Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Bucaramanga vs Junior

Bucaramanga vs Junior prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions
Primera A 2025-03-01 20:00
Bucaramanga
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
41%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Junior
Away

Prediction Summary

1
46%
X
28%
2
27%
Under 2.5
59%
BTTS No
54%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Bucaramanga (Home)

Goals scored / match1.43
Goals conceded / match0.78
Over 2.5 rate13%
BTTS rate35%

Junior (Away)

Goals scored / match1.15
Goals conceded / match1.26
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate56%

Team Form last 5 matches

Bucaramanga
DDWLD
Junior
WWLWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

74% +0.5 78%
48% +1.5 26%
13% +2.5 11%
9% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
35% BTTS 56%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 41%. Model confidence is Medium.

Bucaramanga averages 1.43 goals scored at home, while Junior averages 1.15 goals scored away.

Model Strength
59%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
46%
Draw
28%
Away Win
27%
Over 2.5
41%
BTTS Yes
46%

Head-to-Head last 2

Aug 2025 Bucaramanga(A) 1 - 2 Junior Away
Mar 2025 Bucaramanga 1 - 1 Junior Draw

In the last 2 meetings, Bucaramanga won 0, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Bucaramanga — unbeaten run (home)1
Bucaramanga — scoring streak (home)0
Junior — winless run (away)0
Junior — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Bucaramanga Win (1)46%
Draw (X)28%
Junior Win (2)27%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

74% +0.5 78%
48% +1.5 26%
13% +2.5 11%
9% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

26% -0.5 22%
52% -1.5 74%
87% -2.5 89%
91% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Bucaramanga vs Junior — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Bucaramanga — scored (home)1.43
Bucaramanga — conceded (home)0.78
Junior — scored (away)1.15
Junior — conceded (away)1.26
Model expected combined goals2.31

Both Teams To Score

Yes46%
No54%

Rate per Team

Bucaramanga — BTTS matches (home)35%
Junior — BTTS matches (away)56%
Combined (simple average)45.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%
Under 4.52%
Over 5.595%
Under 5.55%
Over 6.584%
Under 6.516%
Over 7.569%
Under 7.531%
Over 8.550%
Under 8.550%
Over 9.534%
Under 9.566%
Over 10.524%
Under 10.576%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.80

Per-Team Corners own matches

Bucaramanga (home)

Corners for5.3
Corners against3.6

Junior (away)

Corners for3.7
Corners against5.0

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Bucaramanga
8 11 11 8 7
Junior
9 6 7 9 12

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.5100%
Under 1.50%
Over 2.595%
Under 2.55%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)6

Yellow Cards per Team

Bucaramanga (home)

For3.3

Junior (away)

For2.6

Shots per Game

Bucaramanga — total shots (home)14.5
Junior — total shots (away)9.9

Shots on Target

Bucaramanga — on target (home)5.5
Junior — on target (away)3.1

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Bucaramanga

Inside the box7.09
Outside the box5.84

Junior

Inside the box7.07
Outside the box4.57

Player Shots Bucaramanga

L. Pons
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target76%
+1.5 On Target32%
F. Sambueza
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target16%
F. Castañeda
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target14%
F. Gil
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target5%
A. Andrade
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots Junior

B. Castrillón
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target51%
+1.5 On Target15%
G. Paiva
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target49%
+1.5 On Target15%
Titi
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target6%
J. Barrera
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target7%
J. Enamorado
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target6%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Bucaramanga xG (home)1.14
Junior xG (away)1.39

Average Possession

53.98% Possession 52.17%

Team Comparison Bucaramanga vs Junior

80.57% Pass accuracy 78.93%
388.5 Passes per match 379.17
0 Goals prevented 0
11.86 Fouls committed 10.2
2.2 Goalkeeper saves 3.54
1.72 Offsides 1.55
13.23 Tackles per match 12.63

League average xG this season is 1.14 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Bucaramanga vs Junior prediction analysis

Review Bucaramanga vs Junior with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primera A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primera A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
Scroll to Top