Prediction Analysis: Burgos vs Cordoba
Burgos vs Cordoba prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Segunda División
2026-08-16
15:00
Burgos
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
42%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Cordoba
Away
Prediction Summary
1
46%
X
27%
2
27%
Under 2.5
58%
BTTS No
53%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
Burgos (Home)
Goals scored / match1.19
Goals conceded / match0.57
Over 2.5 rate10%
BTTS rate38%
Cordoba (Away)
Goals scored / match1.38
Goals conceded / match1.57
Over 2.5 rate14%
BTTS rate71%
Team Form last 5 matches
Burgos
WWWDD
Cordoba
DLLWW
Goals Comparison rate per team
71%
+0.5
76%
24%
+1.5
48%
10%
+2.5
14%
10%
+3.5
0%
5%
+4.5
0%
38%
BTTS
71%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 42%. Model confidence is Medium.
Burgos averages 1.19 goals scored at home, while Cordoba averages 1.38 goals scored away.
Model Strength
58%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
46%
Draw
27%
Away Win
27%
Over 2.5
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
Head-to-Head last 4
Mar 2026
Burgos
4 - 0
Cordoba
Home
Jan 2026
Burgos(A)
0 - 2
Cordoba
Away
May 2025
Burgos
3 - 2
Cordoba
Home
Aug 2024
Burgos(A)
2 - 2
Cordoba
Draw
In the last 4 meetings, Burgos won 2, drew 1 and lost 1.
Current Streaks
Burgos — unbeaten run (home)12
Burgos — scoring streak (home)1
Cordoba — winless run (away)1
Cordoba — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Burgos Win (1)46%
Draw (X)27%
Cordoba Win (2)27%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
71%
+0.5
76%
24%
+1.5
48%
10%
+2.5
14%
10%
+3.5
0%
5%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
29%
-0.5
24%
76%
-1.5
52%
90%
-2.5
86%
90%
-3.5
100%
95%
-4.5
100%
Burgos vs Cordoba — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Burgos — scored (home)1.19
Burgos — conceded (home)0.57
Cordoba — scored (away)1.38
Cordoba — conceded (away)1.57
Model expected combined goals2.36
Both Teams To Score
Yes47%
No53%
Rate per Team
Burgos — BTTS matches (home)38%
Cordoba — BTTS matches (away)71%
Combined (simple average)54.5%
Corners Line model prediction
Over 8.556%
Under 8.544%
Over 9.545%
Under 9.555%
Over 10.535%
Under 10.565%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.40
Per-Team Corners own matches
Burgos (home)
Corners for4.2
Corners against4.2
Cordoba (away)
Corners for6.1
Corners against5.2
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Burgos
4
14
8
9
4
Cordoba
15
5
19
15
13
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.595%
Under 0.55%
Over 1.595%
Under 1.55%
Over 2.588%
Under 2.512%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.6
Yellow Cards per Team
Burgos (home)
For2.9
Cordoba (away)
For3.1
Shots Forecast model prediction
Match Total
Over 19.571%
Under 19.529%
Over 22.555%
Under 22.545%
Over 25.540%
Under 25.560%
Expected total shots24.11
Burgos
Shots Over 9.571%
Shots Over 11.554%
Shots Over 13.537%
Expected shots12.39
On Target Over 3.563%
On Target Over 4.545%
On Target Over 5.530%
Expected on target4.47
Cordoba
Shots Over 9.567%
Shots Over 11.548%
Shots Over 13.532%
Expected shots11.72
On Target Over 3.552%
On Target Over 4.534%
On Target Over 5.521%
Expected on target3.85
Shots per Game
Burgos — total shots (home)11.5
Cordoba — total shots (away)14.0
Shots on Target
Burgos — on target (home)3.8
Cordoba — on target (away)5.1
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Burgos
Inside the box6.98
Outside the box3.07
Cordoba
Inside the box9.6
Outside the box6.52
Player Shots Burgos
Curro Sánchez
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target16%
Fer Niño
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target13%
Iñigo Córdoba
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target20%
+1.5 On Target5%
Mario González
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target17%
+1.5 On Target4%
David González
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target10%
Player Shots Cordoba
Pedro Ortiz
Shots on Target/Game3
+0.5 On Target5%
+1.5 On Target5%
Adilson
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target20%
+1.5 On Target20%
Fuentes
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target23%
Ignasi Vilarrasa
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target14%
+1.5 On Target10%
Xavi Sintes
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target8%
+1.5 On Target4%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Burgos xG (home)1.25
Cordoba xG (away)1.78
Average Possession
46.24%
Possession
57.88%
Team Comparison Burgos vs Cordoba
84.5%
Pass accuracy
81.82%
378.29
Passes per match
411.26
0
Goals prevented
0
12.88
Fouls committed
15.74
2.71
Goalkeeper saves
2.98
2.31
Offsides
2.48
18
Tackles per match
19.17
League average xG this season is 1.42 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Burgos vs Cordoba prediction and preview
Preview Burgos vs Cordoba with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, recent form and key team performance data.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Segunda División
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights