

L. Sanchez

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target39%

+1.5 On Target17%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Bucaramanga xG (home)1.14

Fortaleza FC xG (away)1.3

Average Possession

53.98% Possession 52.2%

Team Comparison Bucaramanga vs Fortaleza FC

80.57% Pass accuracy 80.26%

388.5 Passes per match 381.35

0 Goals prevented 0

11.86 Fouls committed 10.85

2.2 Goalkeeper saves 2.57

1.72 Offsides 1.89

13.23 Tackles per match 11.02

League average xG this season is 1.14 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Bucaramanga vs Fortaleza FC prediction analysis

Review Bucaramanga vs Fortaleza FC with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primera A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primera A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights