What markets are included in the Burnley vs Everton prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Burnley vs Everton prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Burnley vs Everton

Burnley vs Everton prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Premier League 2025-12-27 15:00

Burnley

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

36%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

Everton

Away

Prediction Summary

35%

30%

35%

Under 2.5

64%

BTTS No

57%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Burnley (Home)

Goals scored / match0.95

Goals conceded / match1.53

Over 2.5 rate5%

BTTS rate42%

Everton (Away)

Goals scored / match1.11

Goals conceded / match1.21

Over 2.5 rate11%

BTTS rate47%

Team Form last 5 matches

Burnley

DLDLL

Everton

LLDDL

Goals Comparison rate per team

53% +0.5 68%

37% +1.5 32%

5% +2.5 11%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

42% BTTS 47%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 36%. Model confidence is Medium.

Burnley averages 0.95 goals scored at home, while Everton averages 1.11 goals scored away.

Model Strength

64%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

35%

Draw

30%

Away Win

35%

Over 2.5

36%

BTTS Yes

43%

Head-to-Head last 5

Mar 2026 Burnley(A) 0 - 2 Everton Away

Dec 2025 Burnley 0 - 0 Everton Draw

Apr 2024 Burnley(A) 0 - 1 Everton Away

Dec 2023 Burnley 0 - 2 Everton Away

Nov 2023 Burnley(A) 0 - 3 Everton Away

In the last 5 meetings, Burnley won 0, drew 1 and lost 4.

Current Streaks

Burnley — unbeaten run (home)2

Burnley — scoring streak (home)2

Everton — winless run (away)5

Everton — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Burnley Win (1)35%

Draw (X)30%

Everton Win (2)35%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

53% +0.5 68%

37% +1.5 32%

5% +2.5 11%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

47% -0.5 32%

63% -1.5 68%

95% -2.5 89%

100% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Burnley vs Everton — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Burnley — scored (home)0.95

Burnley — conceded (home)1.53

Everton — scored (away)1.11

Everton — conceded (away)1.21

Model expected combined goals2.13

Both Teams To Score

Yes43%

No57%

Rate per Team

Burnley — BTTS matches (home)42%

Everton — BTTS matches (away)47%

Combined (simple average)44.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.595%

Under 4.55%

Over 5.590%

Under 5.510%

Over 6.584%

Under 6.516%

Over 7.566%

Under 7.534%

Over 8.563%

Under 8.537%

Over 9.553%

Under 9.547%

Over 10.540%

Under 10.560%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.60

Per-Team Corners own matches

Burnley (home)

Corners for3.7

Corners against5.9

Everton (away)

Corners for3.9

Corners against5.6

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Burnley

14 5 10 6 14

Everton

7 14 15 5 14

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.592%

Under 0.58%

Over 1.577%

Under 1.523%

Over 2.550%

Under 2.550%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)2.9

Yellow Cards per Team

Burnley (home)

For1.5

Everton (away)

For2.1

Shots per Game

Burnley — total shots (home)10.8

Everton — total shots (away)10.0

Shots on Target

Burnley — on target (home)3.3

Everton — on target (away)3.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Burnley

Inside the box5.68

Outside the box3.66

Everton

Inside the box7.63

Outside the box3.47

Player Shots Burnley

Z. Flemming

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target52%

+1.5 On Target17%

J. Anthony

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target51%

+1.5 On Target8%

J. Cullen

Shots on Target/Game0.3

+0.5 On Target28%

+1.5 On Target6%

L. Tchaouna

Shots on Target/Game0.3

+0.5 On Target28%

+1.5 On Target3%

M. Edwards

Shots on Target/Game0.3

+0.5 On Target22%

+1.5 On Target4%

Player Shots Everton

I. Ndiaye

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target53%

+1.5 On Target13%

K. Dewsbury-Hall

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target39%

+1.5 On Target10%

Beto

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target5%

J. Grealish

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target30%

+1.5 On Target5%

J. Garner

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target32%

+1.5 On Target3%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Burnley xG (home)0.86

Everton xG (away)1.23

Average Possession

42.29% Possession 43.63%

Team Comparison Burnley vs Everton

77.66% Pass accuracy 79.05%

384.82 Passes per match 380.76

-0.28 Goals prevented 0.05

10.39 Fouls committed 10.82

3.73 Goalkeeper saves 2.63

1.5 Offsides 1.58

16.76 Tackles per match 18.5

League average xG this season is 1.4 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Burnley vs Everton prediction analysis

Review Burnley vs Everton with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Premier League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Premier League

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights