What markets are included in the Cagliari vs AC Milan prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Cagliari vs AC Milan prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Cagliari vs AC Milan

Cagliari vs AC Milan prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2026-01-02 19:45

Cagliari

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

48%

Confidence

Low

Score

0-1

AC Milan

Away

Prediction Summary

23%

25%

52%

Under 2.5

52%

BTTS · No edge

50%

Confidence

Low

Market Evidence

Cagliari (Home)

Goals scored / match1.16

Goals conceded / match1.21

Over 2.5 rate16%

BTTS rate37%

AC Milan (Away)

Goals scored / match1.47

Goals conceded / match0.74

Over 2.5 rate21%

BTTS rate42%

Team Form last 5 matches

Cagliari

WWLDW

AC Milan

LWLLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

63% +0.5 79%

32% +1.5 47%

16% +2.5 21%

5% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

37% BTTS 42%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 48%. Model confidence is Low.

Cagliari averages 1.16 goals scored at home, while AC Milan averages 1.47 goals scored away.

Model Strength

52%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

23%

Draw

25%

Away Win

52%

Over 2.5

48%

BTTS Yes

50%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2026 Cagliari(A) 2 - 1 AC Milan Home

Jan 2026 Cagliari 0 - 1 AC Milan Away

Jan 2025 Cagliari(A) 1 - 1 AC Milan Draw

Nov 2024 Cagliari 3 - 3 AC Milan Draw

May 2024 Cagliari(A) 1 - 5 AC Milan Away

In the last 5 meetings, Cagliari won 1, drew 2 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Cagliari — unbeaten run (home)1

Cagliari — scoring streak (home)1

AC Milan — winless run (away)0

AC Milan — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Cagliari Win (1)23%

Draw (X)25%

AC Milan Win (2)52%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

63% +0.5 79%

32% +1.5 47%

16% +2.5 21%

5% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

37% -0.5 21%

68% -1.5 53%

84% -2.5 79%

95% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Cagliari vs AC Milan — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Cagliari — scored (home)1.16

Cagliari — conceded (home)1.21

AC Milan — scored (away)1.47

AC Milan — conceded (away)0.74

Model expected combined goals2.59

Both Teams To Score

Yes50%

No50%

Rate per Team

Cagliari — BTTS matches (home)37%

AC Milan — BTTS matches (away)42%

Combined (simple average)39.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%

Under 4.52%

Over 5.582%

Under 5.518%

Over 6.574%

Under 6.526%

Over 7.566%

Under 7.534%

Over 8.553%

Under 8.547%

Over 9.537%

Under 9.563%

Over 10.524%

Under 10.576%

Expected total corners (blended average)8.90

Per-Team Corners own matches

Cagliari (home)

Corners for4.2

Corners against5.1

AC Milan (away)

Corners for3.6

Corners against4.9

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Cagliari

10 9 12 6 10

AC Milan

4 5 4 8 10

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.595%

Under 0.55%

Over 1.587%

Under 1.513%

Over 2.561%

Under 2.539%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.4

Yellow Cards per Team

Cagliari (home)

For2.0

AC Milan (away)

For1.5

Shots per Game

Cagliari — total shots (home)10.7

AC Milan — total shots (away)10.4

Shots on Target

Cagliari — on target (home)3.4

AC Milan — on target (away)3.8

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Cagliari

Inside the box6.71

Outside the box4.21

AC Milan

Inside the box9.16

Outside the box4.08

Player Shots Cagliari

Zito Luvumbo

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target42%

+1.5 On Target8%

A. Belotti

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target25%

+1.5 On Target25%

M. Felici

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target0%

S. Esposito

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target39%

+1.5 On Target6%

G. Borrelli

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target26%

+1.5 On Target11%

Player Shots AC Milan

C. Pulišić

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target60%

+1.5 On Target17%

Rafael Leão

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target45%

+1.5 On Target24%

S. Giménez

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target44%

+1.5 On Target13%

Y. Fofana

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target55%

+1.5 On Target0%

C. Nkunku

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target9%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Cagliari xG (home)1.01

AC Milan xG (away)1.59

Average Possession

45.58% Possession 51.84%

Team Comparison Cagliari vs AC Milan

80.03% Pass accuracy 86.74%

394.18 Passes per match 483.74

-0.02 Goals prevented 0.2

13.79 Fouls committed 10.11

3.21 Goalkeeper saves 2.95

1.74 Offsides 1.92

16.05 Tackles per match 14.5

League average xG this season is 1.26 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Cagliari vs AC Milan prediction analysis

Review Cagliari vs AC Milan with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights