What markets are included in the Burnley vs Newcastle prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Burnley vs Newcastle prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Burnley vs Newcastle

Burnley vs Newcastle prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Premier League 2025-12-30 19:30

Burnley

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

31%

Confidence

Medium

Score

0-0

Newcastle

Away

Prediction Summary

36%

31%

33%

Under 2.5

69%

BTTS No

61%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Burnley (Home)

Goals scored / match0.95

Goals conceded / match1.53

Over 2.5 rate5%

BTTS rate42%

Newcastle (Away)

Goals scored / match0.89

Goals conceded / match1.32

Over 2.5 rate11%

BTTS rate53%

Team Form last 5 matches

Burnley

DLDLL

Newcastle

LWDWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

53% +0.5 58%

37% +1.5 16%

5% +2.5 11%

0% +3.5 5%

0% +4.5 0%

42% BTTS 53%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 31%. Model confidence is Medium.

Burnley averages 0.95 goals scored at home, while Newcastle averages 0.89 goals scored away.

Model Strength

69%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

36%

Draw

31%

Away Win

33%

Over 2.5

31%

BTTS Yes

39%

Head-to-Head last 5

Dec 2025 Burnley 1 - 3 Newcastle Away

Dec 2025 Burnley(A) 1 - 2 Newcastle Away

May 2024 Burnley 1 - 4 Newcastle Away

Sep 2023 Burnley(A) 0 - 2 Newcastle Away

May 2022 Burnley 1 - 2 Newcastle Away

In the last 5 meetings, Burnley won 0, drew 0 and lost 5.

Current Streaks

Burnley — unbeaten run (home)2

Burnley — scoring streak (home)2

Newcastle — winless run (away)4

Newcastle — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Burnley Win (1)36%

Draw (X)31%

Newcastle Win (2)33%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

53% +0.5 58%

37% +1.5 16%

5% +2.5 11%

0% +3.5 5%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

47% -0.5 42%

63% -1.5 84%

95% -2.5 89%

100% -3.5 95%

100% -4.5 100%

Burnley vs Newcastle — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Burnley — scored (home)0.95

Burnley — conceded (home)1.53

Newcastle — scored (away)0.89

Newcastle — conceded (away)1.32

Model expected combined goals1.94

Both Teams To Score

Yes39%

No61%

Rate per Team

Burnley — BTTS matches (home)42%

Newcastle — BTTS matches (away)53%

Combined (simple average)47.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.595%

Under 4.55%

Over 5.595%

Under 5.55%

Over 6.587%

Under 6.513%

Over 7.571%

Under 7.529%

Over 8.566%

Under 8.534%

Over 9.553%

Under 9.547%

Over 10.540%

Under 10.560%

Expected total corners (blended average)10.00

Per-Team Corners own matches

Burnley (home)

Corners for3.7

Corners against5.9

Newcastle (away)

Corners for5.4

Corners against4.9

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Burnley

14 5 10 6 14

Newcastle

9 12 3 10 12

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.592%

Under 0.58%

Over 1.582%

Under 1.518%

Over 2.564%

Under 2.536%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.1

Yellow Cards per Team

Burnley (home)

For1.5

Newcastle (away)

For2.0

Shots per Game

Burnley — total shots (home)10.8

Newcastle — total shots (away)11.6

Shots on Target

Burnley — on target (home)3.3

Newcastle — on target (away)3.7

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Burnley

Inside the box5.68

Outside the box3.66

Newcastle

Inside the box8.29

Outside the box4.66

Player Shots Burnley

Z. Flemming

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target52%

+1.5 On Target17%

J. Anthony

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target51%

+1.5 On Target8%

J. Cullen

Shots on Target/Game0.3

+0.5 On Target28%

+1.5 On Target6%

L. Tchaouna

Shots on Target/Game0.3

+0.5 On Target28%

+1.5 On Target3%

M. Edwards

Shots on Target/Game0.3

+0.5 On Target22%

+1.5 On Target4%

Player Shots Newcastle

Bruno Guimarães

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target59%

+1.5 On Target14%

A. Gordon

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target23%

H. Barnes

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target41%

+1.5 On Target11%

W. Osula

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target13%

Joelinton

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target30%

+1.5 On Target11%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Burnley xG (home)0.86

Newcastle xG (away)1.5

Average Possession

42.29% Possession 52.61%

Team Comparison Burnley vs Newcastle

77.66% Pass accuracy 82.11%

384.82 Passes per match 449.63

-0.28 Goals prevented 0.04

10.39 Fouls committed 9.82

3.73 Goalkeeper saves 3

1.5 Offsides 1.48

16.76 Tackles per match 14.47

League average xG this season is 1.4 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Burnley vs Newcastle prediction analysis

Review Burnley vs Newcastle with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Premier League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Premier League

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights