What markets are included in the Cagliari vs Fiorentina prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Cagliari vs Fiorentina prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Cagliari vs Fiorentina

Cagliari vs Fiorentina prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-04-23 16:30

Cagliari

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

49%

Confidence

Low

Score

1-1

Fiorentina

Away

Prediction Summary

30%

26%

45%

Under 2.5

51%

BTTS Yes

53%

Confidence

Low

Market Evidence

Cagliari (Home)

Goals scored / match1.26

Goals conceded / match1.47

Over 2.5 rate26%

BTTS rate47%

Fiorentina (Away)

Goals scored / match1.47

Goals conceded / match1.21

Over 2.5 rate11%

BTTS rate58%

Team Form last 5 matches

Cagliari

LWLLW

Fiorentina

WWLLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

63% +0.5 79%

32% +1.5 42%

26% +2.5 11%

5% +3.5 5%

0% +4.5 5%

47% BTTS 58%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 49%. Model confidence is Low.

Cagliari averages 1.26 goals scored at home, while Fiorentina averages 1.47 goals scored away.

Model Strength

53%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

30%

Draw

26%

Away Win

45%

Over 2.5

49%

BTTS Yes

53%

Head-to-Head last 5

Jan 2026 Cagliari(A) 2 - 1 Fiorentina Home

Aug 2025 Cagliari 1 - 1 Fiorentina Draw

Apr 2025 Cagliari 1 - 2 Fiorentina Away

Dec 2024 Cagliari(A) 0 - 1 Fiorentina Away

May 2024 Cagliari 2 - 3 Fiorentina Away

In the last 5 meetings, Cagliari won 1, drew 1 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

Cagliari — unbeaten run (home)1

Cagliari — scoring streak (home)5

Fiorentina — winless run (away)0

Fiorentina — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Cagliari Win (1)30%

Draw (X)26%

Fiorentina Win (2)45%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

63% +0.5 79%

32% +1.5 42%

26% +2.5 11%

5% +3.5 5%

0% +4.5 5%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

37% -0.5 21%

68% -1.5 58%

74% -2.5 89%

95% -3.5 95%

100% -4.5 95%

Cagliari vs Fiorentina — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Cagliari — scored (home)1.26

Cagliari — conceded (home)1.47

Fiorentina — scored (away)1.47

Fiorentina — conceded (away)1.21

Model expected combined goals2.64

Both Teams To Score

Yes53%

No47%

Rate per Team

Cagliari — BTTS matches (home)47%

Fiorentina — BTTS matches (away)58%

Combined (simple average)52.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.592%

Under 4.58%

Over 5.590%

Under 5.510%

Over 6.582%

Under 6.518%

Over 7.566%

Under 7.534%

Over 8.550%

Under 8.550%

Over 9.537%

Under 9.563%

Over 10.532%

Under 10.568%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.30

Per-Team Corners own matches

Cagliari (home)

Corners for5.7

Corners against4.8

Fiorentina (away)

Corners for3.7

Corners against4.3

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Cagliari

5 9 6 16 11

Fiorentina

7 11 6 6 10

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.595%

Under 0.55%

Over 1.590%

Under 1.510%

Over 2.579%

Under 2.521%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.7

Yellow Cards per Team

Cagliari (home)

For1.4

Fiorentina (away)

For2.3

Shots per Game

Cagliari — total shots (home)13.6

Fiorentina — total shots (away)11.9

Shots on Target

Cagliari — on target (home)3.9

Fiorentina — on target (away)4.6

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Cagliari

Inside the box7.76

Outside the box3.39

Fiorentina

Inside the box7.41

Outside the box4.38

Player Shots Cagliari

R. Piccoli

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target54%

+1.5 On Target19%

G. Gaetano

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target14%

+1.5 On Target7%

G. Lapadula

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target17%

+1.5 On Target8%

N. Viola

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target26%

+1.5 On Target4%

G. Zappa

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target11%

+1.5 On Target3%

Player Shots Fiorentina

M. Kean

Shots on Target/Game2.2

+0.5 On Target72%

+1.5 On Target38%

C. Biraghi

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target13%

+1.5 On Target13%

L. Ranieri

Shots on Target/Game1.7

+0.5 On Target8%

+1.5 On Target6%

R. Mandragora

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target10%

A. Guðmundsson

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target46%

+1.5 On Target17%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Cagliari xG (home)1.13

Fiorentina xG (away)1.31

Average Possession

44.76% Possession 51.11%

Team Comparison Cagliari vs Fiorentina

78.68% Pass accuracy 82.78%

370.08 Passes per match 427.43

-0.03 Goals prevented 0.04

13.16 Fouls committed 11.59

2.61 Goalkeeper saves 2.89

1.76 Offsides 2.3

14.18 Tackles per match 13.95

League average xG this season is 1.22 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Cagliari vs Fiorentina prediction analysis

Review Cagliari vs Fiorentina with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights