Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Bucaramanga vs Once Caldas

Bucaramanga vs Once Caldas prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primera A 2025-09-10 01:30
Bucaramanga
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
41%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Once Caldas
Away

Prediction Summary

1
52%
X
26%
2
21%
Under 2.5
59%
BTTS No
56%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Bucaramanga (Home)

Goals scored / match1.43
Goals conceded / match0.78
Over 2.5 rate13%
BTTS rate35%

Once Caldas (Away)

Goals scored / match0.64
Goals conceded / match1.23
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate41%

Team Form last 5 matches

Bucaramanga
DDWLD
Once Caldas
DWDWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

74% +0.5 50%
48% +1.5 14%
13% +2.5 0%
9% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
35% BTTS 41%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 41%. Model confidence is Medium.

Bucaramanga averages 1.43 goals scored at home, while Once Caldas averages 0.64 goals scored away.

Model Strength
59%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
52%
Draw
26%
Away Win
21%
Over 2.5
41%
BTTS Yes
44%

Head-to-Head last 2

Sep 2025 Bucaramanga 0 - 0 Once Caldas Draw
Feb 2025 Bucaramanga(A) 1 - 2 Once Caldas Away

In the last 2 meetings, Bucaramanga won 0, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Bucaramanga — unbeaten run (home)1
Bucaramanga — scoring streak (home)0
Once Caldas — winless run (away)3
Once Caldas — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Bucaramanga Win (1)52%
Draw (X)26%
Once Caldas Win (2)21%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

74% +0.5 50%
48% +1.5 14%
13% +2.5 0%
9% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

26% -0.5 50%
52% -1.5 86%
87% -2.5 100%
91% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Bucaramanga vs Once Caldas — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Bucaramanga — scored (home)1.43
Bucaramanga — conceded (home)0.78
Once Caldas — scored (away)0.64
Once Caldas — conceded (away)1.23
Model expected combined goals2.33

Both Teams To Score

Yes44%
No56%

Rate per Team

Bucaramanga — BTTS matches (home)35%
Once Caldas — BTTS matches (away)41%
Combined (simple average)38%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.594%
Under 4.56%
Over 5.589%
Under 5.511%
Over 6.578%
Under 6.522%
Over 7.567%
Under 7.533%
Over 8.554%
Under 8.546%
Over 9.540%
Under 9.560%
Over 10.527%
Under 10.573%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.90

Per-Team Corners own matches

Bucaramanga (home)

Corners for5.3
Corners against3.6

Once Caldas (away)

Corners for3.2
Corners against5.6

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Bucaramanga
8 11 11 8 7
Once Caldas
7 14 14 5 6

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.5100%
Under 1.50%
Over 2.596%
Under 2.54%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)6.1

Yellow Cards per Team

Bucaramanga (home)

For3.3

Once Caldas (away)

For3.1

Shots per Game

Bucaramanga — total shots (home)14.5
Once Caldas — total shots (away)10.2

Shots on Target

Bucaramanga — on target (home)5.5
Once Caldas — on target (away)3.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Bucaramanga

Inside the box7.09
Outside the box5.84

Once Caldas

Inside the box6.02
Outside the box6.42

Player Shots Bucaramanga

L. Pons
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target76%
+1.5 On Target32%
F. Sambueza
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target16%
F. Castañeda
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target14%
F. Gil
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target5%
A. Andrade
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots Once Caldas

H. Dorrego
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target33%
D. Moreno
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target59%
+1.5 On Target23%
J. Zapata
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target11%
M. Barrios
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target11%
M. García
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target19%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Bucaramanga xG (home)1.14
Once Caldas xG (away)0.94

Average Possession

53.98% Possession 49.73%

Team Comparison Bucaramanga vs Once Caldas

80.57% Pass accuracy 81.02%
388.5 Passes per match 358.62
0 Goals prevented 0
11.86 Fouls committed 11.36
2.2 Goalkeeper saves 3.64
1.72 Offsides 2.43
13.23 Tackles per match 12.47

League average xG this season is 1.14 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Bucaramanga vs Once Caldas prediction analysis

Review Bucaramanga vs Once Caldas with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primera A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primera A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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