What markets are included in the Cagliari vs Fiorentina prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Cagliari vs Fiorentina prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Cagliari vs Fiorentina

Cagliari vs Fiorentina prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-08-24 16:30

Cagliari

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

45%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

Fiorentina

Away

Prediction Summary

42%

27%

31%

Under 2.5

55%

BTTS · No edge

50%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Cagliari (Home)

Goals scored / match1.16

Goals conceded / match1.21

Over 2.5 rate16%

BTTS rate37%

Fiorentina (Away)

Goals scored / match1.05

Goals conceded / match1.53

Over 2.5 rate5%

BTTS rate53%

Team Form last 5 matches

Cagliari

WWLDW

Fiorentina

DWDLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

63% +0.5 63%

32% +1.5 32%

16% +2.5 5%

5% +3.5 5%

0% +4.5 0%

37% BTTS 53%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 45%. Model confidence is Medium.

Cagliari averages 1.16 goals scored at home, while Fiorentina averages 1.05 goals scored away.

Model Strength

55%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

42%

Draw

27%

Away Win

31%

Over 2.5

45%

BTTS Yes

50%

Head-to-Head last 5

Jan 2026 Cagliari(A) 2 - 1 Fiorentina Home

Aug 2025 Cagliari 1 - 1 Fiorentina Draw

Apr 2025 Cagliari 1 - 2 Fiorentina Away

Dec 2024 Cagliari(A) 0 - 1 Fiorentina Away

May 2024 Cagliari 2 - 3 Fiorentina Away

In the last 5 meetings, Cagliari won 1, drew 1 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

Cagliari — unbeaten run (home)1

Cagliari — scoring streak (home)1

Fiorentina — winless run (away)0

Fiorentina — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Cagliari Win (1)42%

Draw (X)27%

Fiorentina Win (2)31%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

63% +0.5 63%

32% +1.5 32%

16% +2.5 5%

5% +3.5 5%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

37% -0.5 37%

68% -1.5 68%

84% -2.5 95%

95% -3.5 95%

100% -4.5 100%

Cagliari vs Fiorentina — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Cagliari — scored (home)1.16

Cagliari — conceded (home)1.21

Fiorentina — scored (away)1.05

Fiorentina — conceded (away)1.53

Model expected combined goals2.47

Both Teams To Score

Yes50%

No50%

Rate per Team

Cagliari — BTTS matches (home)37%

Fiorentina — BTTS matches (away)53%

Combined (simple average)45%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%

Under 4.52%

Over 5.587%

Under 5.513%

Over 6.582%

Under 6.518%

Over 7.577%

Under 7.523%

Over 8.558%

Under 8.542%

Over 9.540%

Under 9.560%

Over 10.516%

Under 10.584%

Expected total corners (blended average)8.90

Per-Team Corners own matches

Cagliari (home)

Corners for4.2

Corners against5.1

Fiorentina (away)

Corners for3.4

Corners against5.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Cagliari

10 9 12 6 10

Fiorentina

11 9 7 8 6

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.595%

Under 0.55%

Over 1.587%

Under 1.513%

Over 2.571%

Under 2.529%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.9

Yellow Cards per Team

Cagliari (home)

For2.0

Fiorentina (away)

For2.3

Shots per Game

Cagliari — total shots (home)10.7

Fiorentina — total shots (away)10.1

Shots on Target

Cagliari — on target (home)3.4

Fiorentina — on target (away)2.8

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Cagliari

Inside the box6.71

Outside the box4.21

Fiorentina

Inside the box8.05

Outside the box4.82

Player Shots Cagliari

Zito Luvumbo

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target42%

+1.5 On Target8%

A. Belotti

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target25%

+1.5 On Target25%

M. Felici

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target0%

S. Esposito

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target39%

+1.5 On Target6%

G. Borrelli

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target26%

+1.5 On Target11%

Player Shots Fiorentina

M. Kean

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target65%

+1.5 On Target27%

R. Mandragora

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target3%

R. Piccoli

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target9%

A. Guðmundsson

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target9%

F. Parisi

Shots on Target/Game0.3

+0.5 On Target22%

+1.5 On Target9%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Cagliari xG (home)1.01

Fiorentina xG (away)1.4

Average Possession

45.58% Possession 50.97%

Team Comparison Cagliari vs Fiorentina

80.03% Pass accuracy 83.89%

394.18 Passes per match 423.61

-0.02 Goals prevented 0.06

13.79 Fouls committed 12.5

3.21 Goalkeeper saves 3.34

1.74 Offsides 1.94

16.05 Tackles per match 12.26

League average xG this season is 1.26 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Cagliari vs Fiorentina prediction analysis

Review Cagliari vs Fiorentina with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights