Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Bulgaria vs Luxembourg

Bulgaria vs Luxembourg prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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UEFA Nations League 2026-09-26 16:00
Bulgaria
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
44%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Luxembourg
Away

Prediction Summary

1
32%
X
27%
2
41%
Under 2.5
56%
BTTS No
51%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Bulgaria (Home)

Goals scored / match0
Goals conceded / match0
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate0%

Luxembourg (Away)

Goals scored / match0
Goals conceded / match0
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate0%

Team Form last 5 matches

No recent form dataNot enough finished matches this season yet.

Goals Comparison rate per team

0% +0.5 0%
0% +1.5 0%
0% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
0% BTTS 0%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 44%. Model confidence is Medium.

Bulgaria averages 0 goals scored at home, while Luxembourg averages 0 goals scored away.

Model Strength
56%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
32%
Draw
27%
Away Win
41%
Over 2.5
44%
BTTS Yes
49%

Head-to-Head last 2

Nov 2024 Bulgaria(A) 1 - 0 Luxembourg Home
Oct 2024 Bulgaria 0 - 0 Luxembourg Draw

In the last 2 meetings, Bulgaria won 1, drew 1 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

No streak data yetNot enough finished matches this season.

1X2 Probability model

Bulgaria Win (1)32%
Draw (X)27%
Luxembourg Win (2)41%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

0% +0.5 0%
0% +1.5 0%
0% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

100% -0.5 100%
100% -1.5 100%
100% -2.5 100%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Bulgaria vs Luxembourg — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Bulgaria — scored (home)0
Bulgaria — conceded (home)0
Luxembourg — scored (away)0
Luxembourg — conceded (away)0
Model expected combined goals2.42

Both Teams To Score

Yes49%
No51%

Rate per Team

Bulgaria — BTTS matches (home)0%
Luxembourg — BTTS matches (away)0%
Combined (simple average)0%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.551%
Under 8.549%
Over 9.541%
Under 9.559%
Over 10.532%
Under 10.568%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.00

Per-Team Corners own matches

Bulgaria (home)

Corners for—
Corners against—

Luxembourg (away)

Corners for—
Corners against—

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

No recent match dataCorners statistics were not available for recent matches.
Cards data not available yetNot enough finished matches with statistics for these teams.

Yellow Cards per Team

Bulgaria (home)

For—

Luxembourg (away)

For—

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.561%
Under 19.539%
Over 22.548%
Under 22.552%
Over 25.537%
Under 25.563%
Expected total shots23.34

Bulgaria

Shots Over 9.569%
Shots Over 11.555%
Shots Over 13.542%
Expected shots12.99
On Target Over 3.559%
On Target Over 4.544%
On Target Over 5.531%
Expected on target4.46

Luxembourg

Shots Over 9.552%
Shots Over 11.536%
Shots Over 13.524%
Expected shots10.35
On Target Over 3.545%
On Target Over 4.530%
On Target Over 5.518%
Expected on target3.54

Shots per Game

Bulgaria — total shots (home)—
Luxembourg — total shots (away)—

Shots on Target

Bulgaria — on target (home)—
Luxembourg — on target (away)—

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Bulgaria

Inside the box-
Outside the box-

Luxembourg

Inside the box-
Outside the box-
Player shot data not available yetNot enough player match statistics for these squads.

Expected Goals (xG)

xG data not available yetExpected goals statistics were not returned for these teams' matches.

Average Possession

-% Possession -%

Team Comparison Bulgaria vs Luxembourg

0% Pass accuracy 0%
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Bulgaria vs Luxembourg prediction analysis

Review Bulgaria vs Luxembourg with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Nations League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance UEFA Nations League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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